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Companies 002203.SZ
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002203.SZ Shenzhen Stock Exchange Unclassified

Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd

¥20,98
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Mcap
48,1B CNY
P/E
49,4x
EV / Rev
0,8x
Div yield
1,12 %
Op margin
0,8 %
ROE
4,4 %
Net margin
0,9 %
Debt / equity
1,35
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
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Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd operates in the Materials sector, specifically within Metals & Mining, generating revenue through industrial activities.

Business. Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd operates in the Materials sector, specifically within Metals & Mining, generating revenue through industrial activities.

Classification20 %
SectorUnclassified
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY1 analysts
1 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target

Analyst recommendations

1 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy1
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
49,4x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
1 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
4,4 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning 002203.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to 002203.SZ. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd operates in the Materials sector, specifically within Metals & Mining, generating revenue through industrial activities.

    Classification20 %
    SectorUnclassified
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Zhejiang Hailiang maintains a capital structure characterized by significant leverage, with total liabilities of CNY 31.3 billion against total equity of CNY 16.8 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35. The company holds CNY 22.6 billion in long-term debt, which contributes to a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. Liquidity is assessed as medium, supported by a current ratio of 1.46, indicating adequate short-term asset coverage for liabilities. The market capitalization stands at CNY 46.6 billion, with a price-to-book ratio of 2.77 and a price-to-tangible book ratio of 2.77, reflecting the market's valuation of the company's equity base.

    Profitability metrics indicate modest returns on capital, with a return on equity of 4.36% and a return on assets of 1.52%. The company reported net income of CNY 943.2 million on revenue of CNY 83.3 billion, yielding a net margin of approximately 1.13%. Operating income was CNY 1.2 billion, while gross profit stood at CNY 3.2 billion, suggesting thin margins typical of the Metals & Mining industry. The high EV/EBITDA multiple of 104.72 contrasts with the low EV/Revenue ratio of 0.8, highlighting the impact of debt on enterprise value relative to earnings.

    Revenue concentration and segment details are not explicitly provided in the available data, limiting the analysis of specific business unit contributions. Geographic exposure is similarly absent from the disclosed information, preventing a detailed assessment of regional risk factors. The company's activity is broadly classified under Metals & Mining, implying exposure to commodity price fluctuations and industrial demand cycles.

    Growth trajectory analysis is constrained by the absence of historical period data in the input, preventing a year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter trend assessment. The latest financial snapshot shows revenue of CNY 83.3 billion, but without prior period comparisons, the direction of revenue growth cannot be determined. Analyst estimates suggest a mean EPS of 1.03 CNY, compared to the last actual EPS of 0.46 CNY, indicating expected earnings improvement.

    Risk factors include medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with a key flag noting negative net cash after debt subtraction. The company's operating cash flow is negative at CNY -1.7 billion, while free cash flow is negative at CNY -187.7 million, driven by capital expenditures of CNY -986.4 million. These cash flow dynamics, combined with high long-term debt, pose potential refinancing risks and limit financial flexibility.

    Recent events include analyst recommendations with a mean rating of 1.00 (strong buy), based on one strong-buy count and no other ratings. The discrepancy between the mean EPS estimate of 1.03 CNY and the last actual EPS of 0.46 CNY suggests analyst optimism for future performance. No specific filing, news, or transcript observations are provided in the input data.

    Key takeaways
    • High leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 and CNY 22.6 billion in long-term debt creates significant financial risk.
    • Negative operating cash flow of CNY -1.7 billion and negative free cash flow of CNY -187.7 million indicate cash generation challenges.
    • Modest profitability with a return on equity of 4.36% and return on assets of 1.52% reflects thin margins in the Metals & Mining sector.
    • Analyst sentiment is strongly positive with a mean recommendation of 1.00 and expected EPS growth from 0.46 CNY to 1.03 CNY.
    • Low dilution risk suggests stable share count, with basic and diluted shares outstanding both at 2.29 billion.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 5

    Operating income surged 99.1% year-over-year to CNY 1.21 billion, signaling a strong operational recovery.

