Hochtief AG
Hochtief AG operates as a construction and engineering firm, generating revenue through infrastructure and building projects, though it is currently classified under Metals & Mining with low confidence.
Business. Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) is a company classified within the Metals & Mining industry, operating in the Basic Materials sector. The firm is headquartered in Germany and is primarily listed on the Xetra exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level as an entity engaged in metals and mining activities.
Analyst recommendations
9 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
1Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) exhibits no material changes in its fundamental profile or market signals during the observed period. The analysis confirms a static environment with no significant shifts in corporate actions, financial metrics, or strategic developments, as indicated by the absence of entries in the material changes and watcher signals datasets. The company's current structure remains defined by a single officer count, with no reported analyst coverage, index memberships, or top holders identified in the available data. This lack of external financial scrutiny and institutional tracking suggests a limited presence in broader market indices and analyst consensus models. Cross-source signal data further underscores this quiet period, showing only a single dispatch on June 26, 2026, followed by zero activity through mid-July 2026. The sentiment for this isolated event was not specified, and the subsequent silence indicates no emerging news flow or market commentary regarding the firm. Consequently, there are no new developments to assess for investors or stakeholders. The stability of Hochtief AG's reported metrics implies that any prior valuation or risk assessments remain unchanged, with no new catalysts identified to alter the company's standing in the current market landscape.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) is a company classified within the Metals & Mining industry, operating in the Basic Materials sector. The firm is headquartered in Germany and is primarily listed on the Xetra exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available. Consequently, the company is described at the industry level as an entity engaged in metals and mining activities.
Hochtief AG maintains a highly leveraged capital structure, with total liabilities of €23.15 billion against total equity of €1.27 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4. The company holds €5.96 billion in cash and equivalents, which partially offsets €8.12 billion in long-term debt, leading to a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt. Liquidity is assessed as medium, supported by a current ratio of 1.13, indicating adequate but tight short-term coverage of liabilities. Operating cash flow stands at €2.04 billion, providing a buffer for debt servicing and operational needs.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 63.45%, driven by the low equity base, while return on assets is 3.29%. The company generated €38.24 billion in revenue, with a gross profit of €9.59 billion and operating income of €1.61 billion, resulting in net income of €902.33 million. These figures suggest efficient asset utilization relative to the equity base, though the high leverage amplifies equity returns.
Segment and geographic revenue mix data is not provided in the available input, preventing a detailed analysis of revenue concentration or regional exposure. The company’s activity is broadly described as Metals & Mining, but sector classification codes point to Construction & Engineering, suggesting a potential misclassification or diversified operations not detailed in the snapshot.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input, preventing a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter revenue and net income trend assessment. The current financial snapshot provides a static view of performance without historical context for growth rates.
Risk assessment highlights medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with a key flag noting that net cash is negative after subtracting total debt. The high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 poses significant financial risk, requiring careful management of cash flows and interest obligations. Dilution risk is low, as basic and diluted shares outstanding are identical at 75.24 million, indicating no significant options or convertible securities impacting share count.
Recent IR observations show a mean analyst price target of €495.71, with a median of €494.00, and a mean recommendation of 2.67, indicating a moderate buy stance. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with one strong buy, one buy, and seven hold ratings, reflecting cautious optimism. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided in the input to detail recent corporate events or strategic shifts.
Hochtief AG (HOTG.DE) exhibits no material changes in its fundamental profile or market signals during the observed period. The analysis confirms a static environment with no significant shifts in corporate actions, financial metrics, or strategic developments, as indicated by the absence of entries in the material changes and watcher signals datasets. The company's current structure remains defined by a single officer count, with no reported analyst coverage, index memberships, or top holders identified in the available data. This lack of external financial scrutiny and institutional tracking suggests a limited presence in broader market indices and analyst consensus models. Cross-source signal data further underscores this quiet period, showing only a single dispatch on June 26, 2026, followed by zero activity through mid-July 2026. The sentiment for this isolated event was not specified, and the subsequent silence indicates no emerging news flow or market commentary regarding the firm. Consequently, there are no new developments to assess for investors or stakeholders. The stability of Hochtief AG's reported metrics implies that any prior valuation or risk assessments remain unchanged, with no new catalysts identified to alter the company's standing in the current market landscape.
