7809.T
The company designs, develops, and sells toys and children's products, primarily under its own brand, and generates revenue through direct sales and licensing agreements.
Business. The company designs, develops, and sells toys and children's products, primarily under its own brand, and generates revenue through direct sales and licensing agreements.
Analyst recommendations
1 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
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0Sector rotation
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Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
The company designs, develops, and sells toys and children's products, primarily under its own brand, and generates revenue through direct sales and licensing agreements.
The company maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 2.88 and cash and equivalents amounting to ¥3.32 billion, which supports its operational flexibility and short-term obligations. Its debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4 indicates a conservative capital structure, with total liabilities of ¥5.41 billion compared to total equity of ¥8.04 billion. The company's price-to-book ratio of 1.33 and price-to-tangible-book ratio of 1.33 suggest that the market values the company slightly above its book value, reflecting intangible assets and brand strength.
Profitability metrics show a return on equity of 13.58% and a return on assets of 8.12%, both of which are strong indicators of efficient asset utilization and profitability. The company's operating income of ¥1.61 billion and net income of ¥1.09 billion reflect solid performance in a competitive industry. These returns are in line with or above the industry's preferred metrics, indicating a well-managed business with strong operational discipline.
The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial statements, with no material geographic diversification reported. This concentration may expose the company to specific market risks, particularly in the cyclical consumer products industry. However, the company's strong brand presence and product innovation may mitigate some of these risks.
Looking ahead, the company is projected to maintain a stable growth trajectory, with no significant revenue decline or increase expected in the next fiscal year. The company's free cash flow of ¥771 million and operating cash flow of ¥1.98 billion support its ability to fund operations and invest in future growth. The company's capital expenditure of ¥1.2 billion indicates ongoing investment in its operations, which may support long-term growth.
The company's risk assessment indicates low liquidity and dilution risks, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. The company's conservative capital structure and strong cash reserves reduce the likelihood of near-term dilution. The company's low dilution potential is further supported by its current share structure, with no significant changes in shares outstanding between basic and diluted shares.
Recent events, including analyst estimates and price targets, suggest a positive outlook for the company. Analysts have set a mean price target of ¥2,010, indicating a potential upside from the current market price of ¥1,320. The company's strong financial performance and brand strength may continue to attract investor interest.
- The company has a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.88 and significant cash reserves.
- The company's return on equity of 13.58% and return on assets of 8.12% indicate efficient asset utilization and profitability.
- The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, which may expose it to market-specific risks.
- Analysts have set a mean price target of ¥2,010, suggesting a potential upside from the current market price of ¥1,320.
- The company's conservative capital structure and strong cash reserves reduce the likelihood of near-term dilution.
Bull / Bear case
analysis pipelineIn focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 160,90 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 19,1B JPY |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | —no estimate |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
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- Ev To Operating Cash Flowenterprise_value / operating_cash_flow
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- Price To Earningsmarket_price / (net_income / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- 7809.T Market data — financials · 2026-05-27
- Kotobukiya Co Ltd Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-27