8951.T
The company operates as a commercial real estate investment trust (REIT), generating income primarily through the ownership, operation, and management of commercial properties.
Business. The company operates as a commercial real estate investment trust (REIT), generating income primarily through the ownership, operation, and management of commercial properties.
Analyst recommendations
11 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
The company operates as a commercial real estate investment trust (REIT), generating income primarily through the ownership, operation, and management of commercial properties.
The company maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86, indicating a relatively balanced capital structure, though its current ratio of 0.35 suggests limited short-term liquidity. Free cash flow is negative at -95.37 billion JPY, primarily due to capital expenditures of -105.68 billion JPY, which outstrip operating cash flow of 87.62 billion JPY. This highlights a reliance on long-term financing, with long-term debt amounting to 628 billion JPY.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 5.88% and a return on assets (ROA) of 2.96%, both below the industry median for commercial REITs. The company's net income of 42.85 billion JPY is supported by an operating income of 46.30 billion JPY, but its gross profit margin of 62.1% is in line with the sector average.
The company's revenue is concentrated in commercial property operations, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of segment or geographic diversification increases exposure to regional economic downturns or regulatory shifts.
Looking ahead, the company is expected to maintain stable revenue, with no significant growth or contraction projected in the next fiscal year. However, the negative free cash flow and high capital expenditures suggest ongoing reinvestment in the property portfolio.
The company faces moderate liquidity risk due to its current ratio of 0.35 and a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. While dilution risk is currently low, the company's capital structure and financing needs could change if it pursues further property acquisitions or development projects.
Recent filings and transcripts indicate no major corporate events or strategic shifts. Analysts have issued a mean price target of 148,318.18 JPY, with a median of 150,000.00 JPY, and a mean recommendation of 3.00 (Hold), reflecting a cautious outlook.
- The company has a balanced capital structure but faces liquidity constraints due to a low current ratio and negative free cash flow.
- Profitability metrics are below the industry median, indicating room for improvement in asset utilization and cost management.
- Revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, increasing exposure to market-specific risks.
- Analysts project a neutral outlook, with a mean recommendation of Hold and a wide range of price targets.
- The company's capital expenditures are a significant drag on free cash flow, suggesting ongoing investment in the property portfolio.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
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Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 4 824,13 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 105,2B JPY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | —no estimate |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- 8951.T Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
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