- High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 and negative net cash position poses significant financial risk.
- Strong return on equity of 63.45% is driven by a low equity base rather than operational efficiency alone.
- Analyst sentiment is moderately positive with a mean recommendation of 2.67 and price targets around €495.
- Classification discrepancy between Metals & Mining and Construction & Engineering requires further verification.
- Low dilution risk with identical basic and diluted share counts.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedRevenue is projected to grow 14.8% year-over-year to EUR 38.2 billion in fiscal 2026, demonstrating strong top-line expansion.
Operating income is expected to surge 39.1% to EUR 1.6 billion in 2026, indicating significant operational leverage and margin improvement.
Free cash flow is forecast to increase 28.1% to EUR 1.26 billion in 2026, supporting robust liquidity and capital return potential.
Analysts project a mean price target of EUR 495.71, implying substantial upside from the current market price of EUR 81.92.
The debt-to-equity ratio of 6.4 places the company in the bottom quartile of its cohort, signaling elevated financial leverage risk.
Long-term debt is projected to rise to EUR 8.1 billion in 2026, increasing interest obligations and financial risk exposure.
The company faces a medium level of liquidity risk, which could constrain financial flexibility during periods of market stress.
In focus — financials by report
Revenue €9.39B, +5,3% YoY; Operating income −19,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €9.39B, +5,3% YoY
- ▍Operating income −19,5% YoY
- ▍Net income −31,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −28,0% YoY
- ▍Net margin 2.2%
Revenue €10.13B, +4,1% YoY; Operating income +53,3% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €10.13B, +4,1% YoY
- ▍Operating income +53,3% YoY
- ▍Net income +25,4% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +66,7% YoY
- ▍Net margin 2.4%
Revenue €9.74B, +9,1% YoY; Operating income −1,0% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €9.74B, +9,1% YoY
- ▍Operating income −1,0% YoY
- ▍Net income +22,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −5,6% YoY
- ▍Net margin 1.8%
Revenue €9.45B, +19,7% YoY; Operating income −8,4% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €9.45B, +19,7% YoY
- ▍Operating income −8,4% YoY
- ▍Net income −42,9% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −32,4% YoY
- ▍Net margin 1.8%
Revenue €8.92B; Operating income €455.1M.
- ▍Revenue €8.92B
- ▍Operating income €455.1M
- ▍Net margin 3.5%
Revenue €9.72B; Operating income €330.5M.
- ▍Revenue €9.72B
- ▍Operating income €330.5M
- ▍Net margin 2.0%
Revenue €8.93B; Operating income €347.4M.
- ▍Revenue €8.93B
- ▍Operating income €347.4M
- ▍Net margin 1.6%
Revenue €7.89B; Operating income €328.4M.
- ▍Revenue €7.89B
- ▍Operating income €328.4M
- ▍Net margin 3.8%
Revenue €38.24B, +14,8% YoY; Operating income +39,1% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €38.24B, +14,8% YoY
- ▍Operating income +39,1% YoY
- ▍Net income +16,3% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +28,1% YoY
- ▍Net margin 2.4%
Revenue €33.30B, +20,0% YoY; Operating income +108,5% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €33.30B, +20,0% YoY
- ▍Operating income +108,5% YoY
- ▍Net income +48,4% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +51,2% YoY
- ▍Net margin 2.3%
Revenue €27.76B, +5,9% YoY; Operating income +8,7% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €27.76B, +5,9% YoY
- ▍Operating income +8,7% YoY
- ▍Net income +8,5% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow −2,6% YoY
- ▍Net margin 1.9%
Revenue €26.22B, +22,6% YoY; Operating income +32,0% YoY.
- ▍Revenue €26.22B, +22,6% YoY
- ▍Operating income +32,0% YoY
- ▍Net income +126,8% YoY
- ▍Free cash flow +27,1% YoY
- ▍Net margin 1.8%
Valuation TTM
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 13,71 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 43,2B EUR |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,9B EUR |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Hochtief AG Market data — financials · 2026-07-11
- Hochtief AG Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-11
- Hochtief AG Market data — ESG · 2026-07-11
- Hochtief AG — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-11
Ownership & reference
Leadership
- Pedro Lopez JimenezChairman of the Supervisory Board