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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
POMO459

Marcopolo SA

Auto, Truck & Motorcycle PartsVerified

Marcopolo's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, indicating a balanced mix of debt and equity financing. The company holds BRL 1.52 billion in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by BRL 3.76 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position that is negative. The liquidity risk is rated as medium, with a current ratio of 1.89, suggesting the company can cover its short-term obligations but may face challenges in the event of a liquidity shock. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 31.92% and a return on assets (ROA) of 12.58%, both of which are strong relative to the industry median for Auto, Truck & Motorcycle Parts. The gross profit margin is 25.55% (BRL 2.31 billion on BRL 9.06 billion in revenue), and the operating margin is 14.91% (BRL 1.35 billion on BRL 9.06 billion in revenue). These figures suggest the company is efficiently managing its production and operating costs. Geographically, Marcopolo's revenue is concentrated in Brazil, with no disclosed international segments in the latest financials. The company's exposure to the domestic market may limit its diversification and increase vulnerability to local economic conditions. No material revenue is attributed to international operations, and the company does not report segment-specific revenue breakdowns in the latest filing. The company's growth trajectory is mixed. While revenue for the latest period is BRL 9.06 billion, the free cash flow is negative at BRL -337.65 million, driven by capital expenditures of BRL -320.85 million. The outlook for the current fiscal year is neutral, with no significant revenue growth expected. The next fiscal year is projected to show modest improvement, but the company will need to manage its capital expenditures more effectively to restore positive free cash flow. Risk factors include a medium liquidity risk and a negative net cash position, which could constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities. The dilution risk is currently low, with no significant dilution expected in the near term. However, the company's reliance on debt financing and the potential for future capital raising could increase dilution risk if market conditions deteriorate. Recent events include the release of the latest financial report, which shows a strong net income of BRL 1.22 billion. The company has not disclosed any material legal or regulatory issues in the latest filings. Analysts have provided a mean price target of BRL 8.98, with a median of BRL 9.09, and a mean recommendation of 1.88 (leaning toward buy).

30-day price · POMO4-0.61 (-9.3%)
Low$5.79High$7.05Close$5.93As of22 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyMarcopolo SA
TickerPOMO4.SA
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
BusinessAutomobiles & Auto Parts
Industry groupAutomobiles & Auto Parts
IndustryAuto, Truck & Motorcycle Parts
AI analysis

Business. Marcopolo SA is a Brazilian company that designs, produces, and sells buses and coaches, primarily for the public and private transportation sectors.

Classification. Marcopolo is classified under the industry "Auto, Truck & Motorcycle Parts" within the "Consumer Cyclicals" economic sector, with a confidence level of 0.92.

Marcopolo's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.98, indicating a balanced mix of debt and equity financing. The company holds BRL 1.52 billion in cash and equivalents, but this is offset by BRL 3.76 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position that is negative. The liquidity risk is rated as medium, with a current ratio of 1.89, suggesting the company can cover its short-term obligations but may face challenges in the event of a liquidity shock. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 31.92% and a return on assets (ROA) of 12.58%, both of which are strong relative to the industry median for Auto, Truck & Motorcycle Parts. The gross profit margin is 25.55% (BRL 2.31 billion on BRL 9.06 billion in revenue), and the operating margin is 14.91% (BRL 1.35 billion on BRL 9.06 billion in revenue). These figures suggest the company is efficiently managing its production and operating costs. Geographically, Marcopolo's revenue is concentrated in Brazil, with no disclosed international segments in the latest financials. The company's exposure to the domestic market may limit its diversification and increase vulnerability to local economic conditions. No material revenue is attributed to international operations, and the company does not report segment-specific revenue breakdowns in the latest filing. The company's growth trajectory is mixed. While revenue for the latest period is BRL 9.06 billion, the free cash flow is negative at BRL -337.65 million, driven by capital expenditures of BRL -320.85 million. The outlook for the current fiscal year is neutral, with no significant revenue growth expected. The next fiscal year is projected to show modest improvement, but the company will need to manage its capital expenditures more effectively to restore positive free cash flow. Risk factors include a medium liquidity risk and a negative net cash position, which could constrain the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities. The dilution risk is currently low, with no significant dilution expected in the near term. However, the company's reliance on debt financing and the potential for future capital raising could increase dilution risk if market conditions deteriorate. Recent events include the release of the latest financial report, which shows a strong net income of BRL 1.22 billion. The company has not disclosed any material legal or regulatory issues in the latest filings. Analysts have provided a mean price target of BRL 8.98, with a median of BRL 9.09, and a mean recommendation of 1.88 (leaning toward buy).
Key takeaways
  • Marcopolo maintains a strong ROE of 31.92% and ROA of 12.58%, indicating efficient use of equity and assets.
  • The company's liquidity position is medium risk, with a current ratio of 1.89 and a negative net cash position.
  • Free cash flow is negative at BRL -337.65 million, driven by capital expenditures of BRL -320.85 million.
  • Revenue is concentrated in Brazil, with no material international exposure disclosed.
  • Analysts have a generally positive outlook, with a mean recommendation of 1.88 and a median price target of BRL 9.09.
  • Dilution risk is currently low, but the company's reliance on debt financing could increase this risk in the future.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyBRL
Revenue$9.06B
Gross profit$2.31B
Operating income$1.35B
Net income$1.22B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$1.44B
CapEx-$320.9M
Free cash flow-$337.6M
Total assets$9.72B
Total liabilities$5.89B
Total equity$3.83B
Cash & equivalents$1.52B
Long-term debt$3.76B
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$3.83B
Net cash-$2.24B
Current ratio1.9
Debt/Equity1.0
ROA12.6%
ROE31.9%
Cash conversion1.2%
CapEx/Revenue-3.5%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Automobiles · cohort 357 companies
MetricPOMO4Activity
Op margin14.9%10.7% medp25 10.7% · p75 10.7%top quartile
Net margin13.5%2.2% medp25 2.2% · p75 2.2%top quartile
Gross margin25.6%25.3% medp25 25.3% · p75 25.3%top quartile
R&D / revenue4.1% medp25 4.1% · p75 4.1%
CapEx / revenue-3.5%-4.2% medp25 -6.9% · p75 -2.1%above median
Debt / equity98.0%55.0% medp25 55.0% · p75 55.0%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target8.98 BRL
Median price target9.09 BRL
High price target10.00 BRL
Low price target8.00 BRL
Mean recommendation1.88 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count2.00
Buy count5.00
Hold count1.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate0.99 BRL
Last actual EPS0.99 BRL
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-23 01:17 UTCJob: 051588e9