Handelsavisen
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ET
ETSY NYSE Department Stores

Etsy Inc

$86,00
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USD
Set alert
LatestEtsy completes $1.4 billion Depop sale to eBay, affirming Q1 guidance
Last 30 days
1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
Live price chart loads from the market-data widget.
Mcap
10,4B USD
P/E
57,7x
EV / Rev
3,1x
Div yield
Op margin
9,2 %
ROE
-14,3 %
Net margin
5,7 %
Debt / equity
-0,57
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
$83,15
Open
$82,64
Next earnings
2026-10-28
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

Etsy Inc operates an online marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of unique, handmade, and vintage goods, generating revenue primarily through transaction fees and advertising services.

Business. Etsy Inc (NYSE: ETSY) is a retailer operating within the Consumer Cyclicals sector, specifically classified under the Department Stores industry. The company generates revenue through a product-sale model. As segment and geographic breakdowns are not provided, the business is described at the industry level. Etsy Inc is primarily listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

Classification99 %
SectorConsumer Discretionary
Industry groupDepartment Stores
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
HOLD31 analysts
10 buy20 hold1 sell
Avg 12m price target77,98

Analyst recommendations

31 analysts · consensus Hold
Buy10
Hold20
Sell1
12-month price target
77,98
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
  • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
57,7x
P/E
Analysts
Hold
31 analysts · indicative
Ownership
Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership
largest disclosed fund holder
Profitability
-14,3 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

1
  • MARKETSEtsy completes $1.4 billion Depop sale to eBay, affirming Q1 guidance2026-08-01
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,7 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,1 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,8 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary · THIS SECTOR+0,4 %+7,9 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,2 %+0,9 %−0,8 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Consumer Staples−0,7 %+2,3 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to ETSY. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-05 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Company
    • EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
    • Congressional trades
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2023-05-08 · Democrat · NJ · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2023-04-27 · Democrat · NJ · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2023-01-11 · Democrat · NJ · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2022-03-07 · Democrat · NJ · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2022-02-02 · Democrat · NJ · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
    • CongressJosh Gottheimer — Etsy, Inc.2021-10-19 · Democrat · NJ · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · 2026-08-01

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    Etsy Inc (NYSE: ETSY) is a retailer operating within the Consumer Cyclicals sector, specifically classified under the Department Stores industry. The company generates revenue through a product-sale model. As segment and geographic breakdowns are not provided, the business is described at the industry level. Etsy Inc is primarily listed on the New York Stock Exchange.

    Classification99 %
    SectorConsumer Discretionary
    Industry groupDepartment Stores
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    Etsy maintains a complex capital structure characterized by negative total equity of -1.14 billion USD against total liabilities of 3.82 billion USD. The company holds 1.21 billion USD in cash and equivalents, providing a current ratio of 1.69, which suggests adequate short-term liquidity despite the negative equity position. Short-term debt stands at 649.3 million USD, contributing to a negative debt-to-equity ratio of -0.57. The risk assessment flags liquidity risk as low, indicating that immediate solvency concerns are manageable, but the negative equity base remains a structural vulnerability.

    Profitability metrics show a gross profit of 455.6 million USD on revenue of 631.3 million USD, resulting in a gross margin of approximately 72%. Operating income is 119.8 million USD, leading to a net income of 69.7 million USD for the period. The return on assets is 6.08%, while the return on equity is negative at -14.34% due to the negative equity denominator. The price-to-earnings ratio is 57.72, and the EV/EBITDA is 24.02, suggesting the market prices in significant future growth or stability despite current valuation multiples being elevated relative to typical value benchmarks.

    Revenue concentration and segment details are not explicitly broken down in the provided data, but the business model relies heavily on the interaction between sellers and buyers on its platform. The company’s exposure to technological changes and platform dependencies is a key operational factor, as noted in filing observations regarding reliance on mobile, social, and search solutions. The geographic distribution of revenue is not specified in the available data, limiting the ability to assess regional concentration risks.

    Growth trajectory analysis is constrained by the absence of historical period data in the input. The current quarter’s revenue of 631.3 million USD serves as the baseline for performance evaluation. Without year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter historical comparisons, the direction of revenue growth cannot be quantitatively assessed from the provided snapshot alone. The company’s ability to maintain or grow this revenue base is contingent on its capacity to adapt to technological changes and maintain platform effectiveness.

    Risk factors are dominated by high dilution risk, as the diluted share count of 121.03 million is materially above the basic share count of 94.89 million. This discrepancy suggests significant potential dilution from stock-based compensation or other equity issuances. Key flags also highlight the risk of failing to meet publicly announced guidance, which could lead to stock price declines. Additionally, the company faces the risk of impairment charges on goodwill and other long-lived assets, which could negatively impact operating results in the future.

