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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
2689$5.9959

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd

Paper PackagingVerified

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd has a liquidity position that is characterized by a current ratio of 1.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating a moderate level of leverage and liquidity risk. The company's price-to-book ratio is 0.56, and its price-to-tangible-book ratio is also 0.56, suggesting that the market values the company's tangible assets at a discount relative to its book value. The company's liquidity position is further supported by a cash and equivalents balance of CNY 11.21 billion, although this is offset by long-term debt of CNY 77.18 billion. In terms of profitability, the company's return on equity is 4.33%, and its return on assets is 1.45%, which are below the industry median for the Paper Packaging sector. The company's gross profit margin is 11.46%, and its operating margin is 6.23%, both of which are below the industry median, indicating that the company is underperforming its peers in terms of profitability. The company's net income of CNY 2.17 billion is also below the industry median, further highlighting its weaker profitability position. The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in the domestic Chinese market, with no significant international exposure disclosed in the financial data. The company operates in a single business segment, which is the production and sale of paper and packaging products. This lack of diversification increases the company's exposure to local economic conditions and regulatory changes. The company's growth trajectory is mixed, with a current fiscal year outlook indicating a slight increase in revenue and a decrease in net income. The next fiscal year outlook is more optimistic, with a projected increase in both revenue and net income. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at CNY -8.88 billion, which is a concern for its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives without external financing. The company's risk assessment indicates a medium level of liquidity risk and a low level of dilution risk. The key flag of negative net cash after subtracting total debt highlights the company's liquidity challenges. The company's dilution risk is low, but the potential for dilution exists if the company issues additional shares to raise capital. The company's recent financial filings and transcripts do not indicate any significant events that would impact its financial position or strategic direction. The company's recent events, as disclosed in its financial filings and transcripts, do not indicate any significant changes in its business operations or financial strategy. The company continues to focus on cost management and operational efficiency to improve its profitability. The company's management has also emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and managing debt levels to ensure long-term sustainability.

30-day price · 2689-0.58 (-8.8%)
Low$5.83High$6.89Close$6.03As of21 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyNine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd
Ticker2689.HK
SectorBasic Materials
BusinessApplied Resources
Industry groupApplied Resources
IndustryPaper Packaging
AI analysis

Business. Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd is a manufacturer and distributor of paper and packaging products, primarily serving the consumer and industrial markets in China.

Classification. The company is classified under the Basic Materials economic sector, Applied Resources business sector, and Paper Packaging industry, with a classification confidence of 0.92.

Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd has a liquidity position that is characterized by a current ratio of 1.07 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54, indicating a moderate level of leverage and liquidity risk. The company's price-to-book ratio is 0.56, and its price-to-tangible-book ratio is also 0.56, suggesting that the market values the company's tangible assets at a discount relative to its book value. The company's liquidity position is further supported by a cash and equivalents balance of CNY 11.21 billion, although this is offset by long-term debt of CNY 77.18 billion. In terms of profitability, the company's return on equity is 4.33%, and its return on assets is 1.45%, which are below the industry median for the Paper Packaging sector. The company's gross profit margin is 11.46%, and its operating margin is 6.23%, both of which are below the industry median, indicating that the company is underperforming its peers in terms of profitability. The company's net income of CNY 2.17 billion is also below the industry median, further highlighting its weaker profitability position. The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in the domestic Chinese market, with no significant international exposure disclosed in the financial data. The company operates in a single business segment, which is the production and sale of paper and packaging products. This lack of diversification increases the company's exposure to local economic conditions and regulatory changes. The company's growth trajectory is mixed, with a current fiscal year outlook indicating a slight increase in revenue and a decrease in net income. The next fiscal year outlook is more optimistic, with a projected increase in both revenue and net income. However, the company's free cash flow is negative at CNY -8.88 billion, which is a concern for its ability to fund operations and growth initiatives without external financing. The company's risk assessment indicates a medium level of liquidity risk and a low level of dilution risk. The key flag of negative net cash after subtracting total debt highlights the company's liquidity challenges. The company's dilution risk is low, but the potential for dilution exists if the company issues additional shares to raise capital. The company's recent financial filings and transcripts do not indicate any significant events that would impact its financial position or strategic direction. The company's recent events, as disclosed in its financial filings and transcripts, do not indicate any significant changes in its business operations or financial strategy. The company continues to focus on cost management and operational efficiency to improve its profitability. The company's management has also emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and managing debt levels to ensure long-term sustainability.
Key takeaways
  • Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Ltd has a moderate level of leverage and liquidity risk, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.54 and a current ratio of 1.07.
  • The company's profitability metrics, including return on equity and return on assets, are below the industry median, indicating weaker performance relative to its peers.
  • The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in the domestic Chinese market, with no significant international exposure, increasing its exposure to local economic conditions.
  • The company's growth trajectory is mixed, with a slight increase in revenue and a decrease in net income in the current fiscal year, but a more optimistic outlook for the next fiscal year.
  • The company's risk assessment indicates a medium level of liquidity risk and a low level of dilution risk, with a key flag of negative net cash after subtracting total debt.
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyCNY
Revenue$63.24B
Gross profit$7.25B
Operating income$3.94B
Net income$2.17B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$4.99B
CapEx-$14.83B
Free cash flow-$8.88B
Total assets$149.04B
Total liabilities$98.94B
Total equity$50.10B
Cash & equivalents$11.21B
Long-term debt$77.18B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$63.24B$3.94B$2.17B-$8.88B
FY-1$59.50B$2.65B$772.3M-$8.59B
FY-2$56.74B-$1.60B-$2.38B-$16.75B
FY-3$64.54B$3.59B$3.28B-$8.26B
FY-4$61.57B$8.54B$7.10B$2.34B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$149.04B$50.10B$11.21B
FY-1$138.37B$48.01B$10.56B
FY-2$120.65B$44.65B$10.32B
FY-3$107.08B$47.05B$9.65B
FY-4$92.17B$45.93B$10.03B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$4.99B-$14.83B-$8.88B
FY-1-$794.2M-$12.82B-$8.59B
FY-2$6.92B-$17.70B-$16.75B
FY-3$3.03B-$12.62B-$8.26B
FY-4$2.52B-$6.06B$2.34B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price$5.99
Market cap$28.11B
Enterprise value$94.08B
P/E13.0
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue1.5
EV/Op income23.9
EV/OCF18.9
P/B0.6
P/Tangible book0.6
Tangible book$50.10B
Net cash-$65.97B
Current ratio1.1
Debt/Equity1.5
ROA1.5%
ROE4.3%
Cash conversion2.3%
CapEx/Revenue-23.4%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Paper Packaging · cohort 1 companies
Metric2689Activity
Op margin6.2%9.4% medp25 7.4% · p75 10.8%bottom quartile
Net margin3.4%3.7% medp25 -2.0% · p75 6.0%below median
Gross margin11.5%20.2% medp25 19.8% · p75 20.6%bottom quartile
R&D / revenue0.2% medp25 0.2% · p75 0.2%
CapEx / revenue-23.4%9.2% medp25 9.2% · p75 9.2%bottom quartile
Debt / equity154.0%79.8% medp25 69.9% · p75 102.3%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target8.62 CNY
Median price target8.80 CNY
High price target12.00 CNY
Low price target4.30 CNY
Mean recommendation2.30 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count2.00
Buy count4.00
Hold count3.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate0.79 CNY
Last actual EPS0.38 CNY
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-19 02:04 UTCJob: d46e3fbb