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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:32 UTC
MPCNYSE67

Marathon Petroleum Corp

Oil & Gas Refining and MarketingVerified
Score breakdown
Profitability+35Sentiment+24Risk penalty-6Missing signals-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile75Conclusion97AI synthesis40Observations50

Marathon Petroleum's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.26, suggesting moderate liquidity, with $3.67 billion in cash and equivalents and $59.87 billion in total liabilities. The company's liquidity position is further constrained by a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt [doc:Financial_Snapshot]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 23.37% and a return on assets (ROA) of 4.82%, both exceeding the industry median for downstream energy firms. The operating margin of 6.25% (calculated from operating income of $8.29 billion on revenue of $132.7 billion) is in line with industry benchmarks, but the net margin of 3.05% is slightly below the median due to interest and tax expenses [doc:Valuation_Snapshot]. The company's revenue is concentrated across three segments: Refining & Marketing (65%), Midstream (25%), and Renewable Diesel (10%). Geographically, the U.S. accounts for 98% of total revenue, with the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions being the primary refining hubs. International exposure is minimal, with less than 2% of revenue derived from international markets [doc:Company_Description]. Looking ahead, Marathon Petroleum is projected to grow revenue by 4.5% in FY2026 and 3.2% in FY2027, driven by capacity expansion in the Renewable Diesel segment and optimization of refining operations. Capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated at $3.49 billion in FY2025, with a focus on greenfield projects and asset maintenance [doc:Financial_Snapshot]. The company faces medium liquidity and dilution risks, with key flags including negative net cash after debt and forward-looking statements indicating potential future offerings. Dilution risk is further supported by the presence of ATM and shelf registration mechanisms in recent filings [doc:Risk_Assessment]. Adjustments in the valuation model reflect a conservative approach to equity valuation due to these risks [doc:Custom_Valuations]. Recent filings and transcripts highlight forward-looking statements regarding ESG goals, capital return strategies, and the impact of regulatory and geopolitical factors. The company has also completed acquisitions of Northwind Delaware Holdings LLC and BANGL, LLC, which are expected to enhance its midstream and renewable diesel capabilities [doc:Filing_Observations].

Profile
CompanyMarathon Petroleum Corp
ExchangeNYSE
TickerMPC
CIK0001510295
SICPetroleum Refining
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
AI analysis

Business. Marathon Petroleum Corporation is an integrated downstream energy company that refines crude oil and other feedstocks at its U.S. refineries and markets refined products through wholesale and branded outlets, while also gathering, transporting, and distributing hydrocarbon-based products via its Midstream and Renewable Diesel segments [doc:Company_Description].

Classification. Marathon Petroleum is classified under the industry "Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing" within the Energy - Fossil Fuels business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92 based on verified market data.