    Recent events include critical 8-K filings with material items 1.01 and 2.01, indicating significant corporate actions or changes in financial status. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with a mean recommendation of 2.61 (on a scale where 1 is strong buy and 5 is strong sell) and a mean price target of 77.98 USD, closely aligned with the current market price of 77.73 USD. The high count of hold ratings (20) compared to buy (7) and strong buy (3) ratings suggests cautious market expectations.

    Key takeaways
    • Negative total equity of -1.14 billion USD creates a negative ROE of -14.34%, distorting return metrics despite positive net income of 69.7 million USD.
    • High dilution risk is flagged due to the diluted share count (121.03M) being significantly higher than the basic share count (94.89M).
    • Liquidity is assessed as low risk with a current ratio of 1.69 and 1.21 billion USD in cash, offsetting short-term debt of 649.3 million USD.
    • Valuation multiples are elevated with a P/E of 57.72 and EV/EBITDA of 24.02, reflecting high growth expectations or market optimism.
    • Critical 8-K filings and mixed analyst sentiment (mean rec 2.61) indicate near-term uncertainty and cautious market positioning.
    • Operational risks include dependency on third-party platforms and potential impairment charges on goodwill and intangible assets.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    BULL CASE · 4

    Operating margin of 9.2% significantly exceeds the 4.3% Department Stores cohort median, indicating superior profitability.

    Free cash flow grew 8.9% year-over-year to $738 million, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities.

    Analysts project 14.9% upside to a mean price target of $73.85, suggesting undervaluation relative to consensus.

    Cash conversion ratio of 4.25 ranks above the 75th percentile within the Department Stores cohort.

    BEAR CASE · 3

    High dilution risk is flagged, potentially eroding shareholder value through equity issuance or option exercises.

    Revenue declined 2.6% year-over-year, indicating contraction in top-line growth momentum.

    Net debt to EBITDA stands at 2.55, reflecting elevated leverage within the high band classification.

    In focus — financials by report

    Quarterly
    Annual
    QUARTERLYFiled 2026-03-31
    Q4 2025 · Quarter highlights

    Revenue $631.3M; Operating income $119.8M.

    Revenue$631.3M
    Operating income$119.8M
    Net income$69.7M
    Free cash flow$79.3M
    EPS
    Operating cash flow$80.7M
    Financials
    Income statement
    Revenue$631.3M
    Gross profit$455.6M
    Operating income$119.8M
    Net income$69.7M
    Margins
    Gross margin72.2%
    Operating margin19.0%
    Net margin11.0%
    FCF margin12.6%
    Balance sheet
    Total assets$2.68B
    Total liabilities$3.82B
    Total equity-$1.14B
    Cash & equivalents$1.21B
    Long-term debt
    Cash flow
    Operating cash flow$80.7M
    CapEx$1.5M
    Free cash flow$79.3M
    SBC$53.0M
    P&L flow · revenue → net income
    Revenue $631.3MOperating costs $511.4MTax $50.2MNet income $69.7M
    Highlights
    • Revenue $631.3M
    • Operating income $119.8M
    • Net margin 11.0%

    Valuation FY

    Market price
    $86,00
    Market cap
    $9.41B
    Enterprise value
    $8.84B
    P/E
    57.7x
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    3.1x
    EV / Op income
    33.2x
    EV / OCF
    12.8x
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    -$1.19B
    Net cash
    $565.1M
    Current ratio
    1.7
    Debt / equity
    -0.6
    ROA
    6.1%
    ROE
    -14.3%
    Cash conversion
    425.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    0.5%
    SBC / revenue
    8.5%
    Dilution ratio
    27.6%

    Revenue by segment

    Handmade & Creative Goods87,8 %
    low · business_description · 2026-07-03
    Fashion Resale9,0 %
    low · business_description · 2026-07-03

    Market share

    INDUSTRYSEGMENTCOMPANYConsumer CyclicalsIndustryDepartment Stores993,7B node revenueAMZN 72,2%JD 19,5%CPNG 3,5%M 2,2%W 1,2%DDS 0,7%ETSY 0,3%MNSO 0,2%Other 0,3%
    Source: company disclosures · own-taxonomy revenue-covered setETSY 0,3% · rank #7 of 12

