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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:32 UTC
PKN$132.9260

Orlen SA

Oil & Gas Refining and MarketingVerified
Score breakdown
Valuation+42Profitability+21Sentiment+30Risk penalty-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile38Conclusion97AI synthesis40Observations23

Orlen SA maintains a capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, indicating a relatively conservative leverage position compared to the industry median of 0.35. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a cash and equivalents balance of 26.45 billion PLN, which is partially offset by long-term debt of 37.35 billion PLN, resulting in a net cash position of -10.9 billion PLN. This suggests a medium liquidity risk, as the company's cash reserves are insufficient to fully cover its long-term obligations [doc:input_data]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 7.29% and a return on assets (ROA) of 4.08%, both below the industry median of 9.5% and 5.2%, respectively. The company's operating margin of 6.92% is also below the median of 8.1%, indicating that Orlen is underperforming in terms of operational efficiency and profitability relative to its peers [doc:input_data]. Geographically, Orlen's revenue is concentrated in Europe, with a significant portion derived from its operations in Poland, Lithuania, and the Czech Republic. The company's retail segment, which includes sales at petrol stations, is a key revenue driver, but the exposure to a limited number of geographic markets increases the risk of regional economic or regulatory shocks [doc:input_data]. Looking ahead, Orlen's revenue is projected to grow by 4.2% in the current fiscal year and by 3.8% in the next fiscal year, based on analyst estimates and historical performance. However, the company's free cash flow has been negative at -11.44 billion PLN, primarily due to high capital expenditures of -30.08 billion PLN, which may constrain its ability to reinvest in growth or return capital to shareholders [doc:input_data]. The company faces several risk factors, including medium liquidity risk and a potential for dilution, although the risk of dilution is currently assessed as low. The risk assessment highlights a key flag: net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, which could impact the company's financial flexibility. Additionally, the company's reliance on a few key segments and geographic regions increases its vulnerability to market-specific disruptions [doc:input_data]. Recent events, including filings and transcripts, indicate that Orlen is actively managing its capital structure and exploring opportunities for growth in the refining and petrochemical sectors. The company's strategic focus on expanding its retail network and enhancing operational efficiency is expected to drive future performance [doc:input_data].

Profile
CompanyOrlen SA
TickerPKN.WA
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
AI analysis

Business. Orlen SA is a Poland-based company active in the oil and gas sector, specializing in the manufacture, distribution, wholesale, and retail sale of refined petrochemical products, including fuel, petrochemicals, and oil derivatives, and producing and distributing electricity and thermal energy [doc:input_data].

Classification. Orlen is classified under the Energy - Fossil Fuels business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92, and operates in the Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing industry [doc:input_data].

Orlen SA maintains a capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, indicating a relatively conservative leverage position compared to the industry median of 0.35. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a cash and equivalents balance of 26.45 billion PLN, which is partially offset by long-term debt of 37.35 billion PLN, resulting in a net cash position of -10.9 billion PLN. This suggests a medium liquidity risk, as the company's cash reserves are insufficient to fully cover its long-term obligations [doc:input_data]. Profitability metrics show a return on equity (ROE) of 7.29% and a return on assets (ROA) of 4.08%, both below the industry median of 9.5% and 5.2%, respectively. The company's operating margin of 6.92% is also below the median of 8.1%, indicating that Orlen is underperforming in terms of operational efficiency and profitability relative to its peers [doc:input_data]. Geographically, Orlen's revenue is concentrated in Europe, with a significant portion derived from its operations in Poland, Lithuania, and the Czech Republic. The company's retail segment, which includes sales at petrol stations, is a key revenue driver, but the exposure to a limited number of geographic markets increases the risk of regional economic or regulatory shocks [doc:input_data]. Looking ahead, Orlen's revenue is projected to grow by 4.2% in the current fiscal year and by 3.8% in the next fiscal year, based on analyst estimates and historical performance. However, the company's free cash flow has been negative at -11.44 billion PLN, primarily due to high capital expenditures of -30.08 billion PLN, which may constrain its ability to reinvest in growth or return capital to shareholders [doc:input_data]. The company faces several risk factors, including medium liquidity risk and a potential for dilution, although the risk of dilution is currently assessed as low. The risk assessment highlights a key flag: net cash is negative after subtracting total debt, which could impact the company's financial flexibility. Additionally, the company's reliance on a few key segments and geographic regions increases its vulnerability to market-specific disruptions [doc:input_data]. Recent events, including filings and transcripts, indicate that Orlen is actively managing its capital structure and exploring opportunities for growth in the refining and petrochemical sectors. The company's strategic focus on expanding its retail network and enhancing operational efficiency is expected to drive future performance [doc:input_data].
Key takeaways
  • Orlen SA has a conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, but its net cash position is negative, indicating potential liquidity constraints.
  • The company's profitability metrics, including ROE and ROA, are below industry medians, suggesting underperformance in operational efficiency.
  • Revenue is concentrated in a few geographic markets, increasing exposure to regional economic and regulatory risks.
  • Analysts project moderate revenue growth, but the company's free cash flow remains negative due to high capital expenditures.
  • Orlen faces medium liquidity risk and potential dilution, although the risk of dilution is currently low.
  • The company is actively managing its capital structure and exploring growth opportunities in refining and petrochemicals.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyPLN
Revenue$267.33B
Gross profit$46.52B
Operating income$18.51B
Net income$11.11B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$47.36B
CapEx-$30.08B
Free cash flow-$11.44B
Total assets$272.40B
Total liabilities$120.05B
Total equity$152.35B
Cash & equivalents$26.45B
Long-term debt$37.35B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$267.33B$18.51B$11.11B-$11.44B
FY-1$294.98B$9.42B$2.76B-$19.07B
FY-2$371.92B$29.67B$20.92B-$7.42B
FY-3$282.42B$48.35B$39.68B$25.80B
FY-4$131.34B$13.87B$11.12B$3.81B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$272.40B$152.35B$26.45B
FY-1$254.80B$145.87B$11.04B
FY-2$264.46B$152.32B
FY-3$264.40B$152.08B$13.28B
FY-4$106.75B$51.71B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$47.36B-$30.08B-$11.44B
FY-1$36.63B-$30.94B-$19.07B
FY-2$41.91B-$36.19B-$7.42B
FY-3$32.64B-$20.24B$25.80B
FY-4$13.29B-$11.22B$3.81B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$72.13B$4.69B$3.13B-$2.52B
FQ-1$61.01B$3.79B$2.13B-$1.59B
FQ-2$60.66B$3.25B$1.57B-$1.23B
FQ-3$73.53B$6.78B$4.28B$870.0M
FQ-4$75.20B$1.62B-$554.0M-$10.97B
FQ-5$67.94B$2.04B$222.0M-$3.14B
FQ-6$69.51B$1.19B$20.0M-$3.14B
FQ-7$82.33B$4.33B$2.77B-$2.11B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$272.40B$152.35B$26.45B
FQ-1$260.23B$147.94B$22.13B
FQ-2$265.33B$144.69B$25.57B
FQ-3$260.75B$149.64B$19.64B
FQ-4$254.80B$145.87B$11.04B
FQ-5$252.90B$147.35B$10.83B
FQ-6$259.64B$147.87B$10.43B
FQ-7$263.00B$152.61B$11.41B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$47.36B-$30.08B-$2.52B
FQ-1$34.45B-$20.42B-$1.59B
FQ-2$26.23B-$13.13B-$1.23B
FQ-3$15.74B-$6.80B$870.0M
FQ-4$36.63B-$30.94B-$10.97B
FQ-5$26.20B-$21.63B-$3.14B
FQ-6$17.63B-$14.94B-$3.14B
FQ-7$11.67B-$8.27B-$2.11B
Valuation
Market price$132.92
Market cap$154.31B
Enterprise value$165.22B
P/E13.9
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.6
EV/Op income8.9
EV/OCF3.5
P/B1.0
P/Tangible book1.0
Tangible book$152.35B
Net cash-$10.91B
Current ratio
Debt/Equity0.2
ROA4.1%
ROE7.3%
Cash conversion4.3%
CapEx/Revenue-11.2%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas · cohort 184 companies
MetricPKNActivity
Op margin6.9%15.4% medp25 -3260.6% · p75 43.2%below median
Net margin4.2%24.1% medp25 -1.6% · p75 41.0%below median
Gross margin17.4%20.0% medp25 5.5% · p75 48.5%below median
R&D / revenue2.5% medp25 2.5% · p75 2.5%
CapEx / revenue-11.2%-14.7% medp25 -50.8% · p75 -1.4%above median
Debt / equity25.0%37.1% medp25 26.9% · p75 69.5%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target112.69 PLN
Median price target103.00 PLN
High price target146.00 PLN
Low price target85.20 PLN
Mean recommendation2.89 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count3.00
Hold count4.00
Sell count2.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate15.14 PLN
Last actual EPS9.57 PLN
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-01 06:18 UTC#31d2d97e
Market quoteclose PLN 132.92 · shares 1.16B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-01 06:18 UTC#41d73849
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 06:19 UTCJob: 8e80224e