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AVB NYSE Residential REITs

Avalonbay Communities Inc

$188,78
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USD
Set alert
LatestAvalonBay and Equity Residential merge to form largest U.S. apartment REIT
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
26,6B USD
P/E
EV / Rev
3 798,9x
Div yield
3,67 %
Op margin
28 232,0 %
ROE
2,8 %
Net margin
17 770,3 %
Debt / equity
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
$190,80
Open
Next earnings
2026-10-28
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

AvalonBay Communities Inc operates as an equity real estate investment trust that develops, acquires, and manages multifamily residential communities, generating revenue primarily through rental income and ancillary fees.

Business. AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) is a residential real estate investment trust (REIT) that generates revenue primarily through rental income. The company is headquartered in the United States and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol AVB. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided in the available data.

Classification99 %
SectorReal Estate
Industry groupResidential REITs
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD20 analysts
4 buy16 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target198,94

Analyst recommendations

20 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy4
Hold16
Sell0
12-month price target
198,94
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Hold
20 analysts · indicative
Ownership
Principal Global Investors (Equity)
largest disclosed fund holder
Profitability
2,8 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • MARKETSAvalonBay and Equity Residential merge to form largest U.S. apartment REIT2026-05-22
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate · THIS SECTOR−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to AVB. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Company
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
    • Congressional trades
    • CongressLisa McClain — AvalonBay Communities, Inc.2025-10-31 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressLisa McClain — AvalonBay Communities, Inc.2025-10-30 · Republican · MI · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressLisa McClain — AvalonBay Communities, Inc.2025-10-30 · Republican · MI · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressLisa McClain — AvalonBay Communities, Inc.2025-08-04 · Republican · MI · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000

    Pre-earnings brief

    Briefing · model-assisted

    A major holder change was detected for Avalonbay Communities Inc (AVB) involving investor ID 931, with conflicting data points recorded on consecutive days. On June 25, 2026, the system detected a modification where the investor's share count increased to 66,330 shares, valued at approximately $10.67 million, representing a portfolio weight of 0.0051%. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, showed the opposite adjustment, with the share count dropping to just 15 shares, valued at $0.002 million, and a negligible portfolio weight of 0.000001%. Both records are dated as of March 31, 2026, suggesting a data correction or reporting anomaly rather than a genuine swing in trading activity over that period. This volatility in holder data stands in contrast to the broader stability of the company's fundamental profile. Avalonbay Communities Inc maintains a consistent presence with one reported officer, membership in one index, and a base of 33 top holders. The company's market share position also remained relatively stable, with a minor calculated decrease from approximately 0.00000807% to 0.00000786%, a change of -2.53%. These figures indicate that while specific data points for individual investors may fluctuate, the overall capital structure and market positioning of the REIT have not undergone significant structural shifts. Concurrently, the company's analytical narrative underwent moderate revisions. The AI analysis components, including the business summary, key takeaways, and conclusion, were modified with medium severity. The business summary revision showed a high similarity score of 0.824, indicating incremental updates rather than a fundamental rewrite, while the narrative and conclusion saw lower similarity scores of 0.256, suggesting more substantial rephrasing or contextual adjustments. Additionally, the key takeaways section saw a net neutral change, with six additions and six removals, reflecting a refinement of the investment thesis rather than a new directional shift. Despite these internal data and analytical updates, external market attention appears muted. Cross-source signal data shows zero dispatches and null sentiment readings for every day from June 27, 2026, through July 17, 2026. This lack of news flow or sentiment generation suggests that the holder data corrections and analytical revisions have not triggered broader market commentary or significant investor reaction during this window. The absence of analyst coverage, indicated by an analyst count of zero, further underscores the quiet period surrounding these specific data adjustments.

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    AvalonBay Communities Inc (AVB) is a residential real estate investment trust (REIT) that generates revenue primarily through rental income. The company is headquartered in the United States and is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol AVB. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic mix are not provided in the available data.

    Classification99 %
    SectorReal Estate
    Industry groupResidential REITs
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    AvalonBay maintains a capital structure supported by $11.49 billion in total equity against $10.41 billion in total liabilities, resulting in a reported debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0 in the valuation snapshot, though the balance sheet reflects significant secured and unsecured debt instruments including fixed-rate mortgage notes and unsecured term loans. The company holds $121.2 million in cash and equivalents, supplemented by access to a $2.5 billion revolving credit facility and a $1.0 billion commercial paper program, providing ample liquidity for operations and development. The current ratio is not explicitly provided, but the substantial cash flow generation and credit facilities mitigate near-term liquidity concerns.

    Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 2.83% and a return on assets of 1.47% for the latest period, with a net income of $325.7 million on revenue of $1.83 billion. The price-to-earnings ratio stands at 82.5, and the price-to-book ratio is 2.34, reflecting market expectations for future growth and asset appreciation. The EV/EBITDA multiple is 51.70, indicating a premium valuation relative to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. These returns are driven by high occupancy rates and premium pricing strategies in key metropolitan markets.

    Revenue is derived from rental and other income, which totaled $768.4 million in Q1 2026, alongside management, development, and other fees of $1.8 million. The company operates across multiple segments, including same-store communities, other stabilized communities, and development/redevelopment communities. Geographic exposure is concentrated in major U.S. metropolitan areas, with specific mentions of properties in California, New York, and other high-demand markets. The diversification across segments and geographies helps mitigate localized economic risks.

    Growth trajectory is evidenced by a year-over-year increase in net income from $236.6 million in Q1 2025 to $325.7 million in Q1 2026, driven by higher rental income and gains on the sale of communities. Operating cash flow increased to $418.9 million in Q1 2026 from $415.9 million in the prior year period. The company continues to invest in development and redevelopment, with capital expenditures for existing real estate assets totaling $59.5 million in Q1 2026.

    Risk factors include medium dilution risk due to the continuous equity program and potential share-based compensation issuances. The company also faces liquidity risks associated with its debt maturities, although the staggered maturity profile and access to credit facilities provide a buffer. Key flags in the risk assessment highlight the potential for dilution or offering risk, which could impact shareholder value if not managed effectively.

    Recent events include the filing of an 8-K report with material items related to Item 2.02, indicating significant corporate developments. The company also reported a gain on the sale of communities of $179.9 million in Q1 2026, up from $56.5 million in the prior year period. Analyst estimates suggest a mean price target of $198.94, with a median target of $198.00, reflecting a generally positive outlook from the investment community.

    A major holder change was detected for Avalonbay Communities Inc (AVB) involving investor ID 931, with conflicting data points recorded on consecutive days. On June 25, 2026, the system detected a modification where the investor's share count increased to 66,330 shares, valued at approximately $10.67 million, representing a portfolio weight of 0.0051%. However, a subsequent detection on June 26, 2026, showed the opposite adjustment, with the share count dropping to just 15 shares, valued at $0.002 million, and a negligible portfolio weight of 0.000001%. Both records are dated as of March 31, 2026, suggesting a data correction or reporting anomaly rather than a genuine swing in trading activity over that period. This volatility in holder data stands in contrast to the broader stability of the company's fundamental profile. Avalonbay Communities Inc maintains a consistent presence with one reported officer, membership in one index, and a base of 33 top holders. The company's market share position also remained relatively stable, with a minor calculated decrease from approximately 0.00000807% to 0.00000786%, a change of -2.53%. These figures indicate that while specific data points for individual investors may fluctuate, the overall capital structure and market positioning of the REIT have not undergone significant structural shifts. Concurrently, the company's analytical narrative underwent moderate revisions. The AI analysis components, including the business summary, key takeaways, and conclusion, were modified with medium severity. The business summary revision showed a high similarity score of 0.824, indicating incremental updates rather than a fundamental rewrite, while the narrative and conclusion saw lower similarity scores of 0.256, suggesting more substantial rephrasing or contextual adjustments. Additionally, the key takeaways section saw a net neutral change, with six additions and six removals, reflecting a refinement of the investment thesis rather than a new directional shift. Despite these internal data and analytical updates, external market attention appears muted. Cross-source signal data shows zero dispatches and null sentiment readings for every day from June 27, 2026, through July 17, 2026. This lack of news flow or sentiment generation suggests that the holder data corrections and analytical revisions have not triggered broader market commentary or significant investor reaction during this window. The absence of analyst coverage, indicated by an analyst count of zero, further underscores the quiet period surrounding these specific data adjustments.

    Key takeaways
    • Net income increased 37.7% year-over-year to $325.7 million in Q1 2026, driven by higher rental income and significant gains on property sales.
    • The company maintains a strong liquidity position with $121.2 million in cash and access to $3.5 billion in committed credit facilities.
    • Valuation multiples remain elevated, with a P/E ratio of 82.5 and an EV/EBITDA of 51.70, reflecting premium market positioning.
    • Medium dilution risk is present due to the continuous equity program and share-based compensation, requiring monitoring of share count changes.
    • Development and redevelopment activities continue, with $336.8 million in cash used for these purposes in Q1 2026, supporting long-term growth.
    • Analyst sentiment is cautiously positive, with a mean recommendation of 2.65 and a mean price target of $198.94.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-03-31
    Q4 2025 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue $1.8M; Operating income $517.5M.

