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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
MRNA$47.7159

Moderna Inc

PharmaceuticalsVerified

Moderna's capital structure is characterized by a strong liquidity position, with $2.595 billion in cash and equivalents, and a current ratio of 3.29, indicating a robust ability to meet short-term obligations. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.07, reflecting minimal leverage and a conservative approach to financing. However, the company reported negative operating cash flow of $1.873 billion and free cash flow of -$2.809 billion, suggesting ongoing operational cash burn. Profitability metrics show significant underperformance relative to industry norms. Moderna reported a net loss of $2.822 billion and an operating loss of $3.074 billion, with a return on equity (ROE) of -32.62% and a return on assets (ROA) of -22.87%. These figures are well below the typical profitability thresholds for the biotechnology sector, indicating a challenging financial environment driven by high R&D costs and limited revenue diversification. Geographically, Moderna's revenue is heavily concentrated in the United States, with a significant portion derived from government contracts and public health initiatives. The company's exposure to a single market increases its vulnerability to regulatory and policy shifts. Segment-wise, the company's mRNA vaccine business remains the primary revenue driver, with limited diversification into other therapeutic areas. Growth trajectory is mixed. While Moderna's FY revenue of $1.944 billion represents a significant increase from prior years, the outlook for the next fiscal year is uncertain due to the cyclical nature of vaccine demand and the competitive landscape in the biotechnology sector. The company's capital expenditure of -$202 million indicates a reduction in investment, which may signal a strategic shift or financial constraints. Risk factors include the high volatility of the biotechnology sector, regulatory scrutiny, and the potential for dilution through future equity offerings. The company's dilution potential is currently rated as low, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. However, the negative operating and free cash flows suggest a need for additional capital, which could lead to future dilution. Recent events include the continued focus on expanding the company's mRNA platform into new therapeutic areas, such as cancer and rare diseases. The company has also been involved in several clinical trials and partnerships aimed at broadening its product pipeline. Analysts have provided a range of price targets, with a mean of $47.16 and a median of $45.00, reflecting a cautious outlook.

30-day price · MRNA-3.80 (-7.5%)
Low$43.68High$59.48Close$46.88As of22 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyModerna Inc
TickerMRNA.O
SectorHealthcare
BusinessPharmaceuticals & Medical Research
Industry groupPharmaceuticals & Medical Research
IndustryPharmaceuticals
AI analysis

Business. Moderna Inc is a biotechnology company that develops messenger RNA (mRNA) therapeutics and vaccines, primarily generating revenue through product sales and collaboration agreements.

Classification. Moderna is classified under the Healthcare economic sector, within the Pharmaceuticals & Medical Research business sector, with a high confidence level of 0.92.

Moderna's capital structure is characterized by a strong liquidity position, with $2.595 billion in cash and equivalents, and a current ratio of 3.29, indicating a robust ability to meet short-term obligations. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 0.07, reflecting minimal leverage and a conservative approach to financing. However, the company reported negative operating cash flow of $1.873 billion and free cash flow of -$2.809 billion, suggesting ongoing operational cash burn. Profitability metrics show significant underperformance relative to industry norms. Moderna reported a net loss of $2.822 billion and an operating loss of $3.074 billion, with a return on equity (ROE) of -32.62% and a return on assets (ROA) of -22.87%. These figures are well below the typical profitability thresholds for the biotechnology sector, indicating a challenging financial environment driven by high R&D costs and limited revenue diversification. Geographically, Moderna's revenue is heavily concentrated in the United States, with a significant portion derived from government contracts and public health initiatives. The company's exposure to a single market increases its vulnerability to regulatory and policy shifts. Segment-wise, the company's mRNA vaccine business remains the primary revenue driver, with limited diversification into other therapeutic areas. Growth trajectory is mixed. While Moderna's FY revenue of $1.944 billion represents a significant increase from prior years, the outlook for the next fiscal year is uncertain due to the cyclical nature of vaccine demand and the competitive landscape in the biotechnology sector. The company's capital expenditure of -$202 million indicates a reduction in investment, which may signal a strategic shift or financial constraints. Risk factors include the high volatility of the biotechnology sector, regulatory scrutiny, and the potential for dilution through future equity offerings. The company's dilution potential is currently rated as low, with no immediate filing-based flags detected. However, the negative operating and free cash flows suggest a need for additional capital, which could lead to future dilution. Recent events include the continued focus on expanding the company's mRNA platform into new therapeutic areas, such as cancer and rare diseases. The company has also been involved in several clinical trials and partnerships aimed at broadening its product pipeline. Analysts have provided a range of price targets, with a mean of $47.16 and a median of $45.00, reflecting a cautious outlook.
Key takeaways
  • Moderna has strong liquidity but is experiencing significant operational cash burn.
  • The company's profitability metrics are below industry norms, indicating financial challenges.
  • Revenue is heavily concentrated in the U.S. and vaccine-related contracts.
  • Growth is uncertain due to the cyclical nature of vaccine demand and high R&D costs.
  • Analysts have a mixed outlook, with a mean price target slightly above the current market price.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$1.94B
Gross profit$1.37B
Operating income-$3.07B
Net income-$2.82B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow-$1.87B
CapEx-$202.0M
Free cash flow-$2.81B
Total assets$12.34B
Total liabilities$3.69B
Total equity$8.65B
Cash & equivalents$2.60B
Long-term debt$635.0M
Valuation
Market price$47.71
Market cap$18.92B
Enterprise value$16.96B
P/E
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue8.7
EV/Op income
EV/OCF
P/B2.2
P/Tangible book2.2
Tangible book$8.65B
Net cash$1.96B
Current ratio3.3
Debt/Equity0.1
ROA-22.9%
ROE-32.6%
Cash conversion66.0%
CapEx/Revenue-10.4%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskLow
  • No immediate filing-based liquidity or dilution flags were detected.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Pharmaceuticals & Medical Research · cohort 693 companies
MetricMRNAActivity
Op margin-158.1%2.4% medp25 -91.8% · p75 12.5%bottom quartile
Net margin-145.2%1.2% medp25 -98.4% · p75 10.4%bottom quartile
Gross margin70.3%45.6% medp25 29.8% · p75 66.7%top quartile
CapEx / revenue-10.4%-5.2% medp25 -15.8% · p75 -1.7%below median
Debt / equity7.0%9.3% medp25 0.1% · p75 43.8%below median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target47.16 USD
Median price target45.00 USD
High price target135.00 USD
Low price target12.00 USD
Mean recommendation3.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count4.00
Hold count17.00
Sell count2.00
Strong-sell count1.00
Mean EPS estimate-8.16 USD
Last actual EPS-7.26 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod financials
no public URL
2026-05-22 07:25 UTC#eadea456
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-28 15:43 UTCJob: 5b49c931