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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:22 UTC
AXL$0.4160

Arrow Exploration Corp

Oil & Gas Exploration and ProductionVerified
Score breakdown
Valuation+12Profitability+12Sentiment+21Risk penalty-3Missing signals-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile38Conclusion98AI synthesis40Observations23

Arrow Exploration Corp maintains a capital structure with total liabilities of $50.96 million and total equity of $54.45 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, indicating a relatively low leverage position [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. The company's liquidity is assessed as medium, with a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. Operating cash flow of $26.80 million supports its capital expenditures of -$43.19 million, suggesting a need for external financing or asset sales to fund ongoing operations [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Profitability metrics show an operating income of $5.73 million on revenue of $70.45 million, translating to a 8.13% operating margin. This is below the industry median for exploration and production firms, which typically range between 10-15% in high-margin environments. The company's EBITDA multiple of 20.48x is elevated compared to the industry median of 12-15x, suggesting a premium valuation relative to earnings [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Geographically, Arrow's revenue is heavily concentrated in Colombia, where it operates under a wholly owned subsidiary, Carrao Energy S.A. The company's primary producing assets are in the Llanos, Middle Magdalena Valley, and Putumayo Basins, with a 50% working interest in the Tapir Block and a 10% interest in the Ombu Block. In Canada, it holds a 100% operated working interest in the Montney P&NG rights on the Pepper asset in Alberta [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Growth trajectory is mixed, with the company reporting a revenue of $70.45 million in the latest period. Analysts project a mean price target of $0.50, implying a 22% upside from the current market price of $0.41. However, the company's capital expenditures of -$43.19 million suggest a significant investment phase, which could pressure near-term cash flow and necessitate further financing [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to the negative net cash position and the need for external financing. The company's dilution risk is assessed as low, with no near-term pressure expected. However, the risk assessment notes that capital expenditures are significantly negative, which could lead to future dilution if financing is required [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Recent events include the filing of the 10-K for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, which outlines the company's financial position and operational strategy. The company has not issued any new shares in the past 12 months, and there are no indications of a pending secondary offering or ATM program [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K].

Profile
CompanyArrow Exploration Corp
TickerAXL.V
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration and Production
AI analysis

Business. Arrow Exploration Corp is a junior oil and gas company engaged in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in Colombia and Western Canada, with primary producing assets in Colombia's Tapir, Oso Pardo, and Ombu blocks, and natural gas production in Canada at Fir and Pepper, Alberta [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K].

Classification. Arrow Exploration Corp is classified under the Energy - Fossil Fuels business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92, and operates in the Oil & Gas Exploration and Production industry [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K].

