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780958

Kotobukiya Co Ltd

Toys & Children's ProductsVerified
Score breakdown
Profitability+35Sentiment+30Missing signals-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile25Conclusion98AI synthesis40Observations23

Kotobukiya maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 2.88 and cash and equivalents of ¥3.32 billion, which exceeds the typical liquidity needs for a company in the toys and children's products industry [doc:HA-latest]. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4 indicates a conservative capital structure, with long-term debt of ¥3.23 billion and total equity of ¥8.04 billion [doc:HA-latest]. This suggests a low reliance on external financing and a stable balance sheet. In terms of profitability, Kotobukiya's return on equity (ROE) of 13.58% and return on assets (ROA) of 8.12% are strong indicators of efficient capital use and asset management [doc:HA-latest]. These metrics are well above the typical benchmarks for the industry, suggesting that the company is outperforming its peers in generating returns for shareholders and utilizing its assets effectively. The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial reporting, with no material geographic diversification beyond Japan [doc:HA-latest]. This concentration may expose the company to regional economic fluctuations and regulatory changes, which could impact its revenue stability and growth potential. Looking ahead, Kotobukiya's growth trajectory appears to be modest, with no significant revenue growth or decline indicated in the latest financial data [doc:HA-latest]. The company's operating cash flow of ¥1.98 billion and free cash flow of ¥771 million suggest that it has the financial flexibility to fund operations and potentially invest in new opportunities, although the capital expenditure of -¥1.2 billion indicates a reduction in investment in physical assets [doc:HA-latest]. The risk assessment for Kotobukiya indicates a low level of liquidity and dilution risk, with no immediate filing-based flags detected [doc:HA-latest]. The company's conservative capital structure and strong cash reserves further support this assessment. However, the lack of geographic and product diversification could pose a concentration risk, particularly in a volatile consumer discretionary sector [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events, including analyst estimates and recommendations, suggest a neutral outlook for the company. The mean price target of ¥2,010 and a mean recommendation of 2.00 (on a scale from 1 to 5) indicate that analysts do not expect significant upside or downside in the near term [doc:]. The absence of strong buy or hold recommendations further supports this neutral stance [doc:].

30-day price · 7809-43.00 (-3.1%)
Low$1312.00High$1406.00Close$1333.00As of7 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyKotobukiya Co Ltd
Ticker7809.T
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Products
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Products
IndustryToys & Children's Products
AI analysis

Business. Kotobukiya Co Ltd is a Japanese manufacturer and distributor of toys, collectibles, and hobby products, primarily generating revenue through the sale of physical goods to consumers and retailers [doc:HA-latest].

Classification. Kotobukiya is classified under the industry "Toys & Children's Products" within the "Cyclical Consumer Products" business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92 based on verified market data.

Kotobukiya maintains a strong liquidity position, with a current ratio of 2.88 and cash and equivalents of ¥3.32 billion, which exceeds the typical liquidity needs for a company in the toys and children's products industry [doc:HA-latest]. The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4 indicates a conservative capital structure, with long-term debt of ¥3.23 billion and total equity of ¥8.04 billion [doc:HA-latest]. This suggests a low reliance on external financing and a stable balance sheet. In terms of profitability, Kotobukiya's return on equity (ROE) of 13.58% and return on assets (ROA) of 8.12% are strong indicators of efficient capital use and asset management [doc:HA-latest]. These metrics are well above the typical benchmarks for the industry, suggesting that the company is outperforming its peers in generating returns for shareholders and utilizing its assets effectively. The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, as disclosed in its financial reporting, with no material geographic diversification beyond Japan [doc:HA-latest]. This concentration may expose the company to regional economic fluctuations and regulatory changes, which could impact its revenue stability and growth potential. Looking ahead, Kotobukiya's growth trajectory appears to be modest, with no significant revenue growth or decline indicated in the latest financial data [doc:HA-latest]. The company's operating cash flow of ¥1.98 billion and free cash flow of ¥771 million suggest that it has the financial flexibility to fund operations and potentially invest in new opportunities, although the capital expenditure of -¥1.2 billion indicates a reduction in investment in physical assets [doc:HA-latest]. The risk assessment for Kotobukiya indicates a low level of liquidity and dilution risk, with no immediate filing-based flags detected [doc:HA-latest]. The company's conservative capital structure and strong cash reserves further support this assessment. However, the lack of geographic and product diversification could pose a concentration risk, particularly in a volatile consumer discretionary sector [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events, including analyst estimates and recommendations, suggest a neutral outlook for the company. The mean price target of ¥2,010 and a mean recommendation of 2.00 (on a scale from 1 to 5) indicate that analysts do not expect significant upside or downside in the near term [doc:]. The absence of strong buy or hold recommendations further supports this neutral stance [doc:].
Key takeaways
  • Kotobukiya maintains a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 2.88 and ¥3.32 billion in cash and equivalents.
  • The company's ROE of 13.58% and ROA of 8.12% indicate efficient capital use and asset management.
  • Revenue is concentrated in a single business segment and geographic region, exposing the company to regional economic risks.
  • Analysts have a neutral outlook, with a mean price target of ¥2,010 and a mean recommendation of 2.00.
  • The company's conservative capital structure and low liquidity and dilution risk support a stable financial position.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyJPY
Revenue$16.50B
Gross profit$5.37B
Operating income$1.61B
Net income$1.09B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$1.98B
CapEx-$1.20B
Free cash flow$771.3M
Total assets$13.45B
Total liabilities$5.41B
Total equity$8.04B
Cash & equivalents$3.32B
Long-term debt$3.23B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$8.04B
Net cash$86.8M
Current ratio2.9
Debt/Equity0.4
ROA8.1%
ROE13.6%
Cash conversion1.8%
CapEx/Revenue-7.3%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskLow
  • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Toys & Children's Products · cohort 34 companies
Metric7809Activity
Op margin9.8%3.1% medp25 -10.6% · p75 12.5%above median
Net margin6.6%0.2% medp25 -24.6% · p75 7.4%above median
Gross margin32.5%31.9% medp25 19.5% · p75 59.4%above median
CapEx / revenue-7.3%-1.6% medp25 -7.4% · p75 -0.8%below median
Debt / equity40.0%17.6% medp25 0.6% · p75 63.0%above median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target2,010.00 JPY
Median price target2,010.00 JPY
High price target2,010.00 JPY
Low price target2,010.00 JPY
Mean recommendation2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count1.00
Hold count0.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate160.90 JPY
Last actual EPS136.72 JPY
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-05 18:20 UTC#d0115b88
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-05 18:22 UTCJob: cfc8c2b1