Romanian employers group sees inflation peaking in May, targeting 6% by year-end

Concordia's forecast of a rapid disinflation path contrasts with broader European price pressures, signaling potential easing for the National Bank of Romania.

By Handelsavisen Newsroom · Automated 2026-07-13 09:17 UTC · 1 min read

Romania's inflation trajectory appears to have reached its peak in May, according to the country's largest employers' organization, Confederația Patronală Concordia.

The group projects a swift decline in price pressures, forecasting that the annual inflation rate will fall to approximately 6% by the end of 2026.

Without credible progress on deficit reduction, the group warned that price stability could remain elusive despite the recent cooling in headline figures.

This optimistic outlook suggests that the most acute phase of cost-of-living increases for Romanian households and businesses may be behind them.

Concordia emphasized that sustaining this downward trend requires continued structural reforms, sustained investment levels, and a disciplined approach to reducing the government's budget deficit.

The employers' group highlighted that fiscal consolidation remains critical to anchoring inflation expectations.

Without credible progress on deficit reduction, the group warned that price stability could remain elusive despite the recent cooling in headline figures.