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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:33 UTC
MCDNYSE$292.3368

MCDONALDS CORP

Restaurants & BarsVerified
Score breakdown
Valuation+13Profitability+32Sentiment+30Risk penalty-11Missing signals-1
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile75Conclusion98AI synthesis40Observations50

McDonald's capital structure is characterized by a high debt load, with long-term debt of $39.97 billion and a negative total equity of $1.79 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.72. Despite this, the company maintains a strong liquidity position, with $774 million in cash and equivalents and a free cash flow of $7.19 billion in FY2025. The current ratio of 0.95 indicates that current liabilities slightly exceed current assets, but the company's operating cash flow of $10.55 billion provides a buffer against short-term obligations [doc:3]. Profitability metrics show a mixed picture. The company reported an operating income of $12.39 billion and a net income of $8.56 billion, translating to a return on assets (ROA) of 14.39%. However, the return on equity (ROE) is negative at -4.78%, primarily due to the negative equity position. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 3.11 and EV/Revenue of 1.48 suggest that the company is undervalued relative to its earnings and revenue, especially when compared to industry peers [doc:4]. Geographically, McDonald's revenue is heavily concentrated in the U.S., which is its largest market and accounts for 95% franchised operations. The International Operated Markets segment, including countries like Australia, Canada, and the UK, is 89% franchised, while the International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate segment, which includes China and Japan, is 99% franchised. This franchise-heavy model reduces capital intensity and allows for scalable growth [doc:1]. The company's growth trajectory is robust, with a revenue of $26.89 billion in FY2025. Analysts project a mean price target of $347.51, indicating a potential upside from the current market price of $292.33. The company's focus on core menu items and operational efficiency is expected to drive continued revenue growth in the coming fiscal year [doc:5]. Risk factors include liquidity concerns due to current liabilities exceeding current assets and a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The risk assessment indicates a medium dilution potential, with source documents mentioning dilution or offering risks. The company's high debt load and negative equity position also contribute to credit risk [doc:6]. Recent events include the sale of McDonald's business in South Korea and the acquisition of the business in Israel, which impacted 2024 results through net charges. Management has also committed to focusing on core menu items to meet customer demand for familiar products. Additionally, the company has set policies to address human rights violations, particularly in vulnerable populations [doc:7].

Profile
CompanyMCDONALDS CORP
ExchangeNYSE
TickerMCD
CIK0000063908
SICRetail-Eating Places
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Services
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Services
IndustryRestaurants & Bars
AI analysis

Business. McDonald's Corporation operates as a global foodservice retailer, generating revenue primarily through franchised restaurants in the U.S., International Operated Markets, and International Developmental Licensed Markets [doc:1].

Classification. McDonald's is classified under the Restaurants & Bars industry within the Consumer Cyclicals economic sector, with a classification confidence of 0.92 [doc:2].

