Mosaic Co
Mosaic Co operates in the Commodity & Specialty Chemicals industry, generating revenue through the production and sale of phosphate and potash fertilizers.
Business. Mosaic Co (MOS.O) is a basic materials company operating in the commodity and specialty chemicals industry. The firm generates revenue through the sale of chemical products. It is headquartered in the United States and is primarily listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
21 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressValerie Hoyle — Mosaic Company2025-09-23 · Democrat · OR · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — Mosaic Company2022-12-21 · Republican · NC · Sale · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — Mosaic Company2022-08-05 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — Mosaic Company2022-08-04 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — Mosaic Company2022-08-01 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — Mosaic Company2022-07-29 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
The most material development for Mosaic Co (MOS.O) involves a significant adjustment in the shareholding position of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. This change was detected in late June 2026, reflecting a substantial modification in the number of shares held as of the March 31, 2026 reporting period. The data indicates a shift between two distinct positions: one showing a holding of 8,586 shares valued at approximately $0.22 million, and another showing a holding of 49,029 shares valued at approximately $1.25 million. This discrepancy represents a major swing in ownership weight, moving from a negligible 0.000126% stake to a slightly larger, though still minor, 0.000722% stake. The detection timestamps suggest a correction or update in the reporting of this investor's position, with the initial detection occurring on June 21, 2026, and a subsequent modification detected on June 23, 2026. Both records are anchored to the same quarter-end date, indicating that the change pertains to the accuracy or finalization of the Q1 2026 filing data rather than a new transaction during the quarter. The significance of this holder change is contextualized by Mosaic Co's broader investor landscape. The company currently has 33 top holders and is a member of one major index, suggesting a structured but concentrated ownership base. While the absolute percentage weight of investor ID 587 remains small, the magnitude of the adjustment in share count—nearly a six-fold difference between the two reported figures—highlights the importance of precise data tracking for even minor stakeholders in the company's capital structure. As this is the first analysis for this ticker, there is no prior basis for computing deltas against historical trends. Consequently, this event serves as the initial baseline for monitoring holder activity. The absence of analyst coverage, indicated by an analyst count of zero, further underscores the reliance on raw holder data and financial filings for assessing market interest in Mosaic Co at this stage. Investors should monitor future filings to determine if this adjustment reflects a permanent shift in strategy or a one-time data correction.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Mosaic Co (MOS.O) is a basic materials company operating in the commodity and specialty chemicals industry. The firm generates revenue through the sale of chemical products. It is headquartered in the United States and is primarily listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not available.
Mosaic Co maintains a conservative capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, indicating no reported leverage in the latest snapshot. The company holds $276.6 million in cash and equivalents against total assets of $24.48 billion. Liquidity risk is assessed as low, supported by a current ratio context implied by the absence of immediate filing-based liquidity flags. The firm generated $824.8 million in operating cash flow, which was partially offset by $1.36 billion in capital expenditures, resulting in negative free cash flow for the period.
Profitability metrics indicate a compressed earnings environment. The company reported a net income of $540.7 million on revenues of $12.05 billion, yielding a net margin of approximately 4.5%. Return on equity stands at 4.47%, while return on assets is 2.21%. These returns are modest, reflecting the cyclical nature of the commodity chemicals sector and the current phase of the pricing cycle. The gross profit of $1.90 billion suggests significant cost pressures or lower input pricing power relative to historical peaks.
Revenue concentration is inherent to the commodity fertilizer model, though specific segment breakdowns are not detailed in the provided snapshot. The company’s activity is centered on phosphate and potash, which are globally traded commodities. Geographic exposure is typically diversified across major agricultural regions, but the lack of specific geographic data in the input prevents a detailed concentration analysis. The business model relies on volume stability and price realization in global markets.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical period data in the input. The current revenue base of $12.05 billion serves as the baseline for trend assessment. Without multi-year historical data, year-over-year growth rates cannot be calculated. The capital expenditure of $1.36 billion suggests ongoing investment in production capacity or maintenance, which may support future volume growth if commodity prices stabilize or increase.
Risk factors are currently assessed as low for both liquidity and dilution. The key flags section notes no immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags. The debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0 further mitigates credit risk. However, the company remains exposed to commodity price volatility, which is a standard risk in the Chemicals sector. The low dilution risk is supported by the identical basic and diluted share counts of 317.5 million.
Recent events are reflected in the analyst consensus, which shows a mean price target of $30.09 and a median of $29.00, implying upside from the current market price of $23.27. The mean recommendation of 2.71 suggests a neutral-to-positive sentiment among analysts, with 12 holds, 6 buys, and 1 strong buy. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations were provided in the input to detail recent corporate actions or strategic shifts.
