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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
VGN$2.7658

Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd

AirlinesVerified

Virgin Australia's capital structure is highly leveraged, with total liabilities of AUD 5.69 billion and total equity of AUD -814.6 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -2.82. The company's liquidity position is constrained, as reflected in a current ratio of 0.45 and negative net cash after subtracting total debt. Despite this, the company generated free cash flow of AUD 406.6 million in the latest period, indicating some capacity to service obligations. Profitability metrics show mixed performance. The company reported a net income of AUD 478.5 million, with a gross profit of AUD 3.56 billion and operating income of AUD 424.5 million. However, return on equity is negative at -58.74%, while return on assets is positive at 9.82%. These figures suggest that the company is generating returns on its assets but is unable to do so on a per-share basis due to its negative equity position. Geographically, Virgin Australia's revenue is concentrated in Australia, with no material international revenue disclosed in the latest financials. The company operates as a single business segment, with no further breakdown of revenue by product or geographic region provided in the available data. Looking ahead, Virgin Australia is expected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory, with no significant growth or contraction projected in the current or next fiscal year. The company's operating cash flow of AUD 1.14 billion supports this outlook, although capital expenditures of AUD -496 million suggest ongoing investment in infrastructure and fleet. The company faces moderate liquidity risk due to its current ratio of 0.45 and negative net cash position. While dilution risk is assessed as low, the company's negative equity position and high leverage could increase the likelihood of future equity issuance under stress scenarios. No recent events, such as filings or transcripts, have been disclosed that would materially alter the company's risk profile. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of AUD 3.59, with a median of AUD 3.80 and a high of AUD 4.15, indicating a generally positive outlook. The mean recommendation of 1.71 suggests a consensus leaning toward a "buy" rating, with 2 strong-buy and 5 buy ratings reported.

30-day price · VGN+0.09 (+3.9%)
Low$2.15High$2.68Close$2.39As of16 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyVirgin Australia Holdings Ltd
TickerVGN.AX
SectorIndustrials
BusinessTransportation
Industry groupTransportation
IndustryAirlines
AI analysis

Business. Virgin Australia Holdings Ltd operates as a passenger airline in the transportation industry, generating revenue primarily through air travel services.

Classification. Virgin Australia is classified under the industry "Airlines" within the business sector "Transportation" and economic sector "Industrials," with a confidence level of 0.92.

Virgin Australia's capital structure is highly leveraged, with total liabilities of AUD 5.69 billion and total equity of AUD -814.6 million, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of -2.82. The company's liquidity position is constrained, as reflected in a current ratio of 0.45 and negative net cash after subtracting total debt. Despite this, the company generated free cash flow of AUD 406.6 million in the latest period, indicating some capacity to service obligations. Profitability metrics show mixed performance. The company reported a net income of AUD 478.5 million, with a gross profit of AUD 3.56 billion and operating income of AUD 424.5 million. However, return on equity is negative at -58.74%, while return on assets is positive at 9.82%. These figures suggest that the company is generating returns on its assets but is unable to do so on a per-share basis due to its negative equity position. Geographically, Virgin Australia's revenue is concentrated in Australia, with no material international revenue disclosed in the latest financials. The company operates as a single business segment, with no further breakdown of revenue by product or geographic region provided in the available data. Looking ahead, Virgin Australia is expected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory, with no significant growth or contraction projected in the current or next fiscal year. The company's operating cash flow of AUD 1.14 billion supports this outlook, although capital expenditures of AUD -496 million suggest ongoing investment in infrastructure and fleet. The company faces moderate liquidity risk due to its current ratio of 0.45 and negative net cash position. While dilution risk is assessed as low, the company's negative equity position and high leverage could increase the likelihood of future equity issuance under stress scenarios. No recent events, such as filings or transcripts, have been disclosed that would materially alter the company's risk profile. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of AUD 3.59, with a median of AUD 3.80 and a high of AUD 4.15, indicating a generally positive outlook. The mean recommendation of 1.71 suggests a consensus leaning toward a "buy" rating, with 2 strong-buy and 5 buy ratings reported.
Key takeaways
  • Virgin Australia is highly leveraged, with a debt-to-equity ratio of -2.82 and negative equity of AUD -814.6 million.
  • The company reported a net income of AUD 478.5 million and free cash flow of AUD 406.6 million, but return on equity is negative at -58.74%.
  • Analysts have a generally positive outlook, with a mean price target of AUD 3.59 and a mean recommendation of 1.71.
  • Virgin Australia's revenue is concentrated in Australia, with no material international exposure disclosed.
  • The company faces moderate liquidity risk and is expected to maintain a stable revenue trajectory in the near term.
  • --
  • ## RATIONALES
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyAUD
Revenue$5.81B
Gross profit$3.56B
Operating income$424.5M
Net income$478.5M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$1.14B
CapEx-$496.0M
Free cash flow$406.6M
Total assets$4.87B
Total liabilities$5.69B
Total equity-$814.6M
Cash & equivalents
Long-term debt$2.30B
Valuation
Market price$2.76
Market cap$2.07B
Enterprise value$4.37B
P/E4.3
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.8
EV/Op income10.3
EV/OCF3.8
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book-$814.6M
Net cash-$2.30B
Current ratio0.5
Debt/Equity-2.8
ROA9.8%
ROE-58.7%
Cash conversion2.4%
CapEx/Revenue-8.5%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Transportation · cohort 706 companies
MetricVGNActivity
Op margin7.3%9.0% medp25 2.8% · p75 21.4%below median
Net margin8.2%6.1% medp25 1.2% · p75 17.4%above median
Gross margin61.3%24.9% medp25 14.1% · p75 42.9%top quartile
CapEx / revenue-8.5%-8.0% medp25 -22.5% · p75 -2.4%below median
Debt / equity-282.0%48.3% medp25 13.3% · p75 110.9%bottom quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target3.59 AUD
Median price target3.80 AUD
High price target4.15 AUD
Low price target2.90 AUD
Mean recommendation1.71 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count2.00
Buy count5.00
Hold count0.00
Sell count0.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate0.49 AUD
Last actual EPS0.65 AUD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Company fundamentalsperiod financials
no public URL
2026-05-15 22:13 UTC#c0c43bee
Market quoteclose AUD 2.39 · shares 0.75B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-15 22:14 UTC#e484ee77
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-29 22:17 UTCJob: 6d4e2f87