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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
XPONYSE$220.1368

XPO, Inc.

Ground Freight & LogisticsVerified

XPO, Inc. has a liquidity ratio of 0.99, indicating that its current liabilities exceed its current assets, which is a sign of potential liquidity risk. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.71, suggesting a relatively high level of leverage. The company's free cash flow for the quarter was $72 million, which is lower than its capital expenditure of $111 million, indicating that the company is reinvesting more than it is generating in free cash flow. In terms of profitability, XPO, Inc. has a return on equity of 5.46% and a return on assets of 1.23%. These figures are below the industry median for Ground Freight & Logistics, which typically sees higher returns due to the capital-intensive nature of the industry. The company's operating margin is 8.3%, which is in line with the industry median, but its net margin of 4.8% is slightly below the median, indicating that the company may be facing higher operating expenses or lower pricing power. XPO, Inc. operates through two segments: North American LTL and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment is the company's primary revenue driver, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from this segment. The European Transportation segment is more diversified, offering a range of services such as truckload, LTL, and warehousing. The company's revenue is heavily concentrated in North America, with a smaller but growing presence in Europe. The company's exposure to the North American market is a double-edged sword, as it benefits from the region's economic strength but is also vulnerable to regional economic downturns. The company's growth trajectory is mixed. For the current fiscal year, XPO, Inc. is expected to see a revenue increase of 2.5%, driven by its North American LTL segment. However, the European Transportation segment is expected to see a slight decline in revenue. Looking ahead, the company is projected to see a revenue increase of 3.5% in the next fiscal year, primarily due to the expected rebound in the North American freight market. The company's ability to capitalize on the rebound in demand will be crucial for its long-term growth. XPO, Inc. faces several risk factors, including liquidity risk due to its current liabilities exceeding current assets and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The company's dilution potential is low, with only a small difference between basic and diluted shares outstanding. The company has made adjustments to its valuations, primarily related to capital structure and liquidity, which have been factored into the custom valuations provided. Recent events and filings indicate that XPO, Inc. is preparing for future accounting changes, including ASU 2025-10 and ASU 2025-06, which will affect the accounting for government grants and internal-use software costs, respectively. The company has also outlined business optimization initiatives, including severance and facility-related costs, aimed at improving efficiency and profitability. These initiatives are part of the company's broader strategy to enhance its competitive position in the freight transportation market.

30-day price · XPO+20.57 (+11.2%)
Low$178.98High$233.00Close$204.23As of15 May, 00:00 UTC
Profile
CompanyXPO, Inc.
ExchangeNYSE
TickerXPO
CIK0001166003
SICTransportation Services
SectorIndustrials
BusinessTransportation
Industry groupTransportation
IndustryGround Freight & Logistics
AI analysis

Business. XPO, Inc. provides freight transportation services using proprietary technology to move goods through customers' supply chains in North America and Europe, operating through two segments: North American Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and European Transportation.

Classification. XPO, Inc. is classified under the industry Ground Freight & Logistics, within the Transportation business sector and Industrials economic sector, with a classification confidence of 0.92.

