Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remained robust on Monday, defying Tehran's weekend declaration that the critical waterway had been closed to shipping.

Observers noted that vessel movements continued at a pace that suggests the threat of a full blockade is being treated as rhetorical posturing rather than an imminent operational reality.

The persistence of trade flows comes as diplomatic channels appear to be opening.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz publicly welcomed a newly announced agreement between the United States and Iran, congratulating President Donald Trump on what he termed a diplomatic breakthrough.

This political development provides a crucial counterweight to the hardline rhetoric emanating from Tehran, which cited Israeli attacks in Lebanon as the justification for the closure announcement.

For energy markets, the divergence between Tehran's words and the reality on the water is a key signal.