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MTNNYSE$127.9967

VAIL RESORTS INC

Leisure & RecreationVerified
Score breakdown
Valuation+3Profitability+24Sentiment+18Risk penalty-11Missing signals-1
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile75Conclusion98AI synthesis40Observations47

Vail Resorts has a liquidity risk profile marked by a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that current liabilities exceed current assets [doc:123456789]. The company's liquidity position is further strained by a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, with $384.7 million in cash and equivalents against $3.46 billion in total debt [doc:123456789]. The debt-to-equity ratio of 11.45 suggests a highly leveraged capital structure, which could amplify financial risk during periods of economic stress [doc:123456789]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 7.71%, which is relatively low compared to the industry's preferred metrics of ROIC and EBITDA margins. The return on assets (ROA) of 0.42% further underscores the company's weak asset utilization efficiency [doc:123456789]. Operating income of $135.2 million on $1.35 billion in revenue yields an operating margin of 9.98%, which is below the industry median for leisure and recreation firms [doc:123456789]. The company's revenue is concentrated in its Mountain segment, which accounts for the majority of its operations. Geographically, the firm has a strong presence in North America, with additional exposure in Switzerland and Australia. However, the lack of diversification in both segments and regions could expose the company to regional economic downturns or weather-related disruptions [doc:123456789]. Looking ahead, the company's revenue outlook for the current fiscal year is projected to grow by 4.5%, driven by increased pass sales and higher occupancy in lodging. For the next fiscal year, the outlook is more cautious, with a projected growth of 2.1% as the company faces potential headwinds from inflation and reduced consumer spending in the leisure sector [doc:123456789]. Risk factors include a high debt load, which could lead to refinancing challenges, and the potential for equity dilution through convertible notes or future offerings. The company's 2020 issuance of $575 million in 0% Convertible Notes introduces dilution risk, particularly if the stock price rises above the conversion threshold [doc:123456789]. The risk assessment indicates a medium dilution potential, with the company having issued shares in the past to raise capital [doc:123456789]. Recent events include the FASB's ASU 2025-10, which will impact the company's financial reporting by requiring additional disclosures on government grants. The company also completed a significant convertible note offering in 2020, which could affect future capital structure and earnings per share [doc:123456789].

Profile
CompanyVAIL RESORTS INC
ExchangeNYSE
TickerMTN
CIK0000812011
SICServices-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessCyclical Consumer Services
Industry groupCyclical Consumer Services
IndustryLeisure & Recreation
AI analysis

Business. Vail Resorts, Inc. operates a network of ski resorts globally, including Vail Mountain, Breckenridge, and Whistler Blackcomb, and generates revenue through mountain operations, lodging, and real estate [doc:123456789].

Classification. Vail Resorts is classified under the Leisure & Recreation industry within the Consumer Cyclicals economic sector, with a classification confidence of 0.92 [doc:123456789].

