Dynex Capital Inc
Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.
Business. Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.
Analyst recommendations
6 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
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Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.
Dynex Capital maintains a capital structure defined by total assets of $24.34 billion and total liabilities of $21.62 billion, resulting in total equity of $2.72 billion. The company holds $773.14 million in cash and equivalents, generating $69.85 million in operating cash flow for the period. The valuation snapshot indicates a price-to-book ratio of 1.0 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, reflecting a balance sheet where liabilities are primarily structured as financing instruments rather than traditional corporate debt. The market capitalization stands at $2.73 billion, with 207.15 million basic shares outstanding.
Profitability metrics show a net income loss of $80.36 million, yielding a return on equity of -2.95% and a return on assets of -0.33%. These negative returns reflect the impact of unrealized losses and financing costs on the mortgage-backed securities portfolio. The company’s equity base is further characterized by accumulated distributions in excess of net income, a common feature for REITs prioritizing distribution coverage over retained earnings.
Revenue concentration is driven by investments in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities issued by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises, as well as interest-only strips and asset-backed securities. The portfolio includes significant exposure to securities issued by private enterprises and various maturity buckets, including those maturing in up to 30 days, 30 to 90 days, and over 90 days. The company actively manages counterparty risk and utilizes derivatives such as interest rate swaps, futures, and options to hedge interest rate and prepayment risks.
Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical revenue and net income trend data in the provided input. The current period’s net income loss of $80.36 million represents a negative earnings outcome, but year-over-year or multi-year growth rates cannot be calculated from the available financial snapshot. The company’s share count has decreased from 207.15 million basic shares to 200.08 million diluted shares, indicating the presence of dilutive securities such as preferred stock or options that are not currently dilutive to basic EPS.
Risk assessment identifies low liquidity risk and medium dilution risk. Key flags highlight source documents mentioning dilution or offering risk, consistent with the company’s use of an ATM offering program. The company actively manages interest rate, prepayment, spread, liquidity, and counterparty risks, with leverage contingent on market conditions and asset volatility. The presence of unrealized losses in the portfolio is assessed based on the significance of the related investment and the company’s leverage position.
Recent events include the filing of a 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, and a 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. An 8-K filing reported material events under item 2.02, indicating a change in financial statement or securities. Analyst estimates show a mean price target of $14.75, with a mean recommendation of 2.00, reflecting a buy consensus. The company continues to manage its portfolio through active hedging strategies and risk management frameworks.
- Dynex Capital reports a net income loss of $80.36 million for Q1 2026, driven by unrealized losses in its mortgage-backed securities portfolio.
- The company maintains a price-to-book ratio of 1.0, with total equity of $2.72 billion and cash reserves of $773.14 million.
- Medium dilution risk is flagged due to the company’s ATM offering program and outstanding preferred stock and equity awards.
- The portfolio is heavily concentrated in U.S. government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities, with active hedging via interest rate swaps and futures.
- Analyst consensus remains positive with a mean price target of $14.75 and a buy recommendation, despite current earnings pressure.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Price To Tangible Bookmarket_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- DYNEX CAPITAL INC company facts · 2026-07-21
- DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2026-04-27 · 2026-07-21
- DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-K 2026-02-25 · 2026-07-21
- DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2025-10-27 · 2026-07-21
- DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2025-07-28 · 2026-07-21
- 8-K (sec_8k_material) on DX · 2026-07-21
- Dynex Capital Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-21
- Dynex Capital Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-07-21
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$33M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$25M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$61M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$21M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$23M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$14M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$59M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$79M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$118M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$17M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$15M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$2M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Insider activity
- Director · Common StockOther 10 372 · 2026-06-15
- Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
- Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
- Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
- Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 136 006 · 2026-03-04
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 25 054 · 2026-03-04
- SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 18 275 · 2026-03-04
- Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 136 006 · 2026-03-04
- Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 29 002 @ $14,03$407K · 2026-02-28
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 1 593 @ $14,03$22K · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 32 514 @ $14,03$456K · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 28 491 @ $14,03$400K · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 86 579 · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 34 069 @ $14,03$478K · 2026-02-28
- SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 769 @ $14,03$11K · 2026-02-28
- SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 437 @ $14,03$6K · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 66 287 · 2026-02-28
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 2 000 @ $12,19$24K · 2026-02-27
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 60 @ $12,12$727 · 2025-09-26
- CFO and COO · Common StockBought 4 200 @ $12,12$51K · 2025-09-26
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 4 200 @ $12,16$51K · 2025-09-26
- Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 15 206 @ $12,93$197K · 2025-09-08
- Director, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 18 954 @ $12,93$245K · 2025-09-08
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 66.0%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 112.6%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 111.9%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 739.5%Derived (calculated)
- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 0.0%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -99.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 65.8%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 40.8%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 120.82MSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 174.81MSEC XBRL filing
- Net income (annual): USD 319.06KSEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 531.04MSEC XBRL filing
- Total operating expenses (annual): USD 53.05MSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 17.34BSEC XBRL filing
- Total liabilities (annual): USD 14.88BSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 215.2%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): -76.9%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 27.3%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 696.0%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 28.5%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 1,958.0%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 700.0%Derived (calculated)