An Alberta court has permitted Canacol Energy to terminate its natural gas supply contracts in Colombia, removing a critical source of domestic production at a time when the country’s energy security is already under pressure.

The legal decision, issued on June 24, allows the Canadian producer to walk away from its commitments, effectively shrinking the available supply pool for Colombian utilities and industrial consumers.

The development arrives as meteorological models indicate a dry El Niño pattern is approaching the region.

Historically, El Niño events reduce rainfall in Colombia, which in turn lowers hydroelectric power generation and forces a shift toward gas-fired thermal plants.

With domestic reserves having contracted by more than half since 2018, the loss of Canacol’s output creates a structural deficit that could drive up local gas prices and strain the national grid.

Colombia has been working to mitigate this long-term decline in proven reserves by diversifying its import infrastructure.