McDonald's capital structure is characterized by a high debt load, with long-term debt of $39.97 billion and a negative total equity of $1.79 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -22.72. Despite this, the company maintains a strong liquidity position, with $774 million in cash and equivalents and a free cash flow of $7.19 billion in FY2025. The current ratio of 0.95 indicates that current liabilities slightly exceed current assets, but the company's operating cash flow of $10.55 billion provides a buffer against short-term obligations [doc:3]. Profitability metrics show a mixed picture. The company reported an operating income of $12.39 billion and a net income of $8.56 billion, translating to a return on assets (ROA) of 14.39%. However, the return on equity (ROE) is negative at -4.78%, primarily due to the negative equity position. The EV/EBITDA ratio of 3.11 and EV/Revenue of 1.48 suggest that the company is undervalued relative to its earnings and revenue, especially when compared to industry peers [doc:4]. Geographically, McDonald's revenue is heavily concentrated in the U.S., which is its largest market and accounts for 95% franchised operations. The International Operated Markets segment, including countries like Australia, Canada, and the UK, is 89% franchised, while the International Developmental Licensed Markets & Corporate segment, which includes China and Japan, is 99% franchised. This franchise-heavy model reduces capital intensity and allows for scalable growth [doc:1]. The company's growth trajectory is robust, with a revenue of $26.89 billion in FY2025. Analysts project a mean price target of $347.51, indicating a potential upside from the current market price of $292.33. The company's focus on core menu items and operational efficiency is expected to drive continued revenue growth in the coming fiscal year [doc:5]. Risk factors include liquidity concerns due to current liabilities exceeding current assets and a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The risk assessment indicates a medium dilution potential, with source documents mentioning dilution or offering risks. The company's high debt load and negative equity position also contribute to credit risk [doc:6]. Recent events include the sale of McDonald's business in South Korea and the acquisition of the business in Israel, which impacted 2024 results through net charges. Management has also committed to focusing on core menu items to meet customer demand for familiar products. Additionally, the company has set policies to address human rights violations, particularly in vulnerable populations [doc:7].
Key takeaways
  • McDonald's operates with a franchise-heavy model, reducing capital intensity and enabling scalable growth.
  • The company's strong operating cash flow and free cash flow provide liquidity despite a high debt load.
  • The negative return on equity is a concern, primarily due to the negative equity position.
  • Analysts project a potential upside in the stock price, indicating positive sentiment.
  • The company's focus on core menu items and operational efficiency is expected to drive continued revenue growth.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodFY2025
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$26.89B
Gross profit
Operating income$12.39B
Net income$8.56B
R&D
SG&A
D&A$457.0M
SBC$165.0M
Operating cash flow$10.55B
CapEx$3.37B
Free cash flow$7.19B
Total assets$59.52B
Total liabilities
Total equity-$1.79B
Cash & equivalents$774.0M
Long-term debt$39.97B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY2025$26.89B$12.39B$8.56B$7.19B
FY2024$25.92B$11.71B$8.22B$6.67B
FY2025$25.92B$11.71B$8.22B$6.67B
FY2023$25.49B$11.65B$8.47B$7.25B
FY2024$25.49B$11.65B$8.47B$7.25B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY2025
FY2024
FY2025
FY2023
FY2024
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY2025$59.52B-$1.79B$774.0M
FY2024$55.18B-$3.80B$1.08B
FY2025$55.18B-$3.80B$1.08B
FY2023$56.15B-$4.71B$4.58B
FY2024$56.15B-$4.71B$4.58B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY2025$10.55B$3.37B$7.19B$165.0M
FY2024$9.45B$2.77B$6.67B$172.0M
FY2025$9.45B$2.77B$6.67B$172.0M
FY2023$9.61B$2.36B$7.25B$175.2M
FY2024$9.61B$2.36B$7.25B$175.0M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
Q3 2025$19.88B$9.24B$6.40B$5.55B
Q2 2025$12.80B$5.88B$4.12B$3.13B
Q3 2025
Q1 2025$5.96B$2.65B$1.87B$1.88B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
Q3 2025
Q1 2025
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
Q3 2025$60.61B-$2.16B$2.41B
Q2 2025$59.55B-$2.76B$1.88B
Q3 2025-$2.76B
Q1 2025$56.33B-$3.45B$1.24B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
Q3 2025$7.85B$2.31B$5.55B$128.0M
Q2 2025$4.43B$1.29B$3.13B$89.0M
Q3 2025
Q1 2025$2.43B$551.0M$1.88B$45.0M
Valuation
Market price$292.33
Market cap$209.4k
Enterprise value$39.92B
P/E0.0
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue1.5
EV/Op income3.2
EV/OCF3.8
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book
Net cash-$39.92B
Current ratio0.9
Debt/Equity-22.7
ROA14.4%
ROE-4.8%
Cash conversion1.2%
CapEx/Revenue12.5%
SBC/Revenue0.6%
Asset intensity0.5
Dilution ratio
Risk assessment
Dilution riskMedium
Liquidity riskHigh
  • Current liabilities exceed current assets.
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
  • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Restaurants & Bars · cohort 3 companies
MetricMCDActivity
Op margin46.1%31.3% medp25 27.3% · p75 38.7%top quartile
Net margin31.9%25.4% medp25 22.2% · p75 28.6%top quartile
Gross margin53.4% medp25 32.5% · p75 67.0%
CapEx / revenue12.5%4.5% medp25 3.7% · p75 8.5%top quartile
Debt / equity-2272.0%-162.1% medp25 -1197.0% · p75 101.3%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target347.51 USD
Median price target355.00 USD
High price target380.00 USD
Low price target306.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.29 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count7.00
Buy count14.00
Hold count16.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate13.18 USD
Last actual EPS12.20 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
SEC filingstype companyfacts · CIK 0000063908 · 432 us-gaap concepts
2026-05-01 02:43 UTC#61e3b359
Market quoteclose USD 292.33 · shares 0.00B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-01 02:43 UTC#f150a9c9
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 02:44 UTCJob: cc580c11