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LIVE · 10:04 UTC
MEX$77.5060

Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC

Restaurants & BarsVerified
Score breakdown
Profitability+23Sentiment+30Risk penalty-3Missing signals-2
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile38Conclusion98AI synthesis40Observations23

Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC has a negative equity position of -£485,980, indicating a significant leverage burden, with a debt-to-equity ratio of -94.62. The company's liquidity position is weak, as evidenced by a current ratio of 0.34, and it holds only £2.76 million in cash and equivalents, which is insufficient to cover its £45.98 million in long-term debt. The negative net income of £3.33 million and operating loss of £1.19 million further highlight the company's financial strain [doc:HA-latest]. Profitability metrics are mixed. The company's return on equity is 6.84%, which is positive but must be interpreted cautiously given the negative equity base. The return on assets is -0.0571, indicating that the company is not generating returns that cover its cost of capital. Gross profit of £52.1 million is a positive, but the operating loss suggests inefficiencies in cost management or pricing [doc:HA-latest]. The company's revenue is concentrated in the United Kingdom and the Middle East, with franchise partnerships with SSP Group plc and Eathos. While the company operates 117 restaurants globally, the lack of geographic diversification could expose it to regional economic downturns or regulatory changes. The company's revenue concentration in a few key markets is a notable risk [doc:HA-latest]. Looking ahead, the company's revenue outlook is uncertain. The current fiscal year is expected to show a decline, with no clear indication of a turnaround in the next fiscal year. The company's capital expenditure of -£4.99 million suggests a reduction in investment, which may be a response to financial constraints. The lack of growth in revenue and the continued operating losses indicate a challenging near-term trajectory [doc:HA-latest]. The company's risk profile is elevated. The liquidity risk is medium, and the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt is a key flag. The dilution risk is low, but the company's negative equity and high debt levels could lead to future dilution if it needs to raise additional capital. The risk assessment also highlights the need for close monitoring of the company's liquidity and debt management strategies [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events, including the company's financial performance and analyst estimates, suggest a cautious outlook. The mean price target of £72.50 is below the current market price of £77.50, and the mean recommendation of 1.00 (strong buy) is not supported by a strong consensus. The lack of buy or hold recommendations indicates a lack of confidence among analysts. The company's recent financial results and the absence of positive momentum suggest that investors should remain cautious [doc:HA-latest].

30-day price · MEX-1.00 (-1.2%)
Low$76.00High$80.00Close$79.00As of4 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyTortilla Mexican Grill PLC
TickerMEX.L
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Services
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Services
IndustryRestaurants & Bars
AI analysis

Business. Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC operates as a fast-casual Mexican restaurant chain with a focus on customizable, California-style Mexican cuisine, offering dine-in, take-away, and delivery options through its Tortilla, Chilango, and Fresh Burritos brands [doc:HA-latest].

Classification. Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC is classified under the Restaurants & Bars industry within the Cyclical Consumer Services business sector, with a classification confidence of 0.92 [doc:verified market data].

Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC has a negative equity position of -£485,980, indicating a significant leverage burden, with a debt-to-equity ratio of -94.62. The company's liquidity position is weak, as evidenced by a current ratio of 0.34, and it holds only £2.76 million in cash and equivalents, which is insufficient to cover its £45.98 million in long-term debt. The negative net income of £3.33 million and operating loss of £1.19 million further highlight the company's financial strain [doc:HA-latest]. Profitability metrics are mixed. The company's return on equity is 6.84%, which is positive but must be interpreted cautiously given the negative equity base. The return on assets is -0.0571, indicating that the company is not generating returns that cover its cost of capital. Gross profit of £52.1 million is a positive, but the operating loss suggests inefficiencies in cost management or pricing [doc:HA-latest]. The company's revenue is concentrated in the United Kingdom and the Middle East, with franchise partnerships with SSP Group plc and Eathos. While the company operates 117 restaurants globally, the lack of geographic diversification could expose it to regional economic downturns or regulatory changes. The company's revenue concentration in a few key markets is a notable risk [doc:HA-latest]. Looking ahead, the company's revenue outlook is uncertain. The current fiscal year is expected to show a decline, with no clear indication of a turnaround in the next fiscal year. The company's capital expenditure of -£4.99 million suggests a reduction in investment, which may be a response to financial constraints. The lack of growth in revenue and the continued operating losses indicate a challenging near-term trajectory [doc:HA-latest]. The company's risk profile is elevated. The liquidity risk is medium, and the negative net cash position after subtracting total debt is a key flag. The dilution risk is low, but the company's negative equity and high debt levels could lead to future dilution if it needs to raise additional capital. The risk assessment also highlights the need for close monitoring of the company's liquidity and debt management strategies [doc:HA-latest]. Recent events, including the company's financial performance and analyst estimates, suggest a cautious outlook. The mean price target of £72.50 is below the current market price of £77.50, and the mean recommendation of 1.00 (strong buy) is not supported by a strong consensus. The lack of buy or hold recommendations indicates a lack of confidence among analysts. The company's recent financial results and the absence of positive momentum suggest that investors should remain cautious [doc:HA-latest].
Key takeaways
  • Tortilla Mexican Grill PLC is operating with a negative equity position and a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating significant leverage risk.
  • The company's liquidity position is weak, with a current ratio of 0.34 and insufficient cash to cover long-term debt.
  • The company's profitability is mixed, with a positive return on equity but a negative return on assets.
  • The company's revenue is concentrated in the UK and the Middle East, exposing it to regional economic and regulatory risks.
  • The company's near-term revenue outlook is uncertain, with no clear signs of a turnaround.
  • Analysts have a cautious outlook, with a mean price target below the current market price and no strong buy or hold recommendations.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyGBP
Revenue$68.0M
Gross profit$52.1M
Operating income-$1.2M
Net income-$3.3M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$9.9M
CapEx-$5.0M
Free cash flow$428.4k
Total assets$58.3M
Total liabilities$58.8M
Total equity-$486.0k
Cash & equivalents$2.8M
Long-term debt$46.0M
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price$77.50
Market cap$3.00B
Enterprise value$3.04B
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue44.7
EV/Op income
EV/OCF307.0
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book-$486.0k
Net cash-$43.2M
Current ratio0.3
Debt/Equity-94.6
ROA-5.7%
ROE6.8%
Cash conversion-3.0%
CapEx/Revenue-7.3%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Restaurants & Bars · cohort 3 companies
MetricMEXActivity
Op margin-1.7%31.3% medp25 27.3% · p75 38.7%bottom quartile
Net margin-4.9%25.4% medp25 22.2% · p75 28.6%bottom quartile
Gross margin76.6%54.1% medp25 33.1% · p75 66.8%top quartile
CapEx / revenue-7.3%4.5% medp25 3.7% · p75 8.5%bottom quartile
Debt / equity-9462.0%-162.1% medp25 -1197.0% · p75 101.3%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target72.50 GBP
Median price target72.50 GBP
High price target75.00 GBP
Low price target70.00 GBP
Mean recommendation1.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count2.00
Buy count0.00
Hold count0.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate-0.02 GBP
Last actual EPS-0.09 GBP
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-05 03:48 UTC#323e15b8
Market quoteclose GBP 77.50 · shares 0.04B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-05 03:48 UTC#f55c91c9
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-05 03:49 UTCJob: 8c1affde