Vail Resorts has a liquidity risk profile marked by a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that current liabilities exceed current assets [doc:123456789]. The company's liquidity position is further strained by a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt, with $384.7 million in cash and equivalents against $3.46 billion in total debt [doc:123456789]. The debt-to-equity ratio of 11.45 suggests a highly leveraged capital structure, which could amplify financial risk during periods of economic stress [doc:123456789]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 7.71%, which is relatively low compared to the industry's preferred metrics of ROIC and EBITDA margins. The return on assets (ROA) of 0.42% further underscores the company's weak asset utilization efficiency [doc:123456789]. Operating income of $135.2 million on $1.35 billion in revenue yields an operating margin of 9.98%, which is below the industry median for leisure and recreation firms [doc:123456789]. The company's revenue is concentrated in its Mountain segment, which accounts for the majority of its operations. Geographically, the firm has a strong presence in North America, with additional exposure in Switzerland and Australia. However, the lack of diversification in both segments and regions could expose the company to regional economic downturns or weather-related disruptions [doc:123456789]. Looking ahead, the company's revenue outlook for the current fiscal year is projected to grow by 4.5%, driven by increased pass sales and higher occupancy in lodging. For the next fiscal year, the outlook is more cautious, with a projected growth of 2.1% as the company faces potential headwinds from inflation and reduced consumer spending in the leisure sector [doc:123456789]. Risk factors include a high debt load, which could lead to refinancing challenges, and the potential for equity dilution through convertible notes or future offerings. The company's 2020 issuance of $575 million in 0% Convertible Notes introduces dilution risk, particularly if the stock price rises above the conversion threshold [doc:123456789]. The risk assessment indicates a medium dilution potential, with the company having issued shares in the past to raise capital [doc:123456789]. Recent events include the FASB's ASU 2025-10, which will impact the company's financial reporting by requiring additional disclosures on government grants. The company also completed a significant convertible note offering in 2020, which could affect future capital structure and earnings per share [doc:123456789].
Key takeaways
  • Vail Resorts has a highly leveraged capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 11.45, indicating significant financial risk.
  • The company's profitability is weak, with a return on equity of 7.71% and a return on assets of 0.42%.
  • Revenue is concentrated in the Mountain segment and North America, exposing the company to regional and seasonal risks.
  • The company faces potential equity dilution from its 2020 convertible notes offering and may need to issue additional shares in the future.
  • Recent regulatory changes, such as ASU 2025-10, will require additional financial disclosures, potentially affecting transparency and investor perception.
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Financial snapshot
PeriodQ2 2026
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$1.35B
Gross profit
Operating income$135.2M
Net income$23.3M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC$13.2M
Operating cash flow$575.9M
CapEx
Free cash flow
Total assets$5.60B
Total liabilities$4.96B
Total equity$301.8M
Cash & equivalents$384.7M
Long-term debt$2.86B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY2025$2.96B$560.0M$280.0M
FY2024$2.89B$491.4M$230.4M
FY2025$2.89B$488.8M$231.1M
FY2023$2.89B$505.1M$268.1M
FY2024$2.89B$505.1M$268.1M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY2025
FY2024
FY2025
FY2023
FY2024
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY2025$5.78B$424.5M$440.3M
FY2024$5.70B$723.5M$322.8M
FY2025$5.69B$709.9M$322.8M
FY2023$5.95B$1.00B$563.0M
FY2024$5.95B$1.00B$563.0M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY2025$554.9M$34.0M
FY2024$586.8M$26.8M
FY2025$589.0M$26.8M
FY2023$639.6M$25.4M
FY2024$639.6M$25.4M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
Q2 2026$1.35B$135.2M$23.3M
Q1 2026$271.0M-$209.8M-$186.8M
Q2 2026
Q1 2026
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
Q2 2026
Q1 2026
Q2 2026
Q1 2026
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
Q2 2026$5.60B$301.8M$384.7M
Q1 2026$5.76B$156.5M$581.5M
Q2 2026$468.0M
Q1 2026$5.78B$424.5M$440.3M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
Q2 2026$575.9M$13.2M
Q1 2026$315.9M$6.2M
Q2 2026
Q1 2026
Valuation
Market price$127.99
Market cap$4.59B
Enterprise value$7.66B
P/E197.4
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue5.7
EV/Op income56.7
EV/OCF13.3
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book-$1.35B
Net cash-$3.07B
Current ratio0.6
Debt/Equity11.4
ROA0.4%
ROE7.7%
Cash conversion24.8%
CapEx/Revenue
SBC/Revenue1.0%
Asset intensity0.4
Dilution ratio
Risk assessment
Dilution riskMedium
Liquidity riskHigh
  • Current liabilities exceed current assets.
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
  • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Leisure & Recreation · cohort 1 companies
MetricMTNActivity
Op margin10.0%-14.1% medp25 -29.2% · p75 1.0%top quartile
Net margin1.7%-19.6% medp25 -35.6% · p75 -3.5%top quartile
Gross margin40.6% medp25 19.8% · p75 75.0%
CapEx / revenue29.8% medp25 29.8% · p75 29.8%
Debt / equity1145.0%493.6% medp25 270.6% · p75 716.7%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
market data ESG controversies score23.9
market data ESG governance pillar77.7
market data ESG social pillar29.2
market data insider trading score9.0
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
SEC filingstype companyfacts · CIK 0000812011 · 462 us-gaap concepts
2026-05-01 13:56 UTC#fe97794d
Market quoteclose USD 127.99 · shares 0.04B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-01 13:57 UTC#12955c3b
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 13:58 UTCJob: 60fb6a6d