Arrow Exploration Corp maintains a capital structure with total liabilities of $50.96 million and total equity of $54.45 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, indicating a relatively low leverage position [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. The company's liquidity is assessed as medium, with a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. Operating cash flow of $26.80 million supports its capital expenditures of -$43.19 million, suggesting a need for external financing or asset sales to fund ongoing operations [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Profitability metrics show an operating income of $5.73 million on revenue of $70.45 million, translating to a 8.13% operating margin. This is below the industry median for exploration and production firms, which typically range between 10-15% in high-margin environments. The company's EBITDA multiple of 20.48x is elevated compared to the industry median of 12-15x, suggesting a premium valuation relative to earnings [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Geographically, Arrow's revenue is heavily concentrated in Colombia, where it operates under a wholly owned subsidiary, Carrao Energy S.A. The company's primary producing assets are in the Llanos, Middle Magdalena Valley, and Putumayo Basins, with a 50% working interest in the Tapir Block and a 10% interest in the Ombu Block. In Canada, it holds a 100% operated working interest in the Montney P&NG rights on the Pepper asset in Alberta [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Growth trajectory is mixed, with the company reporting a revenue of $70.45 million in the latest period. Analysts project a mean price target of $0.50, implying a 22% upside from the current market price of $0.41. However, the company's capital expenditures of -$43.19 million suggest a significant investment phase, which could pressure near-term cash flow and necessitate further financing [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Risk factors include medium liquidity risk due to the negative net cash position and the need for external financing. The company's dilution risk is assessed as low, with no near-term pressure expected. However, the risk assessment notes that capital expenditures are significantly negative, which could lead to future dilution if financing is required [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K]. Recent events include the filing of the 10-K for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2023, which outlines the company's financial position and operational strategy. The company has not issued any new shares in the past 12 months, and there are no indications of a pending secondary offering or ATM program [doc:AXL.V-2023-10-K].
Key takeaways
  • Arrow Exploration Corp is a junior oil and gas company with a focus on underexploited assets in Colombia and Western Canada.
  • The company's capital structure is relatively unlevered, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.0, but it faces liquidity challenges due to a negative net cash position.
  • Operating margin of 8.13% is below the industry median, and the EBITDA multiple of 20.48x is elevated, indicating a premium valuation.
  • Revenue is heavily concentrated in Colombia, with primary producing assets in the Llanos, Middle Magdalena Valley, and Putumayo Basins.
  • Analysts project a mean price target of $0.50, implying a 22% upside from the current market price, but capital expenditures of -$43.19 million suggest a need for external financing.
  • The company's dilution risk is assessed as low, with no near-term pressure expected, but liquidity risk remains a concern.
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  • ## RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$70.5M
Gross profit
Operating income$5.7M
Net income
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$26.8M
CapEx-$43.2M
Free cash flow
Total assets
Total liabilities$51.0M
Total equity$54.4M
Cash & equivalents
Long-term debt$200.7k
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$70.5M$5.7M
FY-1$73.7M$29.2M$13.2M-$410.4k
FY-2$44.7M$3.0M-$1.1M-$16.0M
FY-3$25.0M$8.4M$346.5k-$1.8M
FY-4$6.5M$4.4M$5.7M$5.6M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$54.4M
FY-1$81.3M$53.0M
FY-2$62.3M$41.5M
FY-3$53.2M$25.9M
FY-4$41.2M$24.0M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$26.8M-$43.2M
FY-1$39.5M-$31.1M-$410.4k
FY-2$16.5M-$27.1M-$16.0M
FY-3$12.0M-$7.7M-$1.8M
FY-4-$4.5M-$1.7M$5.6M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$16.5M-$7.0M
FQ-1$18.5M$4.5M$3.1M-$494.6k
FQ-2$15.9M$2.1M-$934.7k-$12.5M
FQ-3$19.5M$6.0M$2.7M-$2.2M
FQ-4$22.9M$8.5M$2.1M-$786.2k
FQ-5$21.3M$11.0M$6.7M$4.4M
FQ-6$15.1M$3.6M$1.2M-$4.5M
FQ-7$14.4M$6.1M$3.2M$427.2k
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$54.4M
FQ-1$93.7M$57.9M
FQ-2$92.7M$54.7M
FQ-3$90.5M$55.7M
FQ-4$81.3M$53.0M
FQ-5$73.5M$53.0M
FQ-6$67.9M$46.1M
FQ-7$64.6M$44.6M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$26.8M-$43.2M
FQ-1$25.1M-$35.4M-$494.6k
FQ-2$14.0M-$26.2M-$12.5M
FQ-3$14.4M-$11.4M-$2.2M
FQ-4$39.5M-$31.1M-$786.2k
FQ-5$29.2M-$22.2M$4.4M
FQ-6$15.7M-$15.2M-$4.5M
FQ-7$8.6M-$6.3M$427.2k
Valuation
Market price$0.41
Market cap$117.2M
Enterprise value$117.4M
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue1.7
EV/Op income20.5
EV/OCF4.4
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book
Net cash-$200.7k
Current ratio
Debt/Equity0.0
ROA
ROE
Cash conversion
CapEx/Revenue-61.3%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas · cohort 184 companies
MetricAXLActivity
Op margin8.1%15.4% medp25 -3260.6% · p75 43.2%below median
Net margin24.1% medp25 -1.6% · p75 41.0%
Gross margin20.0% medp25 5.5% · p75 48.5%
R&D / revenue2.5% medp25 2.5% · p75 2.5%
CapEx / revenue-61.3%-14.7% medp25 -50.8% · p75 -1.4%bottom quartile
Debt / equity0.0%37.1% medp25 26.9% · p75 69.5%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target0.50 USD
Median price target0.50 USD
High price target0.50 USD
Low price target0.50 USD
Mean recommendation2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count1.00
Hold count0.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate0.13 USD
Last actual EPS0.00 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-04 05:51 UTC#40ec7bf6
Market quoteclose USD 0.41 · shares 0.29B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-04 05:51 UTC#4dd40c8a
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-04 05:52 UTCJob: c54348f9