    Business relationships

    Business relationships3 disclosed relationships · 1 type · extracted from filings & disclosures
    Subsidiaries3
    EX21:42320b8e9984EX21:42320b8e9984Subsidiarie97%
    EX21:a435fce35112EX21:a435fce35112Subsidiarie97%
    EX21:c654ab8e57bbEX21:c654ab8e57bbSubsidiarie97%

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    Peer comparison7 peers · vs ETSY · multiples and returns
    AM
    AMZN
    Amazon.Com Inc
    $278,55
    3,03T USD
    P/E
    35,1x
    -22,6 vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    17,6 %
    +31,9 vs self
    JD
    JD
    JD.com, Inc.
    $32,92
    98,0B USD
    P/E
    6,0x
    -51,8 vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    6,2 %
    +20,5 vs self
    CP
    CPNG
    Coupang Inc
    $17,00
    30,7B USD
    P/E
    7 227,2x
    +7 169,4 vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    0,1 %
    +14,5 vs self
    M
    M
    Macy'S Inc
    $26,25
    6,9B USD
    P/E
    10,4x
    -47,3 vs self
    Div yield
    3,1 %
    vs self
    ROE
    13,2 %
    +27,5 vs self
    W
    W
    WAYFAIR, INC.
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    DD
    DDS
    DDS
    P/E
    vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self
    MN
    MNSO
    Miniso Group Holding Ltd
    $13,53
    16,7B USD
    P/E
    7,6x
    -50,1 vs self
    Div yield
    vs self
    ROE
    vs self

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 41 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    3,34
    Predicted surprise
    -0,01
    Beat probability
    41 %
    Analysts
    32
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-06 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate3,46
    Revenueno estimateno estimate2,8B USD
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate510,7M USD
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in USD. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution31 analysts
    Strong buy3
    Buy7
    Hold20
    Sell1
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$77,98 · Median $75,50
    Low $60,00High $125,00
    Operating income · consensus510,7M USD
    EPS surprise
    −59,8 %
    reported vs consensus · miss
    Revenue surprise
    +3,3 %
    reported vs consensus · beat

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$60,00
    Mean$77,98
    Median$75,50
    High$125,00
    Spot$86,00
    −9.3 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskHigh
    Liquidity riskLow
    Filing-based flags
    • Diluted share count is materially above the basic share count.
    • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin9,2 %Above median
    Net Margin5,7 %Above median
    ROE-14,3 %Bottom quartile
    Capex / Rev0,5 %Above P75
    D/E-0,57Best in class
    Cash Conv4,25Above P75

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    Derivative transactions

    Net disposed 852 463 sh43 exercises · 9 grants16 insiders
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 22 881 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-07-15
    • REIFF MELISSADirector · Director stock option (right to buy) → Common StockDisposed 3 855 @ $61,25exercise · 2026-07-15
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 39 161 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-07-10
    • Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 441exercise · 2026-07-01
    • PATEL GOYAL KRUTIDirector, Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 9 104exercise · 2026-07-01
    • PATEL GOYAL KRUTIDirector, Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 9 518exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 752exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 1 067exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 218exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 730exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 650exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 634exercise · 2026-07-01
    • PATEL GOYAL KRUTIDirector, Chief Executive Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 3 007exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 13 260exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 92 404 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Baker CharlesChief Financial Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 218exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Stretch ColinCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 4 210exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Stretch ColinCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 5 975exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Stretch ColinCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 6 662exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 859exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 3 983exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Restricted Stock Units → Common StockDisposed 7 302exercise · 2026-07-01
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 97 389 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-06-24
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 52 479 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-06-16
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) → Common StockDisposed 50 000 @ $10,62exercise · 2026-06-15

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Regulatory filings
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    • Reference data
    How metrics are computed
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    • Market Price
      input from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
    • Ev To Revenue
      enterprise_value / revenue
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Market Cap
      market_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
    Source documents
    • ETSY INC company facts · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY INC 10-Q 2026-04-29 · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY INC 10-K 2026-02-19 · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY INC 10-Q 2025-10-29 · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY INC 10-Q 2025-07-30 · 2026-08-01
    • 8-K (sec_8k_material) on ETSY · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-08-01
    • ETSY Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-08-01