    Revenue$1.8M
    Operating income$517.5M
    Net income$325.7M
    Free cash flow
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$418.9M
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$1.8M
    Gross profit
    Operating income$517.5M
    Net income$325.7M
    Margins
    Gross margin
    Operating margin28232.0%
    Net margin17770.3%
    FCF margin
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$22.13B
    Total liabilities$10.41B
    Total equity$11.49B
    Cash & equivalents$121.2M
    Long-term debt
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$418.9M
    CapEx
    Free cash flow
    SBC$5.7M
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $1.8MOperating costs $515.7MTax $191.8MNet income $325.7M
    Highlights
    • Revenue $1.8M
    • Operating income $517.5M
    • Net margin 17770.3%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    $188,78
    Market cap
    $26.87B
    Enterprise value
    $26.75B
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    3798.9x
    EV / Op income
    13.2x
    EV / OCF
    63.9x
    P / B
    2.3x
    P / Tangible book
    2.3x
    Tangible book
    $11.71B
    Net cash
    $121.2M
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    ROA
    1.5%
    ROE
    2.8%
    Cash conversion
    129.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    SBC / revenue
    3.1%
    Dilution ratio
    1.2%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate4,92
    Revenueno estimateno estimate3,1B USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate1,0B USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Corporate eventM&A horizon
    M&A probabilityconf 3 %
    Probability
    3 %
    Base rate
    3 %
    Band
    180-day horizon · target 2027-01-21 · 1,0× base rate
    No acquirer candidates identified by the signal model.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-07-25

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution23 analysts
    Strong buy2
    Buy4
    Hold16
    Sell1
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$191,89 · Median $190,50
    Low $172,00High $209,00
    Operating income · consensus1,0B USD
    EPS surprise
    +50,5 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    −2,7 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$187,00
    Mean$198,94
    Median$198,00
    High$213,00
    Spot$188,78
    +5.4 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskMedium
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin28 232,0 %Best in class
    Net Margin17 770,3 %Best in class
    ROE2,8 %Below median
    D/E0,00Above median
    Cash Conv1,29Above median

    Corporate actions / M&A

    M&A probabilityconf —
    Probability
    3 %
    Base rate
    3 %
    Band
    Low
    180-day horizon · target 2027-01-21 · 1,0× base rate
    No acquirer candidates identified by the signal model.
    Corporate actionsNo corporate-action source connected yet — splits, dividends and buyback events are not tracked for this company. Honest-dim (no data fabricated).

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Regulatory filings
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Tangible Book
      market_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    Source documents
    • AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC company facts · 2026-07-26
    • AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC 10-Q 2026-05-07 · 2026-07-26
    • AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC 10-K 2026-02-27 · 2026-07-26
    • AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC 10-Q 2025-11-06 · 2026-07-26
    • AVALONBAY COMMUNITIES INC 10-Q 2025-08-07 · 2026-07-26
    • 8-K (sec_8k_material) on AVB · 2026-07-26
    • AvalonBay Communities Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-26
    • AvalonBay Communities Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-07-26
    • AvalonBay Communities Inc — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-26

    Ownership & reference

    Top holders

    • Principal Global Investors (Equity)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,39 %$726M
    • Nuveen LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,10 %$344M
    • Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$561M
    • BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,08 %$3 412M
    • T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$1M
    • Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$349M
    • AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$266M
    • Vanguard Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,06 %$4 127M
    • Northern Trust Investments, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$435M
    • State Street Investment Management (US)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$1 531M
    • Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$366M
    • Invesco QQQ TrustFunds · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$313M
    • Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$697M
    • First Trust Advisors L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$49M
    • EATON VANCE MANAGEMENTInstitutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,03 %$0M
    • Bank of New York Mellon CorpInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$136M
    • Wellington Management Company, LLPInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$99M
    • UBS Financial Services, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$98M
    • Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$272M
    • Victory Capital Management Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$22M
    • Wells Fargo AdvisorsBrokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$56M
    • FMR LLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$193M
    • AllianceBernstein L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$30M
    • AQR Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$15M
    • Raymond James & Associates, Inc.Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$18M
    • American Century Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$10M
    • JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$11M
    • MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$13M
    • Franklin Advisers, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
    • JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
    • LPL Financial LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
    • JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M

    Leadership

    • Benjamin W. SchallPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director

