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XPF.L London Stock Exchange Leisure & Recreation

Xp Factory PLC

$18,10
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1D5D1M3M6MYTD1Y5YMax
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Mcap
P/E
EV / Rev
Div yield
Op margin
3,1 %
ROE
-5,3 %
Net margin
-2,2 %
Debt / equity
1,82
Beta
52w range
Volume
Day range
Prev close
Open
Next earnings
Ex-dividend
TR 1Y
About

XPF.L operates in the Leisure & Recreation industry, providing services related to hospitality and entertainment, primarily generating revenue through direct service offerings and customer transactions.

Business. XPF.L is a leisure and recreation company operating within the cyclical consumer services sector. The firm generates service-based revenue and is primarily listed on the London Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic presence are not available in the provided data.

Classification92 %
SectorConsumer Cyclicals
Business sectorCyclical Consumer Services
IndustryLeisure & Recreation
Generated · model-assisted
Sell-side consensus
BUY2 analysts
2 buy0 hold0 sell
Avg 12m price target20,00

Analyst recommendations

2 analysts · consensus Buy
Buy2
Hold0
Sell0
12-month price target
20,00
Consensus of sell-side coverage.
Upcoming events
— missing data
See all catalysts →

At a glance

Score
not yet scored
Valuation
valuation pending
Analysts
Buy
2 analysts · indicative
Ownership
not yet wired
Profitability
-5,3 %
return on equity
Quality
not yet scored

What drives this business

The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.

— missing data

News & coverage

0
  • No recent newsroom coverage mentioning XPF.
  • Sector rotation

    Sector1D1Mvs mkt
    Materials+2,3 %+6,6 %+1,7 %
    Communication Services+2,2 %−5,5 %+1,6 %
    Energy+0,6 %+3,3 %+0,0 %
    Health Care+0,6 %−0,8 %+0,0 %
    Information Technology+0,6 %+6,7 %+0,0 %
    Consumer Discretionary · THIS SECTOR+0,4 %+7,6 %−0,2 %
    Financials−0,3 %−2,8 %−0,9 %
    Consumer Staples−0,4 %+2,5 %−1,0 %
    Real Estate−0,7 %+10,9 %−1,3 %
    Industrials−1,9 %−3,1 %−2,5 %
    Utilities−1,9 %+28,2 %−2,5 %

    Developing storylines

    No tracked sagas currently linked to XPF.L. Browse all sagas →

    Analysis

    AI analysis
    Generated · analysis pipeline · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 ↑ At a glance

    Opportunity

    — missing data

    Upcoming catalysts

    Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.

    • Macro
    • Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
    • Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
    • Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
    • Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
    • Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
    • Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
    • Macro & political
    • ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
    • ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
    • ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR

    Pre-earnings brief

    — missing data

    Signals & dispatch

    peak dispatch · —

    Composite-score breakdown

    Synthesis

    Business

    XPF.L is a leisure and recreation company operating within the cyclical consumer services sector. The firm generates service-based revenue and is primarily listed on the London Stock Exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments, headquarters location, and geographic presence are not available in the provided data.

    Classification92 %
    SectorConsumer Cyclicals
    Business sectorCyclical Consumer Services
    IndustryLeisure & Recreation
    AI synthesis
    GENERATED

    XPF.L's capital structure is characterized by a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.82, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is weak, as evidenced by a current ratio of 0.35, which is below the typical threshold for financial health. The negative net cash position after subtracting total debt further exacerbates liquidity concerns.

    Profitability metrics for XPF.L are underperforming relative to industry norms. The company reported a net loss of GBP 1.25 million, with a return on equity of -5.26% and a return on assets of -1.53%. These figures suggest that the company is not generating sufficient returns to cover its cost of capital, which is a red flag for investors.

    Geographically, XPF.L's revenue is concentrated in a single market, as disclosed in its segments, with no material diversification across regions. This concentration increases exposure to local economic downturns and regulatory changes, which could impact revenue stability.

    The company's growth trajectory is mixed. While operating cash flow stands at GBP 7.63 million, indicating some operational efficiency, free cash flow is negative at GBP -2.26 million, and capital expenditure is GBP -7.68 million. These figures suggest that the company is investing heavily in its operations but is not yet generating enough cash to sustain these investments without external financing.

    Risk factors for XPF.L include liquidity constraints and the potential for dilution, although the latter is currently assessed as low. The company's high debt load and negative net income increase the risk of financial distress, particularly in a cyclical industry where demand can fluctuate significantly. The absence of a strong earnings foundation also limits the company's ability to withstand economic shocks.

    Recent events, including analyst estimates and recommendations, suggest a cautious outlook. The mean price target of GBP 20.00 and a mean recommendation of 1.50 indicate a generally positive sentiment among analysts, though the lack of strong buy or buy ratings beyond one each suggests limited confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

    Key takeaways
    • XPF.L is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.82, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing.
    • The company is currently unprofitable, with a net loss of GBP 1.25 million and negative returns on equity and assets.
    • XPF.L's revenue is concentrated in a single geographic market, increasing its exposure to local economic and regulatory risks.
    • Analysts have a cautiously positive outlook, with a mean price target of GBP 20.00, but the lack of strong buy ratings suggests limited confidence in the stock's near-term performance.