    Ownership & reference

    Top holders

    • Arrowstreet Capital, Limited PartnershipInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$164M
    • AQR Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$129M
    • Dimensional Fund Advisors, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$79M
    • Principal Global Investors (Equity)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$24M
    • Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$56M
    • Vanguard Capital Management, LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,01 %$580M
    • EATON VANCE MANAGEMENTInstitutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,01 %$0M
    • First Trust Advisors L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$10M
    • JANUS HENDERSON GROUP PLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$14M
    • Bank of New York Mellon CorpInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$30M
    • Geode Capital Management, L.L.C.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$88M
    • Nuveen LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,00 %$17M
    • Northern Trust Investments, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$36M
    • MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$13M
    • AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$12M
    • Victory Capital Management Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$4M
    • Invesco QQQ TrustFunds · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$17M
    • Wellington Management Company, LLPInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$10M
    • AllianceBernstein L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$5M
    • American Century Investment Management, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
    • State Street Investment Management (US)Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$19M
    • T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • LPL Financial LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • Goldman Sachs Asset Management, L.P.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
    • BlackRock Institutional Trust Company, N.A.Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,00 %$7M
    • Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
    • FMR LLCInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
    • Wells Fargo AdvisorsBrokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • Raymond James & Associates, Inc.Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • Franklin Advisers, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • UBS Financial Services, Inc.Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • JONES FINANCIAL COMPANIES LLLPInstitutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
    • PNC Investments LLCInvestment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M

    Leadership

    • Josh SilvermanPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director

    Insider activity

    Net selling0 buys · 36 sellsnet -$58,4M16 insiders · last 365d
    • REIFF MELISSADirector · Common StockOther 3 855 @ $61,25$236K · 2026-07-15
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Common StockSold 22 881 @ $84,00$1,9M · 2026-07-15
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Common StockOther 22 881 @ $10,62$243K · 2026-07-15
    • REIFF MELISSADirector · Common StockSold 3 855 @ $85,00$328K · 2026-07-15
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Common StockSold 39 161 @ $79,00$3,1M · 2026-07-10
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Common StockOther 39 161 @ $10,62$416K · 2026-07-10
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockSold 315 @ $75,81$24K · 2026-07-06
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockSold 2 @ $77,14$154 · 2026-07-06
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockSold 564 @ $75,09$42K · 2026-07-06
    • Silverman JoshDirector, Executive Chair of the Board · Common StockOther 20 562 · 2026-07-01
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockOther 728 @ $72,83$53K · 2026-07-01
    • Buckley MerileeCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · Common StockOther 2 014 · 2026-07-01
    • Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer · Common StockOther 4 932 @ $72,83$359K · 2026-07-01
    • Colburn Richard Edward IIIChief Product & Tech Officer · Common StockOther 9 037 · 2026-07-01
    • PATEL GOYAL KRUTIDirector, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 11 801 @ $72,83$859K · 2026-07-01
    • PATEL GOYAL KRUTIDirector, Chief Executive Officer · Common StockOther 21 629 · 2026-07-01
    • Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer · Common StockOther 4 741 @ $72,83$345K · 2026-07-01
    • Minor BradleyChief Marketing Officer · Common StockOther 9 283 · 2026-07-01
    • Stretch ColinCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER · Common StockOther 10 404 @ $72,83$758K · 2026-07-01
    • Stretch ColinCHIEF LEGAL OFFICER · Common StockOther 16 847 · 2026-07-01
    • WILSON FREDERICK RDirector · Common StockSold 2 567 @ $76,05$195K · 2026-07-01
    • WILSON FREDERICK RDirector · Common StockSold 4 901 @ $75,42$370K · 2026-07-01
    • WILSON FREDERICK RDirector · Common StockSold 5 208 @ $74,16$386K · 2026-07-01
    • WILSON FREDERICK RDirector · Common StockSold 7 324 @ $73,29$537K · 2026-07-01
    • Baker CharlesChief Financial Officer · Common StockOther 3 992 @ $72,83$291K · 2026-07-01

    Short positioning

    14.0Mshares short+1.1% vs prior
    5.17days to cover
    28.7%short of daily vol
    51.4Kfails-to-deliver
    as of 2026-07-15 · short-interest report (free)

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    ETSYCanonical
    NYSE · USD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob41 %Surprise-0,01Full forecast →
    What changed

    no material change vs prior analysis (walked 17 fields; 4 schema-expansion field(s) excluded)

    • Narrative— → —medium
    • Conclusion— → —medium
    • Key takeaways— → —medium
    • Company share pct— → —medium
    vs prior analysis 15 days ago
    peak dispatch · 2026-08-01
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskHigh
    Liquidity riskLow
    Diluted share count is materially above the basic share count.
    Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
    Relationship graph
    ETSYEX21:423EX21:a43EX21:c65Department Sto
    This companySectorSubsidiaries

