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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:19 UTC
FOSL60

Fossil Group Inc

Apparel & AccessoriesVerified
Score breakdown
Sentiment+30Risk penalty-3Missing signals-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile38Conclusion100AI synthesis40Observations23

Fossil Group's capital structure is marked by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing relative to equity [doc:HA-latest]. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.55, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, but its operating cash flow of -$57.9 million and free cash flow of -$67.3 million indicate ongoing cash outflows from operations [doc:HA-latest]. The company's cash and equivalents of $95.8 million are offset by long-term debt of $177.8 million, resulting in a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt [doc:HA-latest]. Profitability metrics show a challenging performance, with a return on equity of -76.14% and a return on assets of -11.36%, both significantly below the industry median for Apparel & Accessories [doc:HA-latest]. The company reported a net loss of $78.3 million and an operating loss of $22.2 million, reflecting a decline in gross profit to $563.1 million from revenue of $1.0 billion [doc:HA-latest]. These figures suggest a deteriorating margin profile compared to industry peers, with a gross margin of 56.1% (calculated as gross profit / revenue) that is below the median for the sector. Geographically, Fossil Group's revenue is distributed across three segments: Americas, Europe, and Asia. The Americas segment includes sales to customers in Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe segment covers European countries, the Middle East, and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers in Australia, greater China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand [doc:HA-latest]. However, the company's revenue concentration is not disclosed in the input data, and no specific segment revenue figures are provided, making it difficult to assess geographic exposure or concentration risk. The company's growth trajectory is uncertain, with no specific revenue growth or decline figures provided for the current or next fiscal year. The input data does not include a detailed outlook for revenue or earnings, but the negative operating and net income suggest a challenging operating environment. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of $7.00, with a median and high price target also at $7.00, and a mean recommendation of 2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell), indicating a cautious outlook [doc:]. Risk factors for Fossil Group include liquidity concerns, as highlighted by the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The company's dilution risk is assessed as low, but the absence of a detailed dilution analysis in the input data limits the ability to assess potential equity issuance or share buyback activity. The risk assessment also notes a medium liquidity risk, which could impact the company's ability to meet short-term obligations [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events and filings are not detailed in the input data, but the company's financial performance and analyst recommendations suggest a period of operational and financial stress. The lack of strong buy recommendations and the presence of two buy ratings indicate a mixed sentiment among analysts, with no consensus on a strong upward or downward trend [doc:].

Profile
CompanyFossil Group Inc
TickerFOSL.O
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Products
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Products
IndustryApparel & Accessories
AI analysis

Business. Fossil Group, Inc. is a global design, marketing, distribution, and innovation company specializing in lifestyle accessories, including watches, jewelry, handbags, small leather goods, belts, and sunglasses, with a diverse portfolio of owned and licensed brands [doc:HA-latest].

Classification. Fossil Group is classified under the Consumer Cyclicals economic sector, Cyclical Consumer Products business sector, and Apparel & Accessories industry, with a classification confidence of 0.92 [doc:verified market data].

Fossil Group's capital structure is marked by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing relative to equity [doc:HA-latest]. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.55, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, but its operating cash flow of -$57.9 million and free cash flow of -$67.3 million indicate ongoing cash outflows from operations [doc:HA-latest]. The company's cash and equivalents of $95.8 million are offset by long-term debt of $177.8 million, resulting in a net cash position that is negative after subtracting total debt [doc:HA-latest]. Profitability metrics show a challenging performance, with a return on equity of -76.14% and a return on assets of -11.36%, both significantly below the industry median for Apparel & Accessories [doc:HA-latest]. The company reported a net loss of $78.3 million and an operating loss of $22.2 million, reflecting a decline in gross profit to $563.1 million from revenue of $1.0 billion [doc:HA-latest]. These figures suggest a deteriorating margin profile compared to industry peers, with a gross margin of 56.1% (calculated as gross profit / revenue) that is below the median for the sector. Geographically, Fossil Group's revenue is distributed across three segments: Americas, Europe, and Asia. The Americas segment includes sales to customers in Canada, Latin America, and the United States, while the Europe segment covers European countries, the Middle East, and Africa. The Asia segment includes sales to customers in Australia, greater China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Singapore, South Korea, and Thailand [doc:HA-latest]. However, the company's revenue concentration is not disclosed in the input data, and no specific segment revenue figures are provided, making it difficult to assess geographic exposure or concentration risk. The company's growth trajectory is uncertain, with no specific revenue growth or decline figures provided for the current or next fiscal year. The input data does not include a detailed outlook for revenue or earnings, but the negative operating and net income suggest a challenging operating environment. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of $7.00, with a median and high price target also at $7.00, and a mean recommendation of 2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell), indicating a cautious outlook [doc:]. Risk factors for Fossil Group include liquidity concerns, as highlighted by the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The company's dilution risk is assessed as low, but the absence of a detailed dilution analysis in the input data limits the ability to assess potential equity issuance or share buyback activity. The risk assessment also notes a medium liquidity risk, which could impact the company's ability to meet short-term obligations [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events and filings are not detailed in the input data, but the company's financial performance and analyst recommendations suggest a period of operational and financial stress. The lack of strong buy recommendations and the presence of two buy ratings indicate a mixed sentiment among analysts, with no consensus on a strong upward or downward trend [doc:].
Key takeaways
  • Fossil Group is experiencing a net loss and negative operating cash flow, indicating financial distress.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.73 suggests a high reliance on debt financing.
  • Return on equity and return on assets are significantly negative, reflecting poor profitability.
  • Analysts have assigned a cautious outlook, with a mean price target of $7.00 and no strong buy recommendations.
  • The company's liquidity position is medium risk, with a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt.
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  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$1.00B
Gross profit$563.1M
Operating income-$22.2M
Net income-$78.3M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow-$57.9M
CapEx-$2.6M
Free cash flow-$67.3M
Total assets$689.3M
Total liabilities$586.4M
Total equity$102.8M
Cash & equivalents$95.8M
Long-term debt$177.8M
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$102.8M
Net cash-$82.0M
Current ratio1.6
Debt/Equity1.7
ROA-11.4%
ROE-76.1%
Cash conversion74.0%
CapEx/Revenue-0.3%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Apparel & Accessories · cohort 2 companies
MetricFOSLActivity
Op margin-2.2%6.6% medp25 4.6% · p75 8.7%bottom quartile
Net margin-7.8%3.7% medp25 2.0% · p75 5.5%bottom quartile
Gross margin56.1%57.5% medp25 57.5% · p75 57.5%bottom quartile
CapEx / revenue-0.3%1.1% medp25 0.9% · p75 1.4%bottom quartile
Debt / equity173.0%124.3% medp25 86.1% · p75 162.6%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target7.00 USD
Median price target7.00 USD
High price target7.00 USD
Low price target7.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count2.00
Hold count0.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate-0.63 USD
Last actual EPS-0.95 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-04 14:05 UTC#b4d4ef87
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-04 14:07 UTCJob: 59a3acc0