Green Plains Inc

Green Plains Inc. is a renewable fuel and agricultural technology company focused on producing low-cost, low-Carbon Intensity (CI) ethanol and related co-products, including high protein feeds and corn oil from locally sourced corn. The Company operates through two segments: ethanol production and agribusiness and energy services. Its ethanol production segment includes the production, storage and transportation of ethanol, distiller's grains, Ultra-High Protein and renewable corn oil at nine bio refineries in Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Minnesota and Nebraska. The agribusiness and energy services segment includes grain procurement, storage and commodity marketing. It markets its ethanol through a third party and sells and distributes its ethanol plant co-products, including distiller's grains and corn oil. The Company also buys and sells natural gas and other commodities in various markets. It processes approximately 287 million bushels of corn annually.

• PPA pricing trends ($/MWh) (leading)
• Order book / installed capacity backlog (leading)
• Installation cost curves (LCOE) (trend)
• Inverter / battery $/kWh trajectory (trend)
• Grid-interconnection queue depth (coincident)

• China solar/wind tariffs + IRA domestic-content rules · exposure: very high
• Rare-earth supply (China = ~85% global rare-earth processing) · exposure: high
• Permitting + grid-connection bottlenecks · exposure: high
• Energy security policy shifts · exposure: medium-high

• MW shipped / installed — core volume metric
• EBITDA margin % — 8-15% manufacturers; 20-40% developers
• Order backlog months — 12-24 months healthy
• Capacity factor (utility scale) — wind 35%+, solar 18%+, varies geo
• LCOE trajectory — decreasing = competitive vs grid

Detailed financial analysis, valuation snapshot, multi-period history, and AI narrative are pending — generated when this company is included in the next analysis batch. Profile data above is point-in-time as of 2026-04-30.