    Free cash flow improved by 75.9% to a negative CNY 187.7 million, indicating reduced cash burn.

    Net income grew 34.1% year-over-year to CNY 943.2 million, demonstrating bottom-line resilience.

    Revenue maintained a 7.0% four-year CAGR, reflecting consistent long-term top-line expansion.

    Gross profit reached CNY 3.16 billion, maintaining robust gross margins despite revenue fluctuations.

    BEAR CASE · 5

    Operating margin of 0.77% ranks in the bottom quartile, significantly underperforming the cohort median.

    High credit risk flag indicates significant potential for loan losses or financial instability.

    Debt-to-equity ratio of 1.35 is in the bottom quartile, signaling excessive leverage compared to peers.

    Net margin of 0.85% falls in the bottom quartile, highlighting poor profitability relative to the cohort.

    Return on equity of 4.36% is below the cohort median, indicating inefficient capital utilization.

    In focus — financials by report

    Annual
    ANNUALFiled 2026-04-29
    FY 2026 · Full-year highlights

    Revenue ¥83.31B, −4,8% YoY; Operating income +99,1% YoY.

    Revenue¥83.31B−4,8 % YoY
    Operating income¥1.21B+99,1 % YoY
    Net income¥943.2M+34,1 % YoY
    Free cash flow-¥187.7M+75,9 % YoY
    EPS
    Operating cash flow-¥1.68B+27,0 % YoY
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue¥83.31B
    Gross profit¥3.16B
    Operating income¥1.21B
    Net income¥943.2M
    Margins
    Gross margin3.8%
    Operating margin1.5%
    Net margin1.1%
    FCF margin-0.2%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets¥48.13B
    Total liabilities¥31.31B
    Total equity¥16.82B
    Cash & equivalents
    Long-term debt¥22.63B
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow-¥1.68B
    CapEx-¥986.4M
    Free cash flow-¥187.7M
    SBC
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue ¥83.31BOperating costs ¥82.10BFinance ¥656.0MNet income ¥943.2M
    Highlights
    • Revenue ¥83.31B, −4,8% YoY
    • Operating income +99,1% YoY
    • Net income +34,1% YoY
    • Free cash flow +75,9% YoY
    • Net margin 1.1%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    ¥20,98
    Market cap
    ¥46.61B
    Enterprise value
    ¥69.25B
    P/E
    49.4x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    0.8x
    EV / Op income
    57.1x
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    2.8x
    P / Tangible book
    2.8x
    Tangible book
    ¥16.82B
    Net cash
    -¥22.63B
    Current ratio
    1.5
    Debt / equity
    1.4
    ROA
    1.5%
    ROE
    4.4%
    Cash conversion
    -229.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -1.1%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    1,03
    Predicted surprise
    -0,08
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    1
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-07-07 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate1,03
    Revenueno estimateno estimate97,0B CNY
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate3,4B CNY
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in CNY. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution1 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy0
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    Operating income · consensus3,4B CNY
    EPS surprise
    −55,3 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    −14,1 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    — missing data

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin0,8 %Bottom quartile
    Net Margin0,9 %Bottom quartile
    ROE4,4 %Below median
    Capex / Rev-1,1 %Above P75
    D/E1,35Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv-2,29Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Earnings
      market_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Return On Assets
      net_income / total_assets
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd Market data — financials · 2026-07-07
    • Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-07
    • Zhejiang Hailiang Co Ltd Market data — ESG · 2026-07-07

    Ownership & reference

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    002203.SZCanonical
    Shenzhen Stock Exchange · CNY

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise-0,08Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-04-29 20:07 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2026 Revenue CNY 83.31B · Net CNY 943.2M
    2025-04-26 00:26 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2025 Revenue CNY 87.55B · Net CNY 703.3M
    2024-04-29 17:41 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2024 Revenue CNY 75.75B · Net CNY 1.12B
    2023-04-24 20:01 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2023 Revenue CNY 74.00B · Net CNY 1.21B
    2022-04-27 20:53 UTCEARNINGSAnnual results — FY 2022 Revenue CNY 63.44B · Net CNY 1.11B
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage