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MARKETS CLOSED · LAST TRADE Thu 03:33 UTC
YPFDM58

YPF SA

Oil & Gas Refining and MarketingVerified
Score breakdown
Profitability+9Sentiment+30Risk penalty-3Missing signals-3
Quality breakdown
Key fields100Profile25Conclusion96AI synthesis40Observations27

YPF's capital structure shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing [doc:valuation_snapshot]. Despite holding ARS 476.06 billion in cash and equivalents, the company's liquidity is rated as medium due to its long-term debt of ARS 161.76 billion, which exceeds its cash reserves [doc:financial_snapshot]. Free cash flow is negative at ARS -32.12 billion, driven by capital expenditures of ARS -63.92 billion, suggesting ongoing investment in operational capacity [doc:financial_snapshot]. Profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -6.93% and a return on assets of -2.55%, both significantly below the industry median for refining and marketing firms [doc:valuation_snapshot]. Operating income of ARS 22.79 billion is offset by a net loss of ARS -10.88 billion, primarily due to non-operating charges or write-downs [doc:financial_snapshot]. The company's revenue of ARS 232.40 billion is concentrated in its domestic operations, with no disclosed international revenue segments. This geographic concentration increases exposure to local economic and regulatory risks [doc:financial_snapshot]. No material revenue is attributed to specific product lines or geographic regions beyond Argentina. Growth trajectory is mixed. While operating cash flow of ARS 64.81 billion indicates strong operational performance, the net loss and negative free cash flow suggest financial strain. Analysts project a mean price target of ARS 87,477.75, with a median of ARS 90,225, reflecting cautious optimism [doc:IR_observations]. However, the company's capital expenditures and debt load may constrain near-term growth. Risk factors include liquidity constraints and the potential for dilution, though the latter is currently rated as low. The company's net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt, signaling potential refinancing risks [doc:risk_assessment]. No recent filings or transcripts indicate material changes in strategy or operations. Recent investor relations data show a mean recommendation of 2.00 (Hold), with one strong-buy and two buy ratings, suggesting a generally positive but cautious outlook [doc:IR_observations].

Profile
CompanyYPF SA
TickerYPFDM.BA
SectorEnergy
BusinessEnergy - Fossil Fuels
Industry groupEnergy - Fossil Fuels
IndustryOil & Gas Refining and Marketing
AI analysis

Business. YPF SA is an integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, refining, and marketing of oil and gas in Argentina and internationally [doc:HA-latest].

Classification. YPF is classified in the Energy - Fossil Fuels sector under Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing with 92% confidence based on verified market data.

YPF's capital structure shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, indicating a moderate reliance on debt financing [doc:valuation_snapshot]. Despite holding ARS 476.06 billion in cash and equivalents, the company's liquidity is rated as medium due to its long-term debt of ARS 161.76 billion, which exceeds its cash reserves [doc:financial_snapshot]. Free cash flow is negative at ARS -32.12 billion, driven by capital expenditures of ARS -63.92 billion, suggesting ongoing investment in operational capacity [doc:financial_snapshot]. Profitability metrics are weak, with a return on equity of -6.93% and a return on assets of -2.55%, both significantly below the industry median for refining and marketing firms [doc:valuation_snapshot]. Operating income of ARS 22.79 billion is offset by a net loss of ARS -10.88 billion, primarily due to non-operating charges or write-downs [doc:financial_snapshot]. The company's revenue of ARS 232.40 billion is concentrated in its domestic operations, with no disclosed international revenue segments. This geographic concentration increases exposure to local economic and regulatory risks [doc:financial_snapshot]. No material revenue is attributed to specific product lines or geographic regions beyond Argentina. Growth trajectory is mixed. While operating cash flow of ARS 64.81 billion indicates strong operational performance, the net loss and negative free cash flow suggest financial strain. Analysts project a mean price target of ARS 87,477.75, with a median of ARS 90,225, reflecting cautious optimism [doc:IR_observations]. However, the company's capital expenditures and debt load may constrain near-term growth. Risk factors include liquidity constraints and the potential for dilution, though the latter is currently rated as low. The company's net cash position is negative after subtracting total debt, signaling potential refinancing risks [doc:risk_assessment]. No recent filings or transcripts indicate material changes in strategy or operations. Recent investor relations data show a mean recommendation of 2.00 (Hold), with one strong-buy and two buy ratings, suggesting a generally positive but cautious outlook [doc:IR_observations].
Key takeaways
  • YPF's capital structure is moderately leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03.
  • The company is unprofitable, with a return on equity of -6.93% and a net loss of ARS -10.88 billion.
  • Revenue is concentrated in Argentina, increasing exposure to local economic and regulatory risks.
  • Analysts project a mean price target of ARS 87,477.75, with a median of ARS 90,225.
  • Liquidity is rated as medium, with free cash flow negative at ARS -32.12 billion.
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  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyARS
Revenue$23.24T
Gross profit$6.39T
Operating income$2.28T
Net income-$1.09T
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$6.48T
CapEx-$6.39T
Free cash flow-$3.21T
Total assets$42.70T
Total liabilities$27.02T
Total equity$15.69T
Cash & equivalents$476.06B
Long-term debt$16.18T
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$23.24T$2.28T-$1.09T-$3.21T
FY-1$17.90T$1.16T$2.08T-$128.25B
FY-2$5.48T-$1.47T-$1.56T-$2.07T
FY-3$2.53T$297.62B$289.06B$160.51B
FY-4$1.27T$58.17B$257.0M$81.55B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$42.70T$15.69T$476.06B
FY-1$30.29T$12.01T$386.36B
FY-2$20.20T$7.22T$643.13B
FY-3$4.59T$1.85T$11.94B
FY-4$2.39T$839.89B$9.57B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$6.48T-$6.39T-$3.21T
FY-1$5.60T-$5.14T-$128.25B
FY-2$1.77T-$1.59T-$2.07T
FY-3$736.66B-$532.13B$160.51B
FY-4$400.01B-$234.80B$81.55B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$6.62T$881.64B-$874.27B-$1.78T
FQ-1$6.34T$756.81B-$257.63B-$643.93B
FQ-2$5.41T$448.90B$64.04B
FQ-3
FQ-4$4.85T-$568.76B-$310.47B-$845.38B
FQ-5$5.06T$693.57B$1.39T$723.63B
FQ-6$4.39T$500.21B$457.38B-$118.44B
FQ-7$3.60T$532.21B$537.09B$111.94B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$42.70T$15.69T$476.06B
FQ-1$40.67T$15.70T$193.25B
FQ-2$34.83T$14.04T$117.82B
FQ-3
FQ-4$30.29T$12.01T$386.36B
FQ-5$27.87T$11.56T$303.13B
FQ-6$25.07T$9.49T$437.31B
FQ-7$22.83T$8.40T$756.04B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$6.48T-$6.39T-$1.78T
FQ-1$3.81T-$4.29T-$643.93B
FQ-2$2.13T-$2.77T
FQ-3
FQ-4$5.60T-$5.14T-$845.38B
FQ-5$3.91T-$3.75T$723.63B
FQ-6$2.35T-$2.36T-$118.44B
FQ-7$1.08T-$1.14T$111.94B
Valuation
Market price
Market cap
Enterprise value
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book$15.69T
Net cash-$15.70T
Current ratio
Debt/Equity1.0
ROA-2.5%
ROE-6.9%
Cash conversion-6.0%
CapEx/Revenue-27.5%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Oil & Gas Refining and Marketing · cohort 2 companies
MetricYPFDMActivity
Op margin9.8%5.0% medp25 4.3% · p75 5.6%top quartile
Net margin-4.7%3.0% medp25 2.6% · p75 5.9%bottom quartile
Gross margin27.5%19.2% medp25 8.7% · p75 29.6%above median
R&D / revenue0.4% medp25 0.4% · p75 0.4%
CapEx / revenue-27.5%5.6% medp25 4.1% · p75 7.1%bottom quartile
Debt / equity103.0%94.7% medp25 53.9% · p75 135.4%above median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target87,477.75 ARS
Median price target90,225.00 ARS
High price target109,461.00 ARS
Low price target60,000.00 ARS
Mean recommendation2.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count1.00
Buy count2.00
Hold count1.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate7,148.89 ARS
Last actual EPS-2,620.77 ARS
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-04-30 15:35 UTC#e3d4ac89
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-04-30 15:36 UTCJob: c335a3c0