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Dynex Capital Inc

$12,77
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Mcap
2,6B USD
P/E
8,6x
EV / Rev
Div yield
14,66 %
Op margin
ROE
-2,9 %
Net margin
Debt / equity
Beta
52w range
Volume
14,3k
Day range
$13,54–$13,68
Prev close
$13,62
Open
$13,62
Next earnings
2026-10-28
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.

Business. Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.

Classification78 %
SectorReal Estate
Business sectorReal Estate Investment & Services
Industry groupResidential & Commercial REITs
IndustryReal Estate Investment Trusts
ActivityEquity REITs
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY6 analysts
4 buy2 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target14,75

Analyst recommendations

6 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy4
Hold2
Sell0
12-month price target
14,75
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
8,6x
P/E
Analysts
Buy
6 analysts · indicative
Ownership
Victory Capital Management Inc.
largest disclosed fund holder
Profitability
-2,9 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning DX.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate · THIS SECTOR−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to DX. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Company
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Dynex Capital Inc operates as an equity REIT that invests in mortgage-backed securities, generating returns through interest income and active management of interest rate, prepayment, and spread risks.

    Classification78 %
    SectorReal Estate
    Business sectorReal Estate Investment & Services
    Industry groupResidential & Commercial REITs
    IndustryReal Estate Investment Trusts
    ActivityEquity REITs
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Dynex Capital maintains a capital structure defined by total assets of $24.34 billion and total liabilities of $21.62 billion, resulting in total equity of $2.72 billion. The company holds $773.14 million in cash and equivalents, generating $69.85 million in operating cash flow for the period. The valuation snapshot indicates a price-to-book ratio of 1.0 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, reflecting a balance sheet where liabilities are primarily structured as financing instruments rather than traditional corporate debt. The market capitalization stands at $2.73 billion, with 207.15 million basic shares outstanding.

    Profitability metrics show a net income loss of $80.36 million, yielding a return on equity of -2.95% and a return on assets of -0.33%. These negative returns reflect the impact of unrealized losses and financing costs on the mortgage-backed securities portfolio. The company’s equity base is further characterized by accumulated distributions in excess of net income, a common feature for REITs prioritizing distribution coverage over retained earnings.

    Revenue concentration is driven by investments in residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities issued by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises, as well as interest-only strips and asset-backed securities. The portfolio includes significant exposure to securities issued by private enterprises and various maturity buckets, including those maturing in up to 30 days, 30 to 90 days, and over 90 days. The company actively manages counterparty risk and utilizes derivatives such as interest rate swaps, futures, and options to hedge interest rate and prepayment risks.

    Growth trajectory analysis is limited by the absence of historical revenue and net income trend data in the provided input. The current period’s net income loss of $80.36 million represents a negative earnings outcome, but year-over-year or multi-year growth rates cannot be calculated from the available financial snapshot. The company’s share count has decreased from 207.15 million basic shares to 200.08 million diluted shares, indicating the presence of dilutive securities such as preferred stock or options that are not currently dilutive to basic EPS.

    Risk assessment identifies low liquidity risk and medium dilution risk. Key flags highlight source documents mentioning dilution or offering risk, consistent with the company’s use of an ATM offering program. The company actively manages interest rate, prepayment, spread, liquidity, and counterparty risks, with leverage contingent on market conditions and asset volatility. The presence of unrealized losses in the portfolio is assessed based on the significance of the related investment and the company’s leverage position.

    Recent events include the filing of a 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026, and a 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025. An 8-K filing reported material events under item 2.02, indicating a change in financial statement or securities. Analyst estimates show a mean price target of $14.75, with a mean recommendation of 2.00, reflecting a buy consensus. The company continues to manage its portfolio through active hedging strategies and risk management frameworks.

    Key takeaways
    • Dynex Capital reports a net income loss of $80.36 million for Q1 2026, driven by unrealized losses in its mortgage-backed securities portfolio.
    • The company maintains a price-to-book ratio of 1.0, with total equity of $2.72 billion and cash reserves of $773.14 million.
    • Medium dilution risk is flagged due to the company’s ATM offering program and outstanding preferred stock and equity awards.
    • The portfolio is heavily concentrated in U.S. government-sponsored enterprise mortgage-backed securities, with active hedging via interest rate swaps and futures.
    • Analyst consensus remains positive with a mean price target of $14.75 and a buy recommendation, despite current earnings pressure.

