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INDICATIVE · SAMPLE DATA
3863$1364.0059

Nippon Paper Industries Co Ltd

Paper ProductsVerified

Nippon Paper Industries maintains a capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.83, indicating a relatively high reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.33, suggesting moderate short-term liquidity. However, the firm's cash and equivalents of ¥185.94 billion are insufficient to cover its long-term debt of ¥881.02 billion, resulting in a negative net cash position. This highlights a potential liquidity risk, particularly if the company faces unexpected cash outflows or a decline in operating cash flow. Profitability metrics for Nippon Paper Industries are below industry norms. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 0.94%, and return on assets (ROA) is 0.27%, both significantly lower than the typical performance of firms in the Paper Products industry. The price-to-book ratio of 0.33 and price-to-tangible-book ratio of 0.33 suggest that the company's market value is substantially lower than its book value, indicating potential undervaluation or weak asset performance. The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in Japan, with limited geographic diversification. While the input data does not provide a breakdown of revenue by region, the firm's operations are heavily influenced by domestic demand and supply chain dynamics. This concentration increases exposure to local economic conditions and regulatory changes. Nippon Paper Industries has demonstrated a modest growth trajectory, with a current FY outlook indicating a slight increase in revenue. However, the next FY outlook is not explicitly provided, and the company's historical revenue growth has been constrained by industry-specific challenges such as raw material costs and environmental regulations. The firm's capital expenditures of ¥51.07 billion reflect ongoing investments in production capacity and efficiency improvements. The risk assessment for Nippon Paper Industries highlights a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's net cash position is negative after accounting for total debt, which could limit its ability to fund operations or pursue strategic initiatives without external financing. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of ¥1,290 and a median price target of ¥1,220, with a mean recommendation of 3.00, indicating a cautious outlook. Recent events, including analyst estimates and financial disclosures, suggest a mixed market sentiment. The absence of strong-buy recommendations and the presence of four hold ratings indicate that investors are not aggressively positioning for growth. The company's financial health and strategic direction will be closely monitored in the coming quarters, particularly in light of its capital structure and liquidity constraints.

30-day price · 3863(missing data)
No daily-bar history available from current data sources. Alternate source pending.
Profile
CompanyNippon Paper Industries Co Ltd
Ticker3863.T
SectorBasic Materials
BusinessApplied Resources
Industry groupApplied Resources
IndustryPaper Products
AI analysis

Business. Nippon Paper Industries Co Ltd is a Japanese manufacturer and distributor of paper products, including packaging materials, paperboard, and specialty papers, generating revenue primarily through the sale of these products to industrial and consumer markets.

Classification. Nippon Paper Industries is classified under the Basic Materials economic sector, Applied Resources business sector, and Paper Products industry, with a confidence level of 0.92 based on verified market data.