Marathon Petroleum's capital structure is characterized by a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing. The company maintains a current ratio of 1.26, suggesting moderate liquidity, with $3.67 billion in cash and equivalents and $59.87 billion in total liabilities. The company's liquidity position is further constrained by a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt [doc:Financial_Snapshot]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 23.37% and a return on assets (ROA) of 4.82%, both exceeding the industry median for downstream energy firms. The operating margin of 6.25% (calculated from operating income of $8.29 billion on revenue of $132.7 billion) is in line with industry benchmarks, but the net margin of 3.05% is slightly below the median due to interest and tax expenses [doc:Valuation_Snapshot]. The company's revenue is concentrated across three segments: Refining & Marketing (65%), Midstream (25%), and Renewable Diesel (10%). Geographically, the U.S. accounts for 98% of total revenue, with the Gulf Coast, Mid-Continent, and West Coast regions being the primary refining hubs. International exposure is minimal, with less than 2% of revenue derived from international markets [doc:Company_Description]. Looking ahead, Marathon Petroleum is projected to grow revenue by 4.5% in FY2026 and 3.2% in FY2027, driven by capacity expansion in the Renewable Diesel segment and optimization of refining operations. Capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated at $3.49 billion in FY2025, with a focus on greenfield projects and asset maintenance [doc:Financial_Snapshot]. The company faces medium liquidity and dilution risks, with key flags including negative net cash after debt and forward-looking statements indicating potential future offerings. Dilution risk is further supported by the presence of ATM and shelf registration mechanisms in recent filings [doc:Risk_Assessment]. Adjustments in the valuation model reflect a conservative approach to equity valuation due to these risks [doc:Custom_Valuations]. Recent filings and transcripts highlight forward-looking statements regarding ESG goals, capital return strategies, and the impact of regulatory and geopolitical factors. The company has also completed acquisitions of Northwind Delaware Holdings LLC and BANGL, LLC, which are expected to enhance its midstream and renewable diesel capabilities [doc:Filing_Observations].
Key takeaways
  • Marathon Petroleum's ROE of 23.37% and ROA of 4.82% indicate strong profitability relative to industry peers.
  • The company's debt-to-equity ratio of 1.76 suggests a leveraged capital structure, with liquidity supported by $3.67 billion in cash and equivalents.
  • Revenue is heavily concentrated in the U.S. (98%) and the Refining & Marketing segment (65%), with Renewable Diesel showing growth potential.
  • Management projects 4.5% revenue growth in FY2026 and 3.2% in FY2027, supported by capacity expansion and operational optimization.
  • The company faces medium liquidity and dilution risks, with forward-looking statements indicating potential future offerings.
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Financial snapshot
PeriodFY2025
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$132.70B
Gross profit
Operating income$8.29B
Net income$4.05B
R&D
SG&A
D&A$3.25B
SBC$160.0M
Operating cash flow$8.25B
CapEx$3.49B
Free cash flow$4.77B
Total assets$83.95B
Total liabilities$59.87B
Total equity$17.31B
Cash & equivalents$3.67B
Long-term debt$30.50B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY2025$132.70B$8.29B$4.05B$4.77B
FY2024$138.86B$6.80B$3.44B$6.13B
FY2025$138.86B$6.80B$3.44B$6.13B
FY2023$148.38B$14.51B$9.68B$12.23B
FY2024$148.38B$14.51B$9.68B$12.23B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY2025
FY2024
FY2025
FY2023
FY2024
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY2025$83.95B$17.31B$3.67B
FY2024$78.86B$17.75B$3.21B
FY2025$78.86B$17.75B$3.21B
FY2023$85.99B$24.40B$5.44B
FY2024$85.99B$24.40B$5.44B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY2025$8.25B$3.49B$4.77B$160.0M
FY2024$8.66B$2.53B$6.13B$137.0M
FY2025$8.66B$2.53B$6.13B$137.0M
FY2023$14.12B$1.89B$12.23B$211.0M
FY2024$14.12B$1.89B$12.23B$211.0M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
Q3 2025$100.12B$5.60B$2.51B$2.88B
Q2 2025$65.32B$2.88B$1.14B$1.22B
Q3 2025
Q1 2025$31.52B$687.0M-$74.0M-$727.0M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
Q3 2025
Q1 2025
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
Q3 2025$83.24B$17.10B$2.65B
Q2 2025$78.48B$16.62B$1.67B
Q3 2025$23.26B
Q1 2025$81.63B$16.40B$3.81B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
Q3 2025$5.18B$2.31B$2.88B
Q2 2025$2.58B$1.36B$1.22B
Q3 2025
Q1 2025-$64.0M$663.0M-$727.0M
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$12.09B
Net cash-$26.83B
Current ratio1.3
Debt/Equity1.8
ROA4.8%
ROE23.4%
Cash conversion2.0%
CapEx/Revenue2.6%
SBC/Revenue0.1%
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio
Risk assessment
Dilution riskMedium
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
  • Source documents mention dilution or offering risk.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing · cohort 2 companies
MetricMPCActivity
Op margin6.2%5.0% medp25 4.3% · p75 5.6%top quartile
Net margin3.0%3.0% medp25 2.6% · p75 5.9%above median
Gross margin19.2% medp25 8.7% · p75 29.6%
R&D / revenue0.4% medp25 0.4% · p75 0.4%
CapEx / revenue2.6%5.6% medp25 4.1% · p75 7.1%bottom quartile
Debt / equity176.0%94.7% medp25 53.9% · p75 135.4%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target242.81 USD
Median price target231.50 USD
High price target331.00 USD
Low price target168.94 USD
Mean recommendation2.40 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count1.00
Buy count10.00
Hold count9.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate22.19 USD
Last actual EPS10.70 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
SEC filingstype companyfacts · CIK 0001510295 · 651 us-gaap concepts
2026-05-01 04:42 UTC#f0581657
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 04:44 UTCJob: db18912b