The end of hostilities between the United States and Iran does not guarantee a stable peace.
Despite the recent memorandum of understanding (MoU) that effectively closed the conflict, significant risks remain that could derail the diplomatic progress.
The agreement, mediated by Pakistan, has been met with skepticism as new threats to the region’s stability emerge.
The primary concern is the fragility of the ceasefire in the face of ongoing regional volatility.
Tensions in Lebanon continue to simmer, posing a direct threat to the broader de-escalation effort.
Additionally, political rhetoric from the US side, including threats from former President Donald Trump, adds uncertainty to the long-term viability of the deal.