Cpx.To
CPX.TO generates and sells electricity through independent power production, primarily deriving revenue from power generation and sale agreements.
Business. CPX.TO generates and sells electricity through independent power production, primarily deriving revenue from power generation and sale agreements.
Analyst recommendations
13 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
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Analysis
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Upcoming catalysts
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
CPX.TO generates and sells electricity through independent power production, primarily deriving revenue from power generation and sale agreements.
CPX.TO has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing, while its current ratio of 0.94 suggests limited short-term liquidity. The company's free cash flow is negative at -491 million CAD, and its operating cash flow of 962 million CAD is insufficient to cover capital expenditures of 864 million CAD. This implies a need for external financing or debt management to sustain operations.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 3.29% and a return on assets of 1.04%, both below the industry median for Independent Power Producers. These figures suggest that CPX.TO is underperforming in terms of capital efficiency and asset utilization compared to its peers. The company's operating income of 397 million CAD and net income of 160 million CAD reflect a narrow margin, which may limit its ability to reinvest in growth or withstand market volatility.
The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to regional regulatory changes, energy demand fluctuations, and grid reliability risks. The absence of segment or geographic breakdown in the financial data further limits visibility into potential vulnerabilities.
Looking ahead, CPX.TO is projected to see a modest increase in revenue, with a growth trajectory that remains constrained by capital expenditures and debt servicing. The company's capital expenditure of 864 million CAD is a significant drag on free cash flow, and its long-term debt of 6.88 billion CAD suggests a need for disciplined debt management. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of 73.38 CAD, with a median of 75.50 CAD, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to negative net cash after subtracting total debt, and a low dilution risk as shares outstanding remain unchanged between basic and diluted counts. The company's capital structure is heavily leveraged, with total liabilities of 10.58 billion CAD against total equity of 4.86 billion CAD. This leverage increases sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations and credit risk.
Recent events include the publication of the latest financial data, which highlights the company's capital intensity and reliance on debt. No recent filings or transcripts have been disclosed that indicate material changes in strategy or operations. The company's performance remains closely tied to its ability to manage debt and maintain stable cash flows.
- CPX.TO has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.42, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing.
- The company's return on equity of 3.29% is below the industry median, suggesting underperformance in capital efficiency.
- Free cash flow is negative at -491 million CAD, and operating cash flow is insufficient to cover capital expenditures.
- Analysts have assigned a mean price target of 73.38 CAD, with a median of 75.50 CAD, indicating a cautiously optimistic outlook.
- The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, increasing exposure to regional risks.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 2,01 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 3,8B CAD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 844,3M CAD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alberta nuclear power plant | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Alberta nuclear power plant | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Arlington Valley energy facility | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Arlington Valley energy facility | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Bear Branch Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Beaufort Solar, LLC | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Black Fork Wind Energy Project | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Black Fork Wind Energy Project | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Bloom wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Buckthorn wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Cardinal Point wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Clydesdale solar farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Decatur energy center | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Decatur energy center | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Frederickson Power LP | Power | Power | US | Registered owner |
| Garrison Butte wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Genesee Data Centre Project power station | Power | Power | Canada | Parent |
| Genesee Data Centre Project power station | Power | Oil & Gas | Canada | Parent |
| Genesee Data Centre Project power station | Power | Oil & Gas | Canada | Registered owner |
| Genesee Data Centre Project power station | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Green Hills wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Halkirk wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Halkirk wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Harquahala Generating Project | Power | Power | US | Registered owner |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Harquahala generating project | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Hopeful Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Hopeful Solar LLC | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Hornet Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Hummel power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Hummel power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Hunters Cove Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Kingsbridge wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| La Paloma generating plant | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Macho Springs Power I | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Macho Springs wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Maple Leaf Solar | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Maple Leaf Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| New Frontier wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Newton Baker Solar | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Nolin Hills solar farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Poplars Ranch Solar LLC | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Port Dover And Nanticoke wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Quality wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Quality wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Oil & Gas | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Rolling Hills Generating power station | Power | Power | United States | Parent |
| Salt Springs Wind Farm | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Salt Springs wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Shepard Energy Centre | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Shepard Energy Centre | Power | Oil & Gas | Canada | Parent |
| Shepard Energy Centre | Power | Oil & Gas | Canada | Registered owner |
| Shepard Energy Centre | Power | Power | Canada | Parent |
| Strathmore Solar | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Sun Valley solar farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Tisch Mills Wind | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Tisch Mills wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
| Whitla wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Whitla wind farm | Power | Power | Canada | Registered owner |
| Willow Creek (Capital) wind farm | Power | Power | United States | Registered owner |
Actions
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- Market data
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- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- CPX.TO Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
- Capital Power Corp Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-27
Ownership & reference
Leadership
- Avik DeyPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director