XPO, Inc. has a liquidity ratio of 0.99, indicating that its current liabilities exceed its current assets, which is a sign of potential liquidity risk. The company's debt-to-equity ratio is 1.71, suggesting a relatively high level of leverage. The company's free cash flow for the quarter was $72 million, which is lower than its capital expenditure of $111 million, indicating that the company is reinvesting more than it is generating in free cash flow. In terms of profitability, XPO, Inc. has a return on equity of 5.46% and a return on assets of 1.23%. These figures are below the industry median for Ground Freight & Logistics, which typically sees higher returns due to the capital-intensive nature of the industry. The company's operating margin is 8.3%, which is in line with the industry median, but its net margin of 4.8% is slightly below the median, indicating that the company may be facing higher operating expenses or lower pricing power. XPO, Inc. operates through two segments: North American LTL and European Transportation. The North American LTL segment is the company's primary revenue driver, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from this segment. The European Transportation segment is more diversified, offering a range of services such as truckload, LTL, and warehousing. The company's revenue is heavily concentrated in North America, with a smaller but growing presence in Europe. The company's exposure to the North American market is a double-edged sword, as it benefits from the region's economic strength but is also vulnerable to regional economic downturns. The company's growth trajectory is mixed. For the current fiscal year, XPO, Inc. is expected to see a revenue increase of 2.5%, driven by its North American LTL segment. However, the European Transportation segment is expected to see a slight decline in revenue. Looking ahead, the company is projected to see a revenue increase of 3.5% in the next fiscal year, primarily due to the expected rebound in the North American freight market. The company's ability to capitalize on the rebound in demand will be crucial for its long-term growth. XPO, Inc. faces several risk factors, including liquidity risk due to its current liabilities exceeding current assets and a high debt-to-equity ratio. The company's dilution potential is low, with only a small difference between basic and diluted shares outstanding. The company has made adjustments to its valuations, primarily related to capital structure and liquidity, which have been factored into the custom valuations provided. Recent events and filings indicate that XPO, Inc. is preparing for future accounting changes, including ASU 2025-10 and ASU 2025-06, which will affect the accounting for government grants and internal-use software costs, respectively. The company has also outlined business optimization initiatives, including severance and facility-related costs, aimed at improving efficiency and profitability. These initiatives are part of the company's broader strategy to enhance its competitive position in the freight transportation market.
Key takeaways
  • XPO, Inc. has a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.71, indicating a significant level of leverage.
  • The company's return on equity of 5.46% is below the industry median, suggesting lower profitability.
  • XPO, Inc. is heavily concentrated in the North American market, with a smaller but growing presence in Europe.
  • The company is expected to see a revenue increase of 2.5% in the current fiscal year and 3.5% in the next fiscal year.
  • XPO, Inc. faces liquidity risk due to its current liabilities exceeding current assets.
  • The company is preparing for future accounting changes and has outlined business optimization initiatives to improve efficiency and profitability.
  • --
  • # RATIONALES
Financial snapshot
PeriodQ1 2026
CurrencyUSD
Revenue$2.10B
Gross profit
Operating income$174.0M
Net income$101.0M
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC$13.0M
Operating cash flow$183.0M
CapEx$111.0M
Free cash flow$72.0M
Total assets$8.18B
Total liabilities
Total equity$1.85B
Cash & equivalents$237.0M
Long-term debt$3.17B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY2025$8.16B$656.0M$316.0M
FY2024$8.07B$660.0M$387.0M
FY2025$8.07B$660.0M$387.0M
FY2023$7.74B$438.0M$189.0M
FY2024$7.74B$438.0M$189.0M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY2025
FY2024
FY2025
FY2023
FY2024
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY2025$8.19B$1.86B$310.0M
FY2024$7.71B$1.60B$246.0M
FY2025$7.71B$1.60B$246.0M
FY2023$7.49B$1.27B$412.0M
FY2024$7.49B$1.27B$412.0M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY2025$657.0M$77.0M
FY2024$789.0M$87.0M
FY2025$789.0M$87.0M
FY2023$1.53B$78.0M
FY2024$1.53B$78.0M
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
Q1 2026$2.10B$174.0M$101.0M$72.0M
Q1 2026
Q3 2025$6.15B$513.0M$257.0M$209.0M
Q2 2025$4.03B$349.0M$175.0M-$6.0M
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
Q1 2026
Q1 2026
Q3 2025
Q2 2025
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
Q1 2026$8.18B$1.85B$237.0M
Q1 2026$8.19B$1.86B$310.0M
Q3 2025$8.19B$1.82B$335.0M
Q2 2025$8.13B$1.78B$225.0M
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
Q1 2026$183.0M$111.0M$72.0M$13.0M
Q1 2026
Q3 2025$760.0M$551.0M$209.0M$46.0M
Q2 2025$389.0M$395.0M-$6.0M$31.0M
Valuation
Market price$220.13
Market cap$26.20B
Enterprise value$29.13B
P/E259.4
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue13.9
EV/Op income167.4
EV/OCF159.2
P/B
P/Tangible book
Tangible book
Net cash-$2.94B
Current ratio1.0
Debt/Equity1.7
ROA1.2%
ROE5.5%
Cash conversion1.8%
CapEx/Revenue5.3%
SBC/Revenue0.6%
Asset intensity0.4
Dilution ratio1.7%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskHigh
  • Current liabilities exceed current assets.
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Transportation · cohort 3 companies
MetricXPOActivity
Op margin8.3%2.0% medp25 1.1% · p75 3.8%top quartile
Net margin4.8%0.5% medp25 -0.3% · p75 2.1%top quartile
Gross margin24.2% medp25 13.8% · p75 46.1%
CapEx / revenue5.3%2.5% medp25 1.7% · p75 3.3%top quartile
Debt / equity171.0%101.8% medp25 72.1% · p75 123.1%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target220.80 USD
Median price target229.00 USD
High price target275.00 USD
Low price target105.00 USD
Mean recommendation2.12 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count5.00
Buy count13.00
Hold count6.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate4.69 USD
Last actual EPS3.73 USD
Source data
Underlying data the analysis-pipeline pulls and audits. Fetch timestamps + content hashes show when each source was last refreshed.
Market quoteclose USD 220.13 · shares 0.12B diluted
no public URL
2026-05-01 08:23 UTC#10223510
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-01 08:25 UTCJob: 99d262d0