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HOTG.DE XETRA Metals & Mining

Hochtief AG

€81,92
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LatestHochtief DAX inclusion lifts visibility as AI data center demand fuels order book
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
1,42 %
Op margin
3,9 %
ROE
63,4 %
Net margin
2,1 %
Debt / equity
6,40
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Hochtief AG operates as a construction and engineering firm, generating revenue through infrastructure and building projects, though it is currently classified under Metals & Mining with low confidence.

Business. Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) is a company classified within the Metals & Mining industry, operating in the Basic Materials sector. The firm is headquartered in Germany and is primarily listed on the Xetra exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level as an entity engaged in metals and mining activities.

Classification66 %
SectorBasic Materials
Business sectorMineral Resources
Industry groupMetals & Mining
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD9 analysts
2 buy7 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target495,71

Analyst recommendations

9 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy2
Hold7
Sell0
12-month price target
495,71
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Hold
9 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
63,4 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • ENERGYHochtief DAX inclusion lifts visibility as AI data center demand fuels order book2026-06-26
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials · THIS SECTOR+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to HOTG.DE. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) exhibits no material changes in its fundamental profile or market signals during the observed period. The analysis confirms a static environment with no significant shifts in corporate actions, financial metrics, or strategic developments, as indicated by the absence of entries in the material changes and watcher signals datasets. The company's current structure remains defined by a single officer count, with no reported analyst coverage, index memberships, or top holders identified in the available data. This lack of external financial scrutiny and institutional tracking suggests a limited presence in broader market indices and analyst consensus models. Cross-source signal data further underscores this quiet period, showing only a single dispatch on June 26, 2026, followed by zero activity through mid-July 2026. The sentiment for this isolated event was not specified, and the subsequent silence indicates no emerging news flow or market commentary regarding the firm. Consequently, there are no new developments to assess for investors or stakeholders. The stability of Hochtief AG's reported metrics implies that any prior valuation or risk assessments remain unchanged, with no new catalysts identified to alter the company's standing in the current market landscape.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) is a company classified within the Metals & Mining industry, operating in the Basic Materials sector. The firm is headquartered in Germany and is primarily listed on the Xetra exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level as an entity engaged in metals and mining activities.

    Classification66 %
    SectorBasic Materials
    Business sectorMineral Resources
    Industry groupMetals & Mining
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Hochtief AG maintains a highly leveraged capital structure, with total liabilities of €23.15 billion against total equity of €1.27 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4. The company holds €5.96 billion in cash and equivalents, which partially offsets €8.12 billion in long-term debt, leading to a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt. Liquidity is assessed as medium, supported by a current ratio of 1.13, indicating adequate but tight short-term coverage of liabilities. Operating cash flow stands at €2.04 billion, providing a buffer for debt servicing and operational needs.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 63.45%, driven by the low equity base, while return on assets is 3.29%. The company generated €38.24 billion in revenue, with a gross profit of €9.59 billion and operating income of €1.61 billion, resulting in net income of €902.33 million. These figures suggest efficient asset utilization relative to the equity base, though the high leverage amplifies equity returns.

    Segment and geographic revenue mix data is not provided in the available input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s activity is broadly described as Metals & Mining, but sector classification codes point to Construction & Engineering, suggesting a potential misclassification or diversified operations not detailed in the snapshot.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input, preventing a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter revenue and net income trend assessment. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance without historical context for growth rates.

    Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with a key flag noting that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. The high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 poses significant financial risk, requiring careful management of cash flows and interest obligations. Dilution risk is low, as basic and diluted shares outstanding are identical at 75.24 million, indicating no significant options or convertible securities impacting share count.

    Recent IR observations show a mean analyst price target of €495.71, with a median of €494.00, and a mean recommendation of 2.67, indicating a moderate buy stance. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with one strong buy, one buy, and seven hold ratings, reflecting cautious optimism. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided in the input to detail recent corporate events or strategic shifts.

    Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) exhibits no material changes in its fundamental profile or market signals during the observed period. The analysis confirms a static environment with no significant shifts in corporate actions, financial metrics, or strategic developments, as indicated by the absence of entries in the material changes and watcher signals datasets. The company's current structure remains defined by a single officer count, with no reported analyst coverage, index memberships, or top holders identified in the available data. This lack of external financial scrutiny and institutional tracking suggests a limited presence in broader market indices and analyst consensus models. Cross-source signal data further underscores this quiet period, showing only a single dispatch on June 26, 2026, followed by zero activity through mid-July 2026. The sentiment for this isolated event was not specified, and the subsequent silence indicates no emerging news flow or market commentary regarding the firm. Consequently, there are no new developments to assess for investors or stakeholders. The stability of Hochtief AG's reported metrics implies that any prior valuation or risk assessments remain unchanged, with no new catalysts identified to alter the company's standing in the current market landscape.

