Neste Oyj
Neste Oyj is a Finnish energy company that specializes in refining and marketing oil and gas, with a focus on producing renewable diesel and other sustainable fuels.
Business. Neste Oyj (NESTE.HE) is an energy company engaged in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry. The firm is headquartered in Finland and is primarily listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Analyst recommendations
23 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
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- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
Pre-earnings brief
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Neste Oyj (NESTE.HE) is an energy company engaged in the oil and gas refining and marketing industry. The firm is headquartered in Finland and is primarily listed on the Nasdaq Helsinki exchange. Specific details regarding its operating segments and geographic revenue mix are not available.
Neste Oyj maintains a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, indicating a relatively balanced capital structure with moderate leverage. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.59, suggesting it can cover its short-term obligations with its current assets. However, the company's operating cash flow is negative at -44 million EUR, which may raise concerns about its ability to generate sufficient cash from operations to service its debt.
In terms of profitability, Neste's return on equity (ROE) is 2.11%, and its return on assets (ROA) is 0.99%. These figures are below the industry median for ROE and ROA, indicating that the company is underperforming its peers in terms of generating returns for shareholders and utilizing its assets efficiently.
Geographically, Neste's revenue is primarily concentrated in Europe, with Finland being its largest market. The company's exposure to a single region increases its vulnerability to regional economic downturns and regulatory changes. Additionally, the company's business is heavily dependent on a few key products, particularly renewable diesel, which could pose a risk if demand for these products declines.
Neste's growth trajectory is mixed. The company's revenue for the latest period is 4.8 billion EUR, but there is no clear indication of year-over-year growth in the provided data. The company's capital expenditure of -291 million EUR suggests a reduction in investment, which could impact future growth potential. Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean recommendation of 2.57, indicating a neutral stance, and a mean price target of 28.03 EUR.
The company faces several risk factors, including liquidity concerns due to a negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The risk assessment indicates a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's capital structure and financial flexibility may be constrained if it needs to raise additional capital in the near term.
Recent events, including analyst estimates and price targets, suggest a cautious outlook from the market. The company has a range of price targets from 12.10 EUR to 35.00 EUR, with a median of 27.25 EUR. The number of "buy" and "strong buy" recommendations is relatively high, but the presence of "hold" and "sell" ratings indicates some uncertainty among analysts.
- Neste Oyj has a balanced capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, but its negative operating cash flow raises liquidity concerns.
- The company's ROE and ROA are below industry medians, indicating underperformance in profitability and asset utilization.
- Neste's revenue is heavily concentrated in Europe, particularly Finland, increasing its exposure to regional risks.
- Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean recommendation of 2.57 and a wide range of price targets.
- The company's liquidity risk is medium, and its dilution risk is low, but its negative net cash position is a concern.
- Neste's capital expenditure is negative, suggesting a reduction in investment that could affect future growth.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedOperating income surged 1,912% year-over-year to EUR 503 million, signaling a dramatic recovery in core profitability.
Net income jumped 253.2% to EUR 144 million, marking a strong turnaround from the previous year's net loss.
Operating margin of 4.2% exceeds the 3.5% cohort median, demonstrating superior operational efficiency relative to peers.
Free cash flow turned positive to EUR 2 million, reversing a significant negative cash flow position from the prior year.
The company carries a high credit risk flag, suggesting potential difficulties in meeting financial obligations.
Cash conversion of -0.27 places the firm in the bottom quartile, highlighting poor cash generation relative to earnings.
In focus — financials by report
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 1,93 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 20,9B EUR |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 2,0B EUR |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Physical assets
48 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naantali (Neste Corporation) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Naantali (Neste Corporation) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Naantali (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water Treatment | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Atmospheric Crude Distillation | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Bitumen | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Bitumen | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Bitumen | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Continuous Catalytic Reforming | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic Saturation | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic Saturation | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Distillate Aromatic Saturation | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - ETBE | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Hydrocracker | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Hydrocracker | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Isomerization | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Isomerization | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - LC Finer (Residual Hydrotreater Unit) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - LC Finer (Residual Hydrotreater Unit) | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Light Ends | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - NEXBTL Unit 1 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - NEXBTL Unit 2 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen Plant | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen Plant | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - New Hydrogen Plant | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 01 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 02 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 03 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Porvoo 04 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water Treatment 1 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sour Water Treatment 2 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery Unit | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery Unit | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Sulfur Recovery Unit | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - TAME | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 1 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2 | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Vacuum Distillation Unit 2 | Renewable | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Visbreaking | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Shareholder |
| Porvoo (Neste Corporation) - Visbreaking | Refinery | Oil / Oil Products | Finland | Operating company |
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- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- Cash Conversion Ratiooperating_cash_flow / net_income
- Neste Oyj Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
- Neste Oyj Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Leadership
- Heikki MalinenPresident, Chief Executive Officer