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    • EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -40.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 5.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): 71.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): -14.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 5.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 1.44xDerived (calculated)
    • Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): -3.57xDerived (calculated)
    • Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.3%Derived (calculated)
    • Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 67.1%Derived (calculated)
    • Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 5.6%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -39.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 1.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 2.0%Derived (calculated)
    • Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -46.2%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -7.8%Derived (calculated)
    • Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -30.0%Derived (calculated)
    • R&D expense (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 1.6%Derived (calculated)
    • Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 2.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -44.7%Derived (calculated)
    • Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 16.9%Derived (calculated)
    • Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 23.6%Derived (calculated)
    • EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 1SEC XBRL filing
    • Operating cash flow (annual): USD 693.41MSEC XBRL filing
    • Cash & equivalents (annual): USD 1.36BSEC XBRL filing
    Showing 24 of 60 surfaced claims.
    Atomic claims from regulatory filings and derived calculations. Provenance shown as source kind only.

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-10-28EVENTUpcomingQ3 2026 earnings (expected) estimated date
    2026-07-31 04:36 UTCFILINGMaterial 8-K
    2026-07-17 04:26 UTCFILINGMaterial 8-K
    2026-07-15INSIDERSilverman Josh transacted 22.9k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$243k
    2026-07-15INSIDERREIFF MELISSA transacted 3.9k sh — Director ~$236k
    2026-07-15INSIDERREIFF MELISSA sold 3.9k sh — Director ~$328k
    2026-07-15INSIDERSilverman Josh sold 22.9k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$1.92M
    2026-07-15INSIDERSilverman Josh disposed of 22.9k sh Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) — Director, Executive Chair of the Board
    2026-07-15INSIDERREIFF MELISSA disposed of 3.9k sh Director stock option (right to buy) — Director
    2026-07-10INSIDERSilverman Josh transacted 39.2k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$416k
    2026-07-10INSIDERSilverman Josh sold 39.2k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$3.09M
    2026-07-10INSIDERSilverman Josh disposed of 39.2k sh Employee Stock Option (Right to Buy) — Director, Executive Chair of the Board
    2026-07-06INSIDERBuckley Merilee sold 315 sh — CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER ~$24k
    2026-07-06INSIDERBuckley Merilee sold 2 sh — CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER ~$0k
    2026-07-06INSIDERBuckley Merilee sold 564 sh — CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER ~$42k
    2026-07-01INSIDERBuckley Merilee transacted 728 sh — CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER ~$53k
    2026-07-01INSIDERStretch Colin transacted 16.8k sh — CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER
    2026-07-01INSIDERWILSON FREDERICK R sold 2.6k sh — Director ~$195k
    2026-07-01INSIDERWILSON FREDERICK R sold 7.3k sh — Director ~$537k
    2026-07-01INSIDERBaker Charles transacted 4.0k sh — Chief Financial Officer ~$291k
    2026-07-01INSIDERBaker Charles transacted 7.2k sh — Chief Financial Officer
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh sold 24.2k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$1.84M
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh sold 29.3k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$2.20M
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh sold 38.9k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$2.88M
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh transacted 92.4k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$981k
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh transacted 20.6k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh transacted 11.4k sh — Director, Executive Chair of the Board ~$828k
    2026-07-01INSIDERBuckley Merilee transacted 2.0k sh — CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER
    2026-07-01INSIDERColburn Richard Edward III transacted 4.9k sh — Chief Product & Tech Officer ~$359k
    2026-07-01INSIDERMinor Bradley transacted 9.3k sh — Chief Marketing Officer
    2026-07-01INSIDERMinor Bradley transacted 4.7k sh — Chief Marketing Officer ~$345k
    2026-07-01INSIDERSilverman Josh disposed of 7.3k sh Restricted Stock Units — Director, Executive Chair of the Board
    2026-07-01INSIDERStretch Colin disposed of 4.2k sh Restricted Stock Units — CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER
    2026-07-01INSIDERStretch Colin disposed of 6.0k sh Restricted Stock Units — CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER
    2026-07-01INSIDERStretch Colin disposed of 6.7k sh Restricted Stock Units — CHIEF LEGAL OFFICER
    2026-07-01INSIDERMinor Bradley disposed of 859 sh Restricted Stock Units — Chief Marketing Officer
    2026-07-01INSIDERMinor Bradley disposed of 4.0k sh Restricted Stock Units — Chief Marketing Officer
    2026-07-01INSIDERMinor Bradley disposed of 4.4k sh Restricted Stock Units — Chief Marketing Officer
    2026-07-01INSIDERPATEL GOYAL KRUTI disposed of 3.0k sh Restricted Stock Units — Director, Chief Executive Officer
    Showing the 40 most recent of 84 entries.
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-05 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data · Reference data Premium coverage