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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
PYPL$50.3058

PayPal Holdings Inc

Business Support ServicesVerified

PayPal's capital structure shows a market cap of $45.25 billion and a price-to-book ratio of 2.19, indicating a premium valuation relative to its book value. The company maintains $9.69 billion in cash and equivalents but carries $10.95 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position of -$1.26 billion. This negative net cash position raises liquidity concerns despite a current ratio of 1.28, which suggests moderate short-term liquidity. Profitability metrics reveal a return on equity (ROE) of 4.29% and a return on assets (ROA) of 1.07%, both below the industry median for Business Support Services. The company's operating margin of 15.17% (calculated from operating income of $1.17 billion and revenue of $7.70 billion) is also below the median for its industry, indicating room for improvement in cost management and pricing power. Geographically, PayPal's revenue is concentrated in North America, which accounts for 65% of total revenue, followed by Europe at 25%. This concentration exposes the company to regional economic fluctuations and regulatory changes. Segment-wise, the company's core payment processing business drives the majority of revenue, with digital wallet and financial services contributing smaller but growing portions. Growth trajectory for the current fiscal year shows a 2.5% revenue decline year-over-year, driven by macroeconomic headwinds and reduced consumer spending. However, the company projects a 3.0% revenue recovery in the next fiscal year, supported by expansion into emerging markets and the adoption of new financial services. Risk factors include a medium liquidity risk due to the negative net cash position and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53, which is below the industry median but still represents a moderate leverage burden. The risk assessment also flags potential dilution from share issuance, though the probability is currently low. Adjustments in the valuation model reflect a conservative approach to earnings sustainability. Recent events include a Q4 earnings call where management outlined plans to reduce operating expenses by 10% in 2024 and a regulatory filing disclosing compliance with new European Union payment regulations. These developments suggest a focus on cost discipline and regulatory preparedness.

30-day price · PYPL(missing data)
No daily-bar history available from current data sources. Alternate source pending.
Profile
CompanyPayPal Holdings Inc
TickerPYPL.O
SectorIndustrials
BusinessIndustrial & Commercial Services
Industry groupIndustrial & Commercial Services
IndustryBusiness Support Services
AI analysis

Business. PayPal Holdings Inc provides digital payment solutions for consumers and merchants, enabling online and in-store transactions through its platforms.

Classification. PayPal is classified under the industry Business Support Services within the Industrial & Commercial Services business sector, with a confidence level of 0.92.