    Key takeaways
    • High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 and negative net cash position poses significant financial risk.
    • Strong return on equity of 63.45% is driven by a low equity base rather than operational efficiency alone.
    • Analyst sentiment is moderately positive with a mean recommendation of 2.67 and price targets around €495.
    • Classification discrepancy between Metals & Mining and Construction & Engineering requires further verification.
    • Low dilution risk with identical basic and diluted share counts.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Revenue is projected to grow 14.8% year-over-year to EUR 38.2 billion in fiscal 2026, demonstrating strong top-line expansion.

    Operating income is expected to surge 39.1% to EUR 1.6 billion in 2026, indicating significant operational leverage and margin improvement.

    Free cash flow is forecast to increase 28.1% to EUR 1.26 billion in 2026, supporting robust liquidity and capital return potential.

    Analysts project a mean price target of EUR 495.71, implying substantial upside from the current market price of EUR 81.92.

    BEAR CASE · 3

    The debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 places the company in the bottom quartile of its cohort, signaling elevated financial leverage risk.

    Long-term debt is projected to rise to EUR 8.1 billion in 2026, increasing interest obligations and financial risk exposure.

    The company faces a medium level of liquidity risk, which could constrain financial flexibility during periods of market stress.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-05-11
    Q1 2026 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue €9.39B, +5,3% YoY; Operating income −19,5% YoY.

    Revenue€9.39B+5,3 % YoY
    Operating income€366.3M−19,5 % YoY
    Net income€210.0M−31,8 % YoY
    Free cash flow€284.7M−28,0 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow-€527.4M+35,3 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue€9.39B
    Gross profit€2.38B
    Operating income€366.3M
    Net income€210.0M
    Margins
    Gross margin25.3%
    Operating margin3.9%
    Net margin2.2%
    FCF margin3.0%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets€25.20B
    Total liabilities€23.66B
    Total equity€1.54B
    Cash & equivalents€5.77B
    Long-term debt€8.52B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow-€527.4M
    CapEx-€108.7M
    Free cash flow€284.7M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue €9.39BOperating costs €9.03BTax €156.3MNet income €210.0M
    Highlights
    • Revenue €9.39B, +5,3% YoY
    • Operating income −19,5% YoY
    • Net income −31,8% YoY
    • Free cash flow −28,0% YoY
    • Net margin 2.2%

    Valuation TTM

    Market price
    €81,92
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    €1.27B
    Net cash
    -€2.15B
    Current ratio
    1.1
    Debt / equity
    6.4
    ROA
    3.3%
    ROE
    63.4%
    Cash conversion
    253.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -1.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Building Construction
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Infrastructure Construction
    low · llm_fanout_v2
    Real Estate Development
    low · llm_fanout_v2

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 46 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    13,71
    Predicted surprise
    -0,06
    Beat probability
    46 %
    Analysts
    9
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    revision ratio 0,02 · as of 2026-07-11 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate13,71
    Revenueno estimateno estimate43,2B EUR
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate1,9B EUR
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in EUR. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution9 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy1
    Hold7
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target€495,71 · Median €494,00
    Low €324,00High €605,00
    Operating income · consensus1,9B EUR
    EPS surprise
    −12,5 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −11,6 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low€324,00
    Mean€495,71
    Median€494,00
    High€605,00
    Spot€81,92
    +505.1 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin3,9 %Below median
    Net Margin2,1 %Below median
    ROE63,4 %Best in class
    Capex / Rev-1,1 %Above P75
    D/E6,40Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv2,53Best in class

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    Source documents
    • Hochtief AG Market data — financials · 2026-07-11
    • Hochtief AG Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-11
    • Hochtief AG Market data — ESG · 2026-07-11
    • Hochtief AG — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-11

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Pedro Lopez JimenezChairman of the Supervisory Board

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    HOTG.DECanonical
    XETRA · EUR

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob46 %Surprise-0,06Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-05-11 14:05 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2026 Revenue EUR 9.39B · Net EUR 210.0M
    2026-02-19 14:41 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue EUR 10.13B · Net EUR 246.7M
    2026-02-19 14:41 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue EUR 38.24B · Net EUR 902.3M
    2025-11-06 17:56 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2025 Revenue EUR 9.74B · Net EUR 174.6M
    2025-07-23 18:16 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2025 Revenue EUR 9.45B · Net EUR 173.2M
    2025-05-12 13:01 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q1 2025 Revenue EUR 8.92B · Net EUR 307.8M
    2025-02-19 13:17 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2024 Revenue EUR 9.72B · Net EUR 196.7M
    2025-02-19 13:17 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue EUR 33.30B · Net EUR 775.6M
    2024-11-07 13:36 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q3 2024 Revenue EUR 8.93B · Net EUR 142.6M
    2024-07-24 14:43 UTCEARNINGSQuarterly results — Q2 2024 Revenue EUR 7.89B · Net EUR 303.5M
    2024-02-22 13:56 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue EUR 27.76B · Net EUR 522.7M
    2023-02-23 19:24 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue EUR 26.22B · Net EUR 481.8M
    2022-02-23 15:32 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue EUR 21.38B · Net EUR 212.4M
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage