Ice.Ax
ICE.AX provides IT services and consulting, primarily generating revenue through software and IT service delivery.
Business. Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.O) is a financial services company operating within the Banking & Investment Services industry. The firm generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model. It is headquartered in the United States and is listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided in the available data.
Analyst recommendations
17 analysts · consensus BuyAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
0Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressJosh Gottheimer — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.2026-01-26 · Democrat · NJ · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressMarkwayne Mullin — Intercontinental Exchange Inc. Common Stock2025-12-29 · Purchase · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressJosh Gottheimer — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.2025-10-16 · Democrat · NJ · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressRob Bresnahan — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.2025-01-13 · Republican · PA · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressJosh Gottheimer — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.2024-03-18 · Democrat · NJ · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressJohn Curtis — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.2023-12-04 · Republican · UT · Sale · $1,001 - $15,000
Pre-earnings brief
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.O) has experienced significant volatility in its institutional ownership structure, marked by major holder changes detected in late June and early July 2026. These shifts involve substantial alterations in share counts for key investors, including Investor ID 931 and Investor ID 587, whose positions fluctuated dramatically between small holdings and stakes valued at over $250 million. The most notable activity includes Investor ID 931 adjusting their position from approximately 1.64 million shares to just 1,342 shares, and later reversing course, while Investor ID 587 saw their holding swing between roughly 10,200 and 190,500 shares. These movements represent a major severity signal in the company's shareholder base, indicating active rebalancing or strategic repositioning by large entities. The data, as of March 31, 2026, shows that these investors held weights ranging from negligible fractions of a percent to over 12% of the company's value, suggesting that ICE.O remains a focal point for significant capital allocation decisions. The rapid detection of these changes on June 27, June 28, and July 5, 2026, highlights the dynamic nature of the stock's institutional support during this period. The significance of these holder changes is underscored by the company's broader profile, which includes membership in one major index and a base of 38 top holders. With no analyst coverage currently recorded and only one officer listed in the available data, the actions of these few large investors carry disproportionate weight in signaling market sentiment. The absence of prior basis for delta computation in the material changes summary indicates that this is the first analysis for this ticker, making these initial observations of holder behavior particularly critical for establishing a baseline for future tracking. For investors and observers, these fluctuations matter because they reflect the underlying stability and interest of major capital providers in Intercontinental Exchange. The ability of investors to move hundreds of millions of dollars worth of shares in short succession suggests high liquidity and active management of positions. As the company continues to operate within its index membership and maintain its holder base, monitoring these major severity signals will be essential for understanding shifts in institutional confidence and potential impacts on stock valuation.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.O) is a financial services company operating within the Banking & Investment Services industry. The firm generates revenue primarily through a fee-income model. It is headquartered in the United States and is listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. Specific details regarding operating segments and geographic breakdowns are not provided in the available data.
The company's capital structure is characterized by a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.02, indicating a conservative leverage position. With a current ratio of 2.91, the firm maintains strong liquidity, supported by a high cash and equivalents balance of AUD 3.9 million. The price-to-book ratio of 5.21 suggests the market values the company at a premium to its book value, while the negative return on equity of -9.21% and return on assets of -5.43% highlight poor profitability.
Profitability metrics show significant underperformance relative to industry norms. The company reported a net loss of AUD 2.9 million and an operating loss of AUD 3.55 million, with a negative return on equity and return on assets. These figures suggest the company is struggling to generate returns from its operations and equity base, which is a concern for investors seeking positive returns.
The company's revenue is concentrated in a single business segment, with no disclosed geographic diversification. This lack of diversification increases exposure to sector-specific risks and limits the ability to offset losses from one area with gains in another.
Growth trajectory is negative, with the company reporting a net loss and declining operating cash flow. The outlook for the current fiscal year indicates continued financial pressure, with no clear path to profitability. The absence of positive revenue growth and the presence of negative cash flows suggest the company is not expanding its market share or improving its financial position.
Risk factors include low liquidity and dilution potential, though no immediate filing-based flags were detected. The company's low debt levels reduce credit risk, but the negative operating cash flow and net loss increase financial risk. No recent events or filings were identified that would significantly alter the company's risk profile.
Recent events and filings do not indicate any material changes in the company's operations or financial position. The absence of significant news or disclosures suggests the company is not undergoing major strategic shifts or facing acute financial distress.
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE.O) has experienced significant volatility in its institutional ownership structure, marked by major holder changes detected in late June and early July 2026. These shifts involve substantial alterations in share counts for key investors, including Investor ID 931 and Investor ID 587, whose positions fluctuated dramatically between small holdings and stakes valued at over $250 million. The most notable activity includes Investor ID 931 adjusting their position from approximately 1.64 million shares to just 1,342 shares, and later reversing course, while Investor ID 587 saw their holding swing between roughly 10,200 and 190,500 shares. These movements represent a major severity signal in the company's shareholder base, indicating active rebalancing or strategic repositioning by large entities. The data, as of March 31, 2026, shows that these investors held weights ranging from negligible fractions of a percent to over 12% of the company's value, suggesting that ICE.O remains a focal point for significant capital allocation decisions. The rapid detection of these changes on June 27, June 28, and July 5, 2026, highlights the dynamic nature of the stock's institutional support during this period. The significance of these holder changes is underscored by the company's broader profile, which includes membership in one major index and a base of 38 top holders. With no analyst coverage currently recorded and only one officer listed in the available data, the actions of these few large investors carry disproportionate weight in signaling market sentiment. The absence of prior basis for delta computation in the material changes summary indicates that this is the first analysis for this ticker, making these initial observations of holder behavior particularly critical for establishing a baseline for future tracking. For investors and observers, these fluctuations matter because they reflect the underlying stability and interest of major capital providers in Intercontinental Exchange. The ability of investors to move hundreds of millions of dollars worth of shares in short succession suggests high liquidity and active management of positions. As the company continues to operate within its index membership and maintain its holder base, monitoring these major severity signals will be essential for understanding shifts in institutional confidence and potential impacts on stock valuation.
- The company has a low debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a conservative capital structure.
- Profitability is poor, with negative returns on equity and assets.
- Revenue is concentrated in a single segment, increasing exposure to sector-specific risks.
- Growth is negative, with declining operating cash flow and net losses.
- Liquidity is strong, but profitability and growth remain key concerns.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedRevenue grew 7.5% year-over-year to $12.64 billion in FY2026, demonstrating consistent top-line expansion.
Net income surged 20.4% to $3.32 billion in FY2026, highlighting strong profitability recovery and growth.
Free cash flow increased 19.1% to $3.03 billion in FY2026, supporting robust capital return capabilities.
Analysts project 55.9% upside to a mean price target of $200.81, reflecting strong market confidence.
Net income CAGR was negative 4.9% over four years, signaling long-term earnings volatility and decline.
Total assets declined 8.3% annually over four years, suggesting a shrinking balance sheet and potential headwinds.
Debt-to-equity ratio of 0.64 is nearly double the 0.34 cohort median, indicating higher financial leverage.
Medium liquidity risk flags suggest potential challenges in meeting short-term financial obligations efficiently.
In focus — financials by report
Valuation
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Estimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- President, NYSE Group · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 15 882 @ $57,31exercise · 2026-07-16
- General Counsel · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 2 065 @ $57,31exercise · 2026-05-26
- Chief Technology Officer · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 4 271 @ $67,00exercise · 2026-05-14
- President · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 770 @ $129,76exercise · 2026-03-10
- President · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 1 079 @ $92,63exercise · 2026-03-10
- President · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 875 @ $114,19exercise · 2026-03-10
- General Counsel · Employee Stock Option (right to buy) Holding → Common StockDisposed 2 065 @ $57,31exercise · 2026-02-26
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Market data cache
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Return On Equitynet_income / total_equity
- Price To Bookmarket_price / (adjusted_book_value / shares_outstanding_diluted)
- Dilution Ratio(shares_outstanding_diluted - shares_outstanding_basic) / shares_outstanding_basic
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Market Capmarket_price * shares_outstanding_diluted
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- ICE.AX Market data — financials · 2026-05-28
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,49 %$988M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,31 %$483M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,30 %$1 601M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,20 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,16 %$557M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,15 %$284M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2022-09-300,15 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,14 %$1 090M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,14 %$4 019M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,14 %$2 279M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,13 %$5 955M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$433M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,13 %$949M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,13 %$8 771M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$2 000M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$696M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$251M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,10 %$788M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$506M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$441M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$541M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$338M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$355M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$291M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$148M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,07 %$429M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$1 036M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$100M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$60M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$123M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$30M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$61M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$28M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$2M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Jeffrey C. SprecherChairman of the Board, Chief Executive Officer
Insider activity
- President, NYSE Group · Common StockSold 9 482 @ $141,65$1,3M · 2026-07-16
- President, NYSE Group · Common StockOther 15 882 @ $57,31$910K · 2026-07-16
- President, NYSE Group · Common StockSold 3 000 @ $139,75$419K · 2026-07-16
- President, NYSE Group · Common StockSold 3 200 @ $140,90$451K · 2026-07-16
- President, NYSE Group · Common StockSold 200 @ $142,30$28K · 2026-07-16
- Director · Common StockSold 1 333 @ $139,46$186K · 2026-06-12
- Director · Common StockSold 91 @ $138,50$13K · 2026-06-09
- General Counsel · Common StockSold 2 608 @ $152,00$396K · 2026-05-26
- General Counsel · Common StockOther 2 065 @ $57,31$118K · 2026-05-26
- General Counsel · Common StockSold 1 965 @ $150,97$297K · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common StockSold 667 @ $151,28$101K · 2026-05-22
- Chief Financial Officer · Common StockSold 2 490 @ $156,64$390K · 2026-05-19
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 50 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 698 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 64 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 698 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 698 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 27 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
- Director · Common StockOther 1 538 · 2026-05-18
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- Return on assets (FY 2025-12-31): 2.4%Derived (calculated)
- Total liabilities (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -3.4%Derived (calculated)
- Net margin (FY 2025-12-31): 26.2%Derived (calculated)
- Return on equity (FY 2025-12-31): 11.5%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 1.02xDerived (calculated)
- Debt-to-equity (FY 2025-12-31): 3.73xDerived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -8.1%Derived (calculated)
- Cash & equivalents (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -0.8%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 20.6%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 20.7%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.3%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 20.4%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 1.1%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 14.4%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 7.5%Derived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.6%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -1.8%Derived (calculated)
- Net income (annual): USD 3.31BSEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 12.64BSEC XBRL filing
- Shareholders' equity (annual): USD 28.91BSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 84.12BSEC XBRL filing
- Total assets (annual): USD 136.89BSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 567MSEC XBRL filing
- Operating cash flow (annual): USD 4.66BSEC XBRL filing