    Bull / Bear case

    Generated · model-assisted
    — missing data

    In focus — financials by report

    Valuation

    Market price
    $18,10
    Market cap
    Enterprise value
    P/E
    Non-GAAP P/E
    EV / Revenue
    EV / Op income
    EV / OCF
    P / B
    P / Tangible book
    Tangible book
    $23.8M
    Net cash
    -$43.2M
    Current ratio
    0.3
    Debt / equity
    1.8
    ROA
    -1.5%
    ROE
    -5.3%
    Cash conversion
    -610.0%
    CapEx / revenue
    -13.3%
    SBC / revenue
    Dilution ratio
    0.0%

    Revenue by segment

    Market share

    — missing data

    Business relationships

    — missing data

    Supply chain

    — missing data

    Peer comparison

    — missing data

    Market position

    Stress test

    — missing data

    Predictor forecast

    Next quarternear-term
    Earnings · next quarterconf 45 %
    EPS
    Consensus EPS
    -0,01
    Predicted surprise
    +0,00
    Beat probability
    45 %
    Analysts
    2
    Other metrics
    Revenue
    no estimate
    Segment revenue
    no estimate
    Margin
    no estimate
    Segment margin
    no estimate
    as of 2026-05-08 · Earnings Surprise V1
    Period note: consensus is not fiscal-period-aligned at source — read as consensus vs the last reported actual, not a calibrated same-quarter surprise.
    Full fiscal year~1 year ahead
    Full fiscal year · our forecast vs guidance vs consensus
    MetricOur forecastGuidanceConsensus
    EPSno estimateno estimate-0,01
    Revenueno estimateno estimate59,4M GBP
    Operating incomeno estimateno estimate2,3M GBP
    Full-year consensus mean (period as reported by source) · consensus in GBP. Company-level full-year forecast and management guidance are not yet modelled at scale — shown as "no estimate", never inferred.
    Probabilistic model output — not investment advice. · generated 2026-08-04

    Options

    — missing data

    Short squeeze

    — missing data

    Earnings-call key lines

    — missing data

    Consensus distribution

    sell-side coverage
    Recommendation distribution2 analysts
    Strong buy1
    Buy1
    Hold0
    Sell0
    Strong sell0
    12-month price target$20,00 · Median $20,00
    Low $20,00High $20,00
    Operating income · consensus2,3M GBP
    EPS surprise
    +129,2 %
    reported vs consensus · beat
    Revenue surprise
    −2,7 %
    reported vs consensus · miss

    Estimate revisions

    consensus EPS · 26-week trend
    — missing data

    Sell-side observations

    Low$20,00
    Mean$20,00
    Median$20,00
    High$20,00
    Spot$18,10
    +10.5 %implied to mean12-month sell-side price targets · ▲ spot

    Themes

    — missing data

    ESG

    — missing data

    Risk factors

    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Filing-based flags
    • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Benchmarks vs cohort

    Op Margin3,1 %Below median
    Net Margin-2,2 %Below median
    ROE-5,3 %Bottom quartile
    Capex / Rev-13,3 %Below median
    D/E1,82Bottom quartile
    Cash Conv-6,10Bottom quartile

    Corporate actions / M&A

    — missing data

    FX exposure

    — missing data

    Comparable transactions

    — missing data

    Derivatives & instruments

    — missing data

    Actions

    Ask Handelsavisen

    — missing data
    Data sources
    • Market data
    • Market data cache
    • Issuer disclosures
    • Public news
    • Earnings transcripts
    • Consensus estimates
    • ESG data
    How metrics are computed
    • Dilution Ratio
      (shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
    • Net Cash
      cash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
    • Capex To Revenue
      capital_expenditure / revenue
    • Return On Equity
      net_income / total_equity
    • Debt To Equity
      (short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
    • Cash Conversion Ratio
      operating_cash_flow / net_income
    Source documents
    • XPF.L Market data — financials · 2026-05-30
    • XP Factory Plc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-30

    Ownership & reference

    Leadership

    • Richard HarphamChief Executive Officer, Executive Director

    Insider activity

    — missing data

    Short positioning

    — missing data

    Geographic breakdown

    — missing data
    Listings · one canonical issuer all listings resolve to the canonical
    XPF.LCanonical
    London Stock Exchange · USD

    Intel & risk

    PredictorBeat prob45 %Surprise+0,00Full forecast →
    peak dispatch · —
    OSINT findings
    Dilution riskLow
    Liquidity riskMedium
    Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.

    Evidence & claims

    From filings & derived data
    — missing data

    The Thread

    Everything we know, in order
    2026-06-30 03:38 UTCEARNINGSUpcomingForecast: earnings_forecast (90d)
    2026-06-20 00:43 UTCANALYSTAnalyst coverage initiated
    The entity's full life in the product — typed, chronological, joined across Newspaper, Platform and Data. Our memory, made visible.
    Sources filings · IR · transcripts · market data · tier hybrid · as of 2026-08-04 Market data · Issuer disclosures · Public news · Earnings transcripts · Consensus estimates · ESG data Premium coverage