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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
KEY59

Keyera Corp

Oil & Gas Refining and MarketingVerified

Keyera Corp maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28, indicating a capital structure that is significantly leveraged, with total liabilities of CAD 10.29 billion and total equity of CAD 2.76 billion. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.76, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, though its free cash flow of CAD 38.81 million is relatively modest compared to its operating cash flow of CAD 774.54 million. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 15.64%, which is strong, but the return on assets (ROA) of 3.31% is below the typical industry benchmark for energy firms, indicating that the company is not efficiently utilizing its asset base to generate returns. The operating income of CAD 569 million and net income of CAD 432 million reflect a healthy margin, but the gross profit of CAD 1.38 billion suggests that the company is facing competitive pressures or high operational costs. Geographically, Keyera Corp's revenue is concentrated in North America, with no disclosed international operations. The company's exposure to regional energy markets, particularly in Canada, makes it sensitive to local regulatory changes and commodity price fluctuations. Looking ahead, the company is expected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory, with no significant growth or contraction projected in the next fiscal year. The capital expenditure of CAD -282.52 million indicates a reduction in investment, which may signal a shift toward cost optimization or a slowdown in expansion. The risk assessment highlights a medium liquidity risk, primarily due to the company's high leverage and negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. While dilution risk is currently low, the company's reliance on debt financing could increase the potential for future equity dilution, especially if it needs to refinance maturing obligations. Recent events, including analyst estimates and price targets, suggest a generally positive outlook from the investment community. The mean price target of CAD 59.15 and median of CAD 60.00 indicate a consensus for moderate upside, with a mean recommendation of 2.08 (leaning toward buy) and a total of nine buy or strong-buy ratings.

30-day price · KEY+5.80 (+11.2%)
Low$47.64High$59.14Close$57.61As of25 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyKeyera Corp
TickerKEY.TO
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
AI analysis

Business. Keyera Corp operates in the oil and gas refining and marketing sector, generating revenue primarily through processing, transportation, and storage of hydrocarbons.

Classification. Keyera Corp is classified under the Energy - Fossil Fuels business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92, and is aligned with the Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing industry.

Keyera Corp maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28, indicating a capital structure that is significantly leveraged, with total liabilities of CAD 10.29 billion and total equity of CAD 2.76 billion. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.76, suggesting it has sufficient short-term assets to cover its short-term liabilities, though its free cash flow of CAD 38.81 million is relatively modest compared to its operating cash flow of CAD 774.54 million. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 15.64%, which is strong, but the return on assets (ROA) of 3.31% is below the typical industry benchmark for energy firms, indicating that the company is not efficiently utilizing its asset base to generate returns. The operating income of CAD 569 million and net income of CAD 432 million reflect a healthy margin, but the gross profit of CAD 1.38 billion suggests that the company is facing competitive pressures or high operational costs. Geographically, Keyera Corp's revenue is concentrated in North America, with no disclosed international operations. The company's exposure to regional energy markets, particularly in Canada, makes it sensitive to local regulatory changes and commodity price fluctuations. Looking ahead, the company is expected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory, with no significant growth or contraction projected in the next fiscal year. The capital expenditure of CAD -282.52 million indicates a reduction in investment, which may signal a shift toward cost optimization or a slowdown in expansion. The risk assessment highlights a medium liquidity risk, primarily due to the company's high leverage and negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. While dilution risk is currently low, the company's reliance on debt financing could increase the potential for future equity dilution, especially if it needs to refinance maturing obligations. Recent events, including analyst estimates and price targets, suggest a generally positive outlook from the investment community. The mean price target of CAD 59.15 and median of CAD 60.00 indicate a consensus for moderate upside, with a mean recommendation of 2.08 (leaning toward buy) and a total of nine buy or strong-buy ratings.
Key takeaways
  • Keyera Corp is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.28, which increases financial risk.
  • The company's ROE of 15.64% is strong, but ROA of 3.31% suggests inefficiencies in asset utilization.
  • Free cash flow is modest at CAD 38.81 million, indicating limited flexibility for reinvestment or shareholder returns.
  • Analysts are cautiously optimistic, with a mean price target of CAD 59.15 and a buy-leaning recommendation.
  • The company's geographic concentration in North America exposes it to regional regulatory and commodity price risks.
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  • # RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyCAD
Revenue$6.85B
Gross profit$1.38B
Operating income$569.0M
Net income$432.3M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$774.5M
CapEx-$282.5M
Free cash flow$38.8M
Total assets$13.05B
Total liabilities$10.29B
Total equity$2.76B
Cash & equivalents
Long-term debt$6.30B
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$2.76B
Net cash-$6.30B
Current ratio1.8
Debt/Equity2.3
ROA3.3%
ROE15.6%
Cash conversion1.8%
CapEx/Revenue-4.1%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing · cohort 83 companies
MetricKEYActivity
Op margin8.3%3.5% medp25 1.6% · p75 7.4%top quartile
Net margin6.3%2.4% medp25 0.7% · p75 4.8%top quartile
Gross margin20.2%13.3% medp25 7.9% · p75 23.4%above median
R&D / revenue0.4% medp25 0.4% · p75 0.4%
CapEx / revenue-4.1%-2.5% medp25 -6.1% · p75 -1.0%below median
Debt / equity228.0%43.3% medp25 11.5% · p75 129.5%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target59.15 CAD
Median price target60.00 CAD
High price target67.00 CAD
Low price target50.00 CAD
Mean recommendation2.08 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count3.00
Buy count6.00
Hold count4.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate1.67 CAD
Last actual EPS2.01 CAD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod financials
no public URL
2026-05-24 14:46 UTC#2b27a794
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-28 07:49 UTCJob: 620531b4