The most material development for Mosaic Co (MOS.O) involves a significant adjustment in the shareholding position of investor ID 587, flagged as a major severity event. This change was detected in late June 2026, reflecting a substantial modification in the number of shares held as of the March 31, 2026 reporting period. The data indicates a shift between two distinct positions: one showing a holding of 8,586 shares valued at approximately $0.22 million, and another showing a holding of 49,029 shares valued at approximately $1.25 million. This discrepancy represents a major swing in ownership weight, moving from a negligible 0.000126% stake to a slightly larger, though still minor, 0.000722% stake. The detection timestamps suggest a correction or update in the reporting of this investor's position, with the initial detection occurring on June 21, 2026, and a subsequent modification detected on June 23, 2026. Both records are anchored to the same quarter-end date, indicating that the change pertains to the accuracy or finalization of the Q1 2026 filing data rather than a new transaction during the quarter. The significance of this holder change is contextualized by Mosaic Co's broader investor landscape. The company currently has 33 top holders and is a member of one major index, suggesting a structured but concentrated ownership base. While the absolute percentage weight of investor ID 587 remains small, the magnitude of the adjustment in share count—nearly a six-fold difference between the two reported figures—highlights the importance of precise data tracking for even minor stakeholders in the company's capital structure. As this is the first analysis for this ticker, there is no prior basis for computing deltas against historical trends. Consequently, this event serves as the initial baseline for monitoring holder activity. The absence of analyst coverage, indicated by an analyst count of zero, further underscores the reliance on raw holder data and financial filings for assessing market interest in Mosaic Co at this stage. Investors should monitor future filings to determine if this adjustment reflects a permanent shift in strategy or a one-time data correction.
- Mosaic Co operates with zero reported debt, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0 and low liquidity risk.
- Profitability is modest with a 4.47% ROE and 2.21% ROA, reflecting current commodity market conditions.
- Operating cash flow of $824.8 million was insufficient to cover $1.36 billion in capital expenditures.
- Analyst consensus indicates potential upside, with a mean price target of $30.09 versus the current $23.27 price.
- Dilution risk is low, with no difference between basic and diluted share counts.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 0,65 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 12,8B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 515,8M USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 873exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 7 273grant · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 310exercise · 2026-05-28
- Director · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockAcquired 10 910grant · 2026-05-28
- EVP-Commercial · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 613exercise · 2026-03-09
- Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 613exercise · 2026-03-09
- SVP - Chief Admin Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 12 181exercise · 2026-03-09
Physical assets
6 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mosaic Co Bartow Facility | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mosaic Co Greenbay | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mosaic Co Mulberry Facility | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mosaic Co Tampa Facility | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mosaic New Wales Operations | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Mosaic South Pierce Operations | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Return On Assetsnet_income / total_assets
- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- MOSAIC CO Market data — financials · 2026-07-10
- Mosaic Co Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-10
- Mosaic Co HA canonical relationships · 2026-07-10
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$277M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$363M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$83M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$287M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$742M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$54M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$173M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$105M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,02 %$817M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$132M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$24M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$99M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$223M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,01 %$942M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,01 %$0M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$42M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$65M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$342M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$49M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$125M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,01 %$22M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$11M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$24M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$8M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$8M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Bruce M. BodinePresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 2 437 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 3 167 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 7 310 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 4 873 · 2026-05-28
- Director · Common StockOther 2 437 · 2026-05-28
- Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec · Common StockOther 4 260 @ $26,92$115K · 2026-03-09
- Director, President and CEO · Common StockOther 13 704 · 2026-03-09
- Director, President and CEO · Common StockOther 5 780 · 2026-03-09
- Director, President and CEO · Common StockOther 7 668 @ $26,92$206K · 2026-03-09
- SVP - Chief Admin Officer · Common StockOther 12 181 · 2026-03-09
- SVP - Chief Admin Officer · Common StockOther 5 138 @ $26,92$138K · 2026-03-09
- SVP - Chief Admin Officer · Common StockOther 6 667 @ $26,92$179K · 2026-03-09
- Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec · Common StockOther 7 613 · 2026-03-09
- Sr. VP, Gen Counsel & Corp Sec · Common StockOther 3 211 · 2026-03-09
- EVP-Commercial · Common StockOther 7 613 · 2026-03-09
- EVP-Commercial · Common StockOther 3 211 · 2026-03-09
- EVP-Commercial · Common StockOther 4 406 @ $26,92$119K · 2026-03-09
- EVP - Operations · Common StockOther 12 181 · 2026-03-09
- EVP - Operations · Common StockOther 5 138 · 2026-03-09
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 4.5%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 6.8%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.2%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.4%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 32.2%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -36.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 209.1%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 25.8%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 209.1%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 209.1%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.6%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 1.4%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.6%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 1.32xDerived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 2.2%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): 15.8%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 4.5%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (annual): USD 12.05BSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 317.41MSEC XBRL filing
- Cost of revenue (annual): USD 10.15BSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 5.24BSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 24.48BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 12.08BSEC XBRL filing
- Capex (annual): USD 1.36BSEC XBRL filing