Nippon Paper Industries maintains a capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.83, indicating a relatively high reliance on debt financing. The company's liquidity position is characterized by a current ratio of 1.33, suggesting moderate short-term liquidity. However, the firm's cash and equivalents of ¥185.94 billion are insufficient to cover its long-term debt of ¥881.02 billion, resulting in a negative net cash position. This highlights a potential liquidity risk, particularly if the company faces unexpected cash outflows or a decline in operating cash flow. Profitability metrics for Nippon Paper Industries are below industry norms. The company's return on equity (ROE) is 0.94%, and return on assets (ROA) is 0.27%, both significantly lower than the typical performance of firms in the Paper Products industry. The price-to-book ratio of 0.33 and price-to-tangible-book ratio of 0.33 suggest that the company's market value is substantially lower than its book value, indicating potential undervaluation or weak asset performance. The company's revenue is primarily concentrated in Japan, with limited geographic diversification. While the input data does not provide a breakdown of revenue by region, the firm's operations are heavily influenced by domestic demand and supply chain dynamics. This concentration increases exposure to local economic conditions and regulatory changes. Nippon Paper Industries has demonstrated a modest growth trajectory, with a current FY outlook indicating a slight increase in revenue. However, the next FY outlook is not explicitly provided, and the company's historical revenue growth has been constrained by industry-specific challenges such as raw material costs and environmental regulations. The firm's capital expenditures of ¥51.07 billion reflect ongoing investments in production capacity and efficiency improvements. The risk assessment for Nippon Paper Industries highlights a medium liquidity risk and a low dilution risk. The company's net cash position is negative after accounting for total debt, which could limit its ability to fund operations or pursue strategic initiatives without external financing. Analysts have assigned a mean price target of ¥1,290 and a median price target of ¥1,220, with a mean recommendation of 3.00, indicating a cautious outlook. Recent events, including analyst estimates and financial disclosures, suggest a mixed market sentiment. The absence of strong-buy recommendations and the presence of four hold ratings indicate that investors are not aggressively positioning for growth. The company's financial health and strategic direction will be closely monitored in the coming quarters, particularly in light of its capital structure and liquidity constraints.
Key takeaways
  • Nippon Paper Industries has a high debt-to-equity ratio (1.83), indicating a significant reliance on debt financing.
  • The company's ROE (0.94%) and ROA (0.27%) are below industry norms, suggesting weak profitability.
  • The firm's liquidity position is moderate, with a current ratio of 1.33 and a negative net cash position.
  • Analysts have a cautious outlook, with a mean price target of ¥1,290 and a median price target of ¥1,220.
  • The company's revenue is concentrated in Japan, increasing exposure to local economic and regulatory risks.
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Financial snapshot
PeriodHA-latest
CurrencyJPY
Revenue$1.18T
Gross profit$191.06B
Operating income$6.66B
Net income$4.54B
R&D
SG&A
D&A
SBC
Operating cash flow$72.79B
CapEx-$51.07B
Free cash flow$22.72B
Total assets$1.70T
Total liabilities$1.22T
Total equity$482.03B
Cash & equivalents$185.94B
Long-term debt$881.02B
Annual history (last 5)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FY0$1.19T$21.30B$11.74B$20.99B
FY-1$1.18T$6.66B$4.54B$22.72B
FY-2$1.17T$2.05B$22.75B$30.63B
FY-3$1.15T-$59.85B-$50.41B-$74.16B
FY-4$1.05T-$1.24B$1.99B$6.50B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FY0
FY-1
FY-2
FY-3
FY-4
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FY0$1.74T$508.47B$207.41B
FY-1$1.70T$482.03B$185.94B
FY-2$1.73T$468.79B$164.86B
FY-3$1.67T$394.65B$144.35B
FY-4$1.64T$426.93B$136.84B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FY0$74.98B-$54.29B$20.99B
FY-1$72.79B-$51.07B$22.72B
FY-2$90.28B-$61.66B$30.63B
FY-3$68.05B-$89.36B-$74.16B
FY-4$72.38B-$59.68B$6.50B
Quarterly history (last 4)
PeriodRevenueOp IncomeNet IncomeFCF
FQ0$303.08B$7.37B$3.99B
FQ-1$300.31B$8.82B$7.00B
FQ-2$296.59B$26.0M-$1.15B
FQ-3$292.63B$5.09B$1.91B
FQ-4$296.16B$4.88B$4.48B
FQ-5$301.73B$11.96B$12.41B
FQ-6$297.52B-$10.86B-$11.26B
FQ-7$287.01B$680.0M-$1.09B
PeriodGross %Op %Net %FCF %
FQ0
FQ-1
FQ-2
FQ-3
FQ-4
FQ-5
FQ-6
FQ-7
PeriodAssetsEquityCashDebt
FQ0$1.74T$508.47B$207.41B
FQ-1$1.74T$485.21B$176.35B
FQ-2$1.68T$469.19B$162.48B
FQ-3$1.67T$468.73B$153.08B
FQ-4$1.70T$482.03B$185.94B
FQ-5$1.71T$467.56B$151.21B
FQ-6$1.74T$478.05B$166.41B
FQ-7$1.72T$478.18B$138.49B
PeriodOCFCapExFCFSBC
FQ0$74.98B-$54.29B
FQ-1
FQ-2$3.15B-$23.37B
FQ-3
FQ-4$72.79B-$51.07B
FQ-5
FQ-6$13.93B-$26.43B
FQ-7
Valuation
Market price$1364.00
Market cap$157.58B
Enterprise value$852.67B
P/E34.7
Reported non-GAAP P/E
EV/Revenue0.7
EV/Op income128.1
EV/OCF11.7
P/B0.3
P/Tangible book0.3
Tangible book$482.03B
Net cash-$695.08B
Current ratio1.3
Debt/Equity1.8
ROA0.3%
ROE0.9%
Cash conversion16.0%
CapEx/Revenue-4.3%
SBC/Revenue
Asset intensity
Dilution ratio0.0%
Risk assessment
Dilution riskLow
Liquidity riskMedium
  • Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Industry benchmarks
Activity: Paper Products · cohort 128 companies
Metric3863Activity
Op margin0.6%3.2% medp25 -3.0% · p75 6.6%below median
Net margin0.4%1.6% medp25 -3.7% · p75 5.0%below median
Gross margin16.2%16.0% medp25 10.4% · p75 25.9%above median
CapEx / revenue-4.3%-5.6% medp25 -10.5% · p75 -1.7%above median
Debt / equity183.0%56.5% medp25 23.2% · p75 97.4%top quartile
Observations
IR observations
Mean price target1,290.00 JPY
Median price target1,220.00 JPY
High price target1,500.00 JPY
Low price target1,100.00 JPY
Mean recommendation3.00 (1=strong buy, 5=strong sell)
Strong-buy count0.00
Buy count1.00
Hold count4.00
Sell count1.00
Strong-sell count0.00
Mean EPS estimate135.72 JPY
Last actual EPS101.69 JPY
Source: analysis-pipeline (hybrid)Generated: 2026-05-24 15:52 UTCJob: 4f1a8a89