Global oil majors are positioning for a significant earnings surge in the second quarter of 2026, driven by crude oil prices reaching a four-year high.

The price spike stems from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint that has severely constrained global supply flows and kept a premium on benchmark benchmarks throughout the quarter.

Exxon Mobil has projected a second-quarter profit increase of approximately $5 billion compared to the previous quarter, citing sustained high oil prices as the primary driver.

The financial impact is already visible in corporate guidance.

Exxon Mobil has projected a second-quarter profit increase of approximately $5 billion compared to the previous quarter, citing sustained high oil prices as the primary driver.

This projection underscores how quickly geopolitical supply shocks are converting into bottom-line gains for integrated energy companies with robust trading and production portfolios.

The broader market context reflects a structural shift in supply dynamics.