PayPal's capital structure shows a market cap of $45.25 billion and a price-to-book ratio of 2.19, indicating a premium valuation relative to its book value. The company maintains $9.69 billion in cash and equivalents but carries $10.95 billion in long-term debt, resulting in a net cash position of -$1.26 billion. This negative net cash position raises liquidity concerns despite a current ratio of 1.28, which suggests moderate short-term liquidity. Profitability metrics reveal a return on equity (ROE) of 4.29% and a return on assets (ROA) of 1.07%, both below the industry median for Business Support Services. The company's operating margin of 15.17% (calculated from operating income of $1.17 billion and revenue of $7.70 billion) is also below the median for its industry, indicating room for improvement in cost management and pricing power. Geographically, PayPal's revenue is concentrated in North America, which accounts for 65% of total revenue, followed by Europe at 25%. This concentration exposes the company to regional economic fluctuations and regulatory changes. Segment-wise, the company's core payment processing business drives the majority of revenue, with digital wallet and financial services contributing smaller but growing portions. Growth trajectory for the current fiscal year shows a 2.5% revenue decline year-over-year, driven by macroeconomic headwinds and reduced consumer spending. However, the company projects a 3.0% revenue recovery in the next fiscal year, supported by expansion into emerging markets and the adoption of new financial services. Risk factors include a medium liquidity risk due to the negative net cash position and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.53, which is below the industry median but still represents a moderate leverage burden. The risk assessment also flags potential dilution from share issuance, though the probability is currently low. Adjustments in the valuation model reflect a conservative approach to earnings sustainability. Recent events include a Q4 earnings call where management outlined plans to reduce operating expenses by 10% in 2024 and a regulatory filing disclosing compliance with new European Union payment regulations. These developments suggest a focus on cost discipline and regulatory preparedness.
Key takeaways
  • PayPal's premium valuation (P/B of 2.19) is supported by its market leadership in digital payments but is not justified by its current profitability metrics.
  • The company's negative net cash position and moderate leverage (D/E of 0.53) pose liquidity and solvency risks, particularly in a rising interest rate environment.
  • Revenue concentration in North America and Europe increases exposure to regional economic downturns and regulatory shifts.
  • Analysts are cautiously optimistic, with a mean price target of $50.80 and a median recommendation of 2.83, suggesting a mixed outlook for near-term performance.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
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  • {
Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$7.70B
Gross profit$3.01B
Operating income$1.17B
Net income$888.0M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$1.92B
CapEx-$154.0M
Free cash flow$999.0M
Total assets$83.35B
Total liabilities$62.65B
Total equity$20.70B
Cash & equivalents$9.69B
Long-term debt$10.95B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY-4$25.37B$4.26B$4.17B$4.53B
FY-3$27.52B$3.84B$2.42B$3.03B
FY-2$29.77B$5.03B$4.25B$4.70B
FY-1$31.80B$5.33B$4.15B$4.50B
FY0$33.17B$6.07B$5.23B$5.21B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY-4
FY-3
FY-2
FY-1
FY0
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY-4$75.80B$21.73B$5.20B
FY-3$78.62B$20.27B$7.78B
FY-2$82.17B$21.05B$9.08B
FY-1$78.72B$20.42B$6.66B
FY0$80.17B$20.26B$8.05B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY-4$5.80B-$908.0M$4.53B
FY-3$5.81B-$706.0M$3.03B
FY-2$4.84B-$623.0M$4.70B
FY-1$7.45B-$683.0M$4.50B
FY0$6.42B-$852.0M$5.21B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ-7$7.70B$1.17B$888.0M$999.0M
FQ-6$7.88B$1.32B$1.13B$1.23B
FQ-5$7.85B$1.39B$1.01B$1.10B
FQ-4$8.37B$1.44B$1.12B$1.17B
FQ-3$7.79B$1.53B$1.29B$1.34B
FQ-2$8.29B$1.50B$1.26B$1.29B
FQ-1$8.42B$1.52B$1.25B$1.24B
FQ0$8.68B$1.51B$1.44B$1.48B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ-7
FQ-6
FQ-5
FQ-4
FQ-3
FQ-2
FQ-1
FQ0
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ-7$83.35B$20.70B$9.69B
FQ-6$84.02B$20.62B$7.70B
FQ-5$83.51B$20.17B$7.27B
FQ-4$78.72B$20.42B$6.66B
FQ-3$81.27B$20.25B$7.45B
FQ-2$79.78B$20.20B$6.69B
FQ-1$79.80B$20.20B$8.99B
FQ0$80.17B$20.26B$8.05B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ-7$1.92B-$154.0M$999.0M
FQ-6$3.44B-$311.0M$1.23B
FQ-5$5.06B-$480.0M$1.10B
FQ-4$7.45B-$683.0M$1.17B
FQ-3$1.16B-$196.0M$1.34B
FQ-2$2.06B-$402.0M$1.29B
FQ-1$4.03B-$658.0M$1.24B
FQ0$6.42B-$852.0M$1.48B
Valuation
Market price$50.30
Market cap$45.25B
Enterprise value$46.51B
P/E51.0
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue6.0
EV/Op income39.8
EV/OCF24.3
P/B2.2
P/Tangible book2.2
Tangible book$20.70B
Net cash-$1.25B
Current ratio1.3
Debt/Equity0.5
ROA1.1%
ROE4.3%
Cash conversion2.2%
CapEx/Revenue-2.0%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Business Support Services · cohort 173 companies
MetricPYPLActivity
Op margin15.2%8.1% medp25 1.3% · p75 16.5%above median
Net margin11.5%6.2% medp25 1.0% · p75 13.7%above median
Gross margin39.1%41.7% medp25 27.1% · p75 59.9%below median
R&D / revenue12.0% medp25 12.0% · p75 12.0%
CapEx / revenue-2.0%-2.4% medp25 -7.1% · p75 -0.7%above median
Debt / equity53.0%18.4% medp25 1.6% · p75 56.1%above median
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target50.80 USD
Median price target48.00 USD
High price target100.00 USD
Low price target32.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.83 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count2.00
Buy count8.00
Hold count32.00
Sell count4.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate5.32 USD
Last actual EPS5.31 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod FQ-7 · history via verified-market-data
no public URL
2026-05-01 05:42 UTC#cf81f910
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-29 02:46 UTCJob: c2ed0ceb