    Insider activity

    Mixed / flat0 buys · 0 sellsnet $015 insiders · last 365d
    • HAVNER RONALD L JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Brown Terry S.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Flynn Conor CDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • NAUGHTON TIMOTHY JDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Swanezy SusanDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Lieb Richard JDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • MUELLER CHARLES E JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Howard Christopher B.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Lynch NnennaDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Hills Stephen P.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Aeppel GlynDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 1 082 · 2026-05-28
    • Flynn Conor CDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 135 · 2026-05-19
    • Howard Christopher B.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 135 · 2026-05-19
    • HAVNER RONALD L JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 135 · 2026-05-19
    • MUELLER CHARLES E JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 176 · 2026-05-19
    • Brown Terry S.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 203 · 2026-05-19
    • Flynn Conor CDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 140 · 2026-03-02
    • Howard Christopher B.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 140 · 2026-03-02
    • Brown Terry S.Director · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 209 · 2026-03-02
    • MUELLER CHARLES E JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 182 · 2026-03-02
    • HAVNER RONALD L JRDirector · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 140 · 2026-03-02
    • Schall BenjaminDirector, CEO & President · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 15 766 @ $177,23$2,8M · 2026-03-01
    • SCHULMAN EDWARD MEVP-General Counsel · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 2 783 @ $177,23$493K · 2026-03-01
    • Birenbaum Matthew H.Chief Investment Officer · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 5 706 @ $177,23$1,0M · 2026-03-01
    • O'Shea Kevin P.Chief Financial Officer · Common Stock, par value $.01 per shareOther 4 983 @ $177,23$883K · 2026-03-01

    Short positioning

    3.2Mshares short+6.1% vs prior
    3.67days to cover
    66.5%short of daily vol
    762fails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-07-15 · short-interest report (free)
    Index membership
    S&P 500United States

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    AVBCanonical
    NYSE · USD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorM&A prob3 %Full forecast →
    What changed

    no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)

    • Narrative— → —medium
    • Business summary— → —medium
    • Conclusion— → —medium
    • Key takeaways— → —medium
    • Company share pct— → —medium
    vs prior analysis 2 days ago
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskMedium
    Liquidity riskLow
    Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 0.89xDerived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 72.4%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2.8%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 15.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 3.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.4%Derived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 14.3%Derived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 11.61BSEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 7SEC XBRL filing
    • Revenue (annual): USD 3.04BSEC XBRL filing
    • Operating cash flow (annual): USD 1.67BSEC XBRL filing
    • Interest expense (annual): USD 259.18MSEC XBRL filing
    • Operating income (annual): USD 2.02BSEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 7SEC XBRL filing
    • Shares outstanding (annual): 140.08MSEC XBRL filing
    • Total liabilities (annual): USD 10.36BSEC XBRL filing
    • Pre-tax income (annual): USD 1.06BSEC XBRL filing
    • Long-term debt (annual): USD 9.33BSEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 187.23MSEC XBRL filing
    • Total assets (annual): USD 22.19BSEC XBRL filing
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-10-28EVENTUpcomingQ3 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-07-24 04:31 UTCFILINGMaterial 8-K
    2026-07-22 00:00 UTCTRANSCRIPTEarnings call — Q3 2026
    2026-07-22EVENTQ2 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: ma_probability (180d)
    2026-06-26 03:13 UTCHOLDERInstitutional holding changed
    2026-06-26 03:13 UTCHOLDER1 institutional position change flagged (1 major)
    2026-06-25 03:10 UTCHOLDERInstitutional holding changed
    2026-06-25 03:10 UTCHOLDER1 institutional position change flagged (1 major)
    2026-06-08FILINGFORM 8-K →
    2026-05-28 00:00 UTCINSIDER16 insider transactions — 2026-05
    2026-05-28 00:00 UTCINSIDER16 insider transactions — 2026-05
    2026-05-28INSIDERHAVNER RONALD L JR transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERBrown Terry S. transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERFlynn Conor C transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERNAUGHTON TIMOTHY J transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERSwanezy Susan transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERLieb Richard J transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERMUELLER CHARLES E JR transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERHoward Christopher B. transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERLynch Nnenna transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERHills Stephen P. transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-28INSIDERAeppel Glyn transacted 1.1k sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-22FILINGFORM 8-K →
    2026-05-21FILINGFORM 8-K →
    2026-05-19INSIDERFlynn Conor C transacted 135 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-19INSIDERHoward Christopher B. transacted 135 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-19INSIDERHAVNER RONALD L JR transacted 135 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-19INSIDERMUELLER CHARLES E JR transacted 176 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-19INSIDERBrown Terry S. transacted 203 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-05-07FILING10-Q filing →
    2026-05-01 08:38 UTCFILINGRegulatory filing →
    2026-04-28FILING8-K filing →
    2026-04-06FILINGDEF 14A filing →
    2026-03-31EARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Revenue USD 1.8M · Net USD 325.7M
    2026-03-02 00:00 UTCINSIDER9 insider transactions — 2026-03 · net sell $5.2M
    2026-03-02 00:00 UTCINSIDER9 insider transactions — 2026-03 · net sell $5.2M
    2026-03-02INSIDERFlynn Conor C transacted 140 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    2026-03-02INSIDERHoward Christopher B. transacted 140 sh Common Stock, par value $.01 per share — Director
    Showing the 40 most recent of 63 entries.
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage