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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
AAL$12.8859

AAL.O

AirlinesVerified

American Airlines has a negative net equity of -$3.73 billion, indicating a significant debt burden relative to its equity base. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is -7.78, which is highly leveraged and suggests a high financial risk profile. The liquidity position is also weak, with a current ratio of 0.5, meaning the company has only half the current assets to cover its current liabilities. The operating cash flow of $3.10 billion is positive, but the free cash flow is negative at -$1.45 billion, indicating that capital expenditures are outpacing operating cash inflows. Profitability metrics show a mixed picture. The company reported a gross profit of $35.37 billion, but its operating income was only $1.45 billion, and net income was a modest $111 million. The return on equity is negative at -2.98%, and the return on assets is a low 0.18%. These figures are below the industry median for both operating margin and net margin, suggesting that American Airlines is underperforming its peers in terms of profitability and capital efficiency. The company's revenue is concentrated in the passenger airline segment, with no material diversification into other business lines. Geographically, the majority of its revenue is derived from the United States, with a smaller portion from international routes. This concentration increases exposure to domestic economic conditions and regulatory changes, particularly in the U.S. aviation sector. Looking ahead, the company is expected to see a modest increase in revenue in the current fiscal year, with a projected growth rate of 2.5%. However, the outlook for the next fiscal year is more uncertain, with a projected growth rate of 1.0%. These projections are based on historical revenue trends and analyst estimates, which suggest a cautious approach to growth in the near term. The risk assessment highlights several key concerns. The company's liquidity risk is rated as medium, primarily due to its negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The dilution risk is low, as there is no significant dilution potential in the near term. However, the company's high leverage and weak profitability metrics increase its credit risk, which could affect its ability to secure favorable financing terms. Recent events, including the company's 10-K filing and investor presentations, indicate a focus on cost management and fleet modernization. The company has also been exploring strategic partnerships to enhance its route network and improve operational efficiency. These initiatives are expected to support long-term growth, but their impact on short-term financial performance remains to be seen.

30-day price · AAL+2.38 (+19.4%)
Low$11.17High$15.40Close$14.65As of28 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyAAL.O
TickerAAL.O
SectorIndustrials
BusinessTransportation
Industry groupTransportation
IndustryAirlines
AI analysis

Business. American Airlines operates as a passenger airline, generating revenue primarily through ticket sales and ancillary services such as baggage fees and in-flight purchases.

Classification. American Airlines is classified under the industry "Airlines" within the business sector "Transportation" and economic sector "Industrials," with a confidence level of 0.92.

American Airlines has a negative net equity of -$3.73 billion, indicating a significant debt burden relative to its equity base. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is -7.78, which is highly leveraged and suggests a high financial risk profile. The liquidity position is also weak, with a current ratio of 0.5, meaning the company has only half the current assets to cover its current liabilities. The operating cash flow of $3.10 billion is positive, but the free cash flow is negative at -$1.45 billion, indicating that capital expenditures are outpacing operating cash inflows. Profitability metrics show a mixed picture. The company reported a gross profit of $35.37 billion, but its operating income was only $1.45 billion, and net income was a modest $111 million. The return on equity is negative at -2.98%, and the return on assets is a low 0.18%. These figures are below the industry median for both operating margin and net margin, suggesting that American Airlines is underperforming its peers in terms of profitability and capital efficiency. The company's revenue is concentrated in the passenger airline segment, with no material diversification into other business lines. Geographically, the majority of its revenue is derived from the United States, with a smaller portion from international routes. This concentration increases exposure to domestic economic conditions and regulatory changes, particularly in the U.S. aviation sector. Looking ahead, the company is expected to see a modest increase in revenue in the current fiscal year, with a projected growth rate of 2.5%. However, the outlook for the next fiscal year is more uncertain, with a projected growth rate of 1.0%. These projections are based on historical revenue trends and analyst estimates, which suggest a cautious approach to growth in the near term. The risk assessment highlights several key concerns. The company's liquidity risk is rated as medium, primarily due to its negative net cash position after subtracting total debt. The dilution risk is low, as there is no significant dilution potential in the near term. However, the company's high leverage and weak profitability metrics increase its credit risk, which could affect its ability to secure favorable financing terms. Recent events, including the company's 10-K filing and investor presentations, indicate a focus on cost management and fleet modernization. The company has also been exploring strategic partnerships to enhance its route network and improve operational efficiency. These initiatives are expected to support long-term growth, but their impact on short-term financial performance remains to be seen.
Key takeaways
  • American Airlines is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of -7.78 and a negative net equity position.
  • The company's profitability is weak, with a return on equity of -2.98% and a return on assets of 0.18%.
  • Revenue is concentrated in the passenger airline segment and the U.S. market, increasing exposure to domestic economic and regulatory risks.
  • Analysts have a cautiously optimistic outlook, with a mean price target of $14.78 and a mean recommendation of 2.38 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell).
  • The company is focusing on cost management and fleet modernization to improve long-term performance.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$54.63B
Gross profit$35.37B
Operating income$1.45B
Net income$111.0M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$3.10B
CapEx-$3.78B
Free cash flow-$1.45B
Total assets$61.77B
Total liabilities$65.50B
Total equity-$3.73B
Cash & equivalents
Long-term debt$29.01B
Valuation
Market price$12.88
Market cap$8.52B
Enterprise value$37.53B
P/E76.7
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.7
EV/Op income26.0
EV/OCF12.1
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book-$3.73B
Net cash-$29.01B
Current ratio0.5
Debt/Equity-7.8
ROA0.2%
ROE-3.0%
Cash conversion27.9%
CapEx/Revenue-6.9%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Transportation · cohort 706 companies
MetricAALActivity
Op margin2.6%9.0% medp25 2.8% · p75 21.4%bottom quartile
Net margin0.2%6.1% medp25 1.2% · p75 17.4%bottom quartile
Gross margin64.7%24.9% medp25 14.1% · p75 42.9%top quartile
CapEx / revenue-6.9%-8.0% medp25 -22.5% · p75 -2.4%above median
Debt / equity-778.0%48.3% medp25 13.3% · p75 110.9%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target14.78 USD
Median price target14.00 USD
High price target20.00 USD
Low price target10.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.38 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count3.00
Buy count11.00
Hold count11.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate-0.07 USD
Last actual EPS0.36 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-06 09:36 UTC#469b656b
Market quoteclose USD 12.80 · shares 0.66B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-06 09:37 UTC#3681944a
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-27 05:48 UTCJob: 565bbe7a