    Bull / Bear case

    analysis pipeline
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-03-31
    Q4 2025 · Quarter highlights
    Revenue
    Operating income
    Net income-$80.4M
    Free cash flow
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$69.8M
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue
    Gross profit
    Operating income
    Net income-$80.4M
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$24.34B
    Total liabilities$21.62B
    Total equity$2.72B
    Cash & equivalents$773.1M
    Long-term debt
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$69.8M
    CapEx
    Free cash flow
    SBC$7.7M

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    $12,77
    Market cap
    $2.73B
    Enterprise value
    $1.96B
    P/E
    8.6x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    28.0x
    P / B
    1.0x
    P / Tangible book
    1.0x
    Tangible book
    $2.72B
    Net cash
    $773.1M
    Current ratio
    Debt / equity
    ROA
    -0.3%
    ROE
    -2.9%
    Cash conversion
    -87.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    -3.4%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution6 analysts
    Strong buy2
    Buy2
    Hold2
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$15,10 · Median $15,00
    Low $14,50High $16,00
    Operating income · consensus237,000 USD
    EPS surprise
    −40,0 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$14,50
    Mean$14,75
    Median$14,75
    High$15,00
    Spot$12,77
    +15.5 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskMedium
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    ROE-2,9 %Bottom quartile
    D/E0,00Above median
    Cash Conv-0,87Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Regulatory filings
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Price To Tangible Book
      market_price / (tangible_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Price To Book
      market_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Enterprise Value
      market_cap - net_cash
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    Source documents
    • DYNEX CAPITAL INC company facts · 2026-07-21
    • DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2026-04-27 · 2026-07-21
    • DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-K 2026-02-25 · 2026-07-21
    • DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2025-10-27 · 2026-07-21
    • DYNEX CAPITAL INC 10-Q 2025-07-28 · 2026-07-21
    • 8-K (sec_8k_material) on DX · 2026-07-21
    • Dynex Capital Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-21
    • Dynex Capital Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-07-21

    Ownership & reference

    Top holders

    • Victory Capital Management Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$33M
    • AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$25M
    • First Trust Advisors L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
    • Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$61M
    • Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$21M
    • Northern Trust Investments, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$23M
    • Invesco QQQ TrustFunds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
    • UBS Financial Services, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$14M
    • Wellington Management Company, LLPInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
    • AQR Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
    • State Street Investment Management (US)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$59M
    • BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$79M
    • Vanguard Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,00 %$118M
    • Bank of New York Mellon CorpInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
    • Raymond James & Associates, Inc.Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
    • LPL Financial LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$6M
    • Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$17M
    • Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$7M
    • AllianceBernstein L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
    • FMR LLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$15M
    • Jennison Associates LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
    • JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
    • Nuveen LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$2M
    • Wells Fargo AdvisorsBrokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
    • T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M

    Insider activity

    Net buying4 buys · 0 sellsnet $127K10 insiders · last 365d
    • Neal Douglas EDirector · Common StockOther 10 372 · 2026-06-15
    • Coronado Julia LynnDirector · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
    • Gray Andrew I.Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
    • Chandoha Marie ADirector · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
    • Crawford Alexander I.Director · Common StockOther 11 400 · 2026-05-22
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 136 006 · 2026-03-04
    • Sartori Michael AndrewChief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 25 054 · 2026-03-04
    • Childress Jeffrey LSVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 18 275 · 2026-03-04
    • BOSTON BYRON LDirector, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 136 006 · 2026-03-04
    • BOSTON BYRON LDirector, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 29 002 @ $14,03$407K · 2026-02-28
    • Sartori Michael AndrewChief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 1 593 @ $14,03$22K · 2026-02-28
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 32 514 @ $14,03$456K · 2026-02-28
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 28 491 @ $14,03$400K · 2026-02-28
    • BOSTON BYRON LDirector, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 86 579 · 2026-02-28
    • BOSTON BYRON LDirector, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 34 069 @ $14,03$478K · 2026-02-28
    • Childress Jeffrey LSVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 769 @ $14,03$11K · 2026-02-28
    • Childress Jeffrey LSVP, Chief Accounting Officer · Common StockOther 437 @ $14,03$6K · 2026-02-28
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 66 287 · 2026-02-28
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 2 000 @ $12,19$24K · 2026-02-27
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 60 @ $12,12$727 · 2025-09-26
    • COLLIGAN ROBERT SCFO and COO · Common StockBought 4 200 @ $12,12$51K · 2025-09-26
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockBought 4 200 @ $12,16$51K · 2025-09-26
    • BOSTON BYRON LDirector, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board · Common StockOther 15 206 @ $12,93$197K · 2025-09-08
    • Popenoe Smriti LaxmanDirector, Co-CEO and President · Common StockOther 18 954 @ $12,93$245K · 2025-09-08

    Short positioning

    11.1Mshares short+7.1% vs prior
    2.16days to cover
    55.9%short of daily vol
    966fails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-07-15 · short-interest report (free)

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    DXCanonical
    NYSE · USD

    Intel & risk

    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskMedium
    Liquidity riskLow
    Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 66.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 112.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 111.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 739.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 0.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -99.7%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 65.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 40.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (annual): USD 120.82MSEC XBRL filing
    • Shares outstanding (annual): 174.81MSEC XBRL filing
    • Net income (annual): USD 319.06KSEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 531.04MSEC XBRL filing
    • Total operating expenses (annual): USD 53.05MSEC XBRL filing
    • Total assets (annual): USD 17.34BSEC XBRL filing
    • Total liabilities (annual): USD 14.88BSEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
    • EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 2SEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 215.2%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): -76.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 27.3%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 696.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 28.5%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 1,958.0%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2024-12-31 vs 2023-12-31): 700.0%Derived (calculated)
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-10-28EVENTUpcomingQ3 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-07-29 04:35 UTCFILINGMaterial 8-K
    2026-07-21 04:27 UTCFILINGMaterial 8-K
    2026-07-20 00:00 UTCTRANSCRIPTEarnings call — Q3 2026
    2026-07-20EVENTQ2 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-06-16FILING8-K filing →
    2026-06-15INSIDERNeal Douglas E transacted 10.4k sh — Director
    2026-05-22 00:00 UTCINSIDER4 insider transactions — 2026-05
    2026-05-22FILING8-K filing →
    2026-05-22INSIDERCoronado Julia Lynn transacted 11.4k sh — Director
    2026-05-22INSIDERGray Andrew I. transacted 11.4k sh — Director
    2026-05-22INSIDERChandoha Marie A transacted 11.4k sh — Director
    2026-05-22INSIDERCrawford Alexander I. transacted 11.4k sh — Director
    2026-05-01 15:50 UTCFILINGRegulatory filing →
    2026-04-28FILING8-K filing →
    2026-04-28FILING424B5 filing →
    2026-04-27FILING10-Q filing →
    2026-04-21FILING8-K filing →
    2026-04-20FILING8-K filing →
    2026-04-07FILINGDEF 14A filing →
    2026-03-31EARNINGSQuarterly results — Q4 2025 Net USD -80.4M
    2026-03-04 00:00 UTCINSIDER4 insider transactions — 2026-03
    2026-03-04INSIDERPopenoe Smriti Laxman transacted 136.0k sh — Director, Co-CEO and President
    2026-03-04INSIDERSartori Michael Andrew transacted 25.1k sh — Chief Financial Officer
    2026-03-04INSIDERChildress Jeffrey L transacted 18.3k sh — SVP, Chief Accounting Officer
    2026-03-04INSIDERBOSTON BYRON L transacted 136.0k sh — Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board
    2026-02-28 00:00 UTCINSIDER10 insider transactions — 2026-02 · net sell $1.8M
    2026-02-28INSIDERBOSTON BYRON L transacted 29.0k sh — Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board ~$407k
    2026-02-28INSIDERSartori Michael Andrew transacted 1.6k sh — Chief Financial Officer ~$22k
    2026-02-28INSIDERPopenoe Smriti Laxman transacted 32.5k sh — Director, Co-CEO and President ~$456k
    2026-02-28INSIDERPopenoe Smriti Laxman transacted 28.5k sh — Director, Co-CEO and President ~$400k
    2026-02-28INSIDERBOSTON BYRON L transacted 86.6k sh — Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board
    2026-02-28INSIDERBOSTON BYRON L transacted 34.1k sh — Director, Co-CEO & Chairman of the Board ~$478k
    2026-02-28INSIDERChildress Jeffrey L transacted 769 sh — SVP, Chief Accounting Officer ~$11k
    2026-02-28INSIDERChildress Jeffrey L transacted 437 sh — SVP, Chief Accounting Officer ~$6k
    2026-02-28INSIDERPopenoe Smriti Laxman transacted 66.3k sh — Director, Co-CEO and President
    2026-02-27FILINGFORM 8-K →
    2026-02-27INSIDERPopenoe Smriti Laxman bought 2.0k sh — Director, Co-CEO and President ~$24k
    2026-02-25FILING10-K filing →
    2026-01-27FILING8-K filing →
    Showing the 40 most recent of 54 entries.
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage