OSEBX1,423.56+0.84%
EQNR284.60+4.20%
DNB198.35-1.15%
MOWI172.80+0.45%
Brent$71.24-0.32%
EUR/USD1.0824-0.14%
DXY104.18+0.08%
INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
Economic Data

Economic Data

Releases, central banks, FOMC, yield curves.
FOMC voter stance
Philip Jefferson
· Board of Governors
+1.00Hawkish
9 samples
Beth Hammack
· Cleveland
+0.59Hawkish-0.41 30d
9 samples
Jerome Powell
· Board of Governors
+0.00Neutral
7 samples
John WilliamsVice Chair
Vice Chair · New York
+0.00Neutral+0.00 30d
22 samples
Kevin Warsh
Chairman · Board of Governors
+0.00Neutral
0 samples
Lisa Cook
· Board of Governors
+0.00Neutral+0.00 30d
8 samples
Michael Barr
· Board of Governors
+0.00Neutral+0.20 30d
22 samples
Michelle Bowman
· Board of Governors
+0.00Neutral+0.11 30d
25 samples
Neel Kashkari
· Minneapolis
+0.00Neutral
0 samples
Anna Paulson
· Philadelphia
-0.10Lean Dov
10 samples
Christopher Waller
· Board of Governors
-0.43Lean Dov-0.27 30d
16 samples
Lorie Logan
· Dallas
-1.00Dovish-0.51 30d
14 samples
Rate path probabilities
Federal ReserveCurrent: 4.375%
2026-06-174.375%prior — · Press · SEP
2026-07-294.375%prior — · Press
2026-09-164.375%prior — · Press · SEP
2026-10-284.375%prior — · Press
2026-12-164.375%prior — · Press · SEP
European Central BankCurrent: 2.650%
2026-07-162.650%prior — · Press
2026-09-102.650%prior — · Press · SEP
2026-10-222.650%prior — · Press
2026-12-102.650%prior — · Press · SEP
Bank of EnglandCurrent: 4.500%
2026-06-194.500%prior —
2026-08-064.500%prior — · Press
2026-09-174.500%prior —
2026-11-054.500%prior — · Press
2026-12-174.500%prior —
Bank of JapanCurrent: 0.500%
2026-06-160.500%prior — · Press
2026-07-160.500%prior — · Press · SEP
2026-09-170.500%prior — · Press
2026-10-290.500%prior — · Press · SEP
2026-12-180.500%prior — · Press
Active policy signals
FED2026-04-15●●●●○
Labor market tightens further with wage growth above 4%
Additional policy firming may be appropriate
ECB2026-04-09●●●●○
Services inflation moves toward 2% by Q3 2026
Further calibration of restrictiveness warranted
BOE2026-03-31●●●●○
Wage growth persists above 4.5%
Premature easing risks re-anchoring expectations
FED2026-04-18●●●○○
Core PCE sustains below 2.5% over the next two prints
Committee prepared to begin measured rate reductions
FED2026-04-12●●●○○
Inflation continues trending toward target by mid-2026
Can support front-loaded rate cuts
ECB2026-04-06●●●○○
Unit labor costs remain elevated
Must maintain restrictive stance for longer
BOE2026-04-03●●●○○
Services CPI falls below 5% on a sustained basis
Gradual path of rate reductions can begin
BOJ2026-03-28●●●○○
Sustainable 2% inflation accompanied by wage growth
Further adjustment of policy rate would be warranted
PBOC2026-03-22●●●○○
Credit growth remains weak
RRR or LPR cut actions remain on the table
BOC2026-03-19●●●○○
Core inflation measures stay within 1-3% band
Rate-cutting cycle can continue
NORGES_BANK2026-03-25●●○○○
Inflation develops broadly as projected
Policy rate likely held at current level through mid-year
RBA2026-03-16●●○○○
Trimmed mean CPI falls within the 2-3% target band
Board can consider reducing restrictiveness
Recent statements
2026-06-06T16:00Speech
Barr, Deregulating in a Financial Boom: What Could Go Wrong?
Speech At American University, Washington, D.C.
2026-06-04T08:00Press Release
Christine Lagarde: Women and leadership: widening the pipeline
Christine Lagarde: Women and leadership: widening the pipeline
2026-06-03T13:30Press Release
Piero Cipollone: Europe’s money evolves so people’s freedom to pay remains
Piero Cipollone: Europe’s money evolves so people’s freedom to pay remains
2026-06-03T09:55Press Release
Frank Elderson: Strengthening operational resilience for the age of AI
Frank Elderson: Strengthening operational resilience for the age of AI
2026-06-01T00:30Speech
Powell, Acceptance Remarks
Speech For the 2026 John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage Award, John F. Kennedy Library Foundation, Boston, Massachusetts
2026-06-01T00:10Press Release
Isabel Schnabel: From money market funds to stablecoins: lessons for central banks
Isabel Schnabel: From money market funds to stablecoins: lessons for central banks
2026-05-31T14:00Press Release
Luis de Guindos: Interview with Expansión
Luis de Guindos: Interview with Expansión
2026-05-29T13:10Speech
Bowman, A Framework for Practical Monetary Policy Decision Making
Speech At the Reykjavík Economic Conference 2026, Central Bank of Iceland, Reykjavík, Iceland
2026-05-29T09:10Speech
Remaining Anchored: Monetary Policy in an unpredictable World - Speech by Andrew Bailey
Given at the Reykjavík Economic Conference 2026, Iceland
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