CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. operates in the Basic Materials sector, specifically within the Commodity & Specialty Chemicals industry, producing ammonia and related nitrogen products for agricultural and industrial applications.
Business. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF) is a company in the Basic Materials sector, specifically within the Commodity & Specialty Chemicals industry. The firm operates primarily through the sale of chemical products. Headquarters and detailed segment or geographic breakdowns are not specified in the available data. The company is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol CF.
Analyst recommendations
22 analysts · consensus HoldAt a glance
What drives this business
The watch-list the newsroom runs for this company — derived from its sector path, sharpened layer by layer. Not investment advice.
News & coverage
1Sector rotation
Developing storylines
Analysis
AI analysisOpportunity
Upcoming catalysts
Scheduled public events. Informational only — not investment advice.
- Company
- EarningsQ3 2026 earnings (expected)2026-10-28 · estimated
- Macro
- Rate decisionBank of England rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-06 · GB
- Rate decisionReserve Bank of Australia rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-12 · AU
- Rate decisionNorges Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-08-20 · NO
- Rate decisionSveriges Riksbank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-03 · SE
- Rate decisionBank of Canada rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-09 · CA
- Rate decisionEuropean Central Bank rate decision (press conf.)2026-09-10 · EU
- Macro & political
- ElectionSE Swedish Election2026-09-14 · SE
- ElectionUS U.S. Midterms2026-11-03 · US
- ElectionFR French Legislative2027-06-01 · FR
- Congressional trades
- CongressValerie Hoyle — CF Industries Holdings, Inc. Common2024-10-29 · Democrat · OR · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — CF Industries Holdings, Inc.2023-02-16 · Republican · NC · Sale · $15,001 - $50,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — CF Industries Holdings, Inc.2022-09-16 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — CF Industries Holdings, Inc.2022-09-12 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — CF Industries Holdings, Inc.2022-09-07 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $1,001 - $15,000
- CongressVirginia Foxx — CF Industries Holdings, Inc.2022-09-01 · Republican · NC · Purchase · $15,001 - $50,000
Pre-earnings brief
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) has added the Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited Ammonia Plant in Trinidad and Tobago to its asset portfolio, a notable development in its chemical production infrastructure. This addition, detected in mid-July 2026, expands the company's operational footprint in the ammonia sector, a key commodity for its business. The plant is classified as a chemical plant with an ammonia subtype, reinforcing CF's presence in international fertilizer and chemical markets. Concurrently, significant shifts in institutional holdings were recorded as of March 31, 2026, reflecting major changes in investor positioning. One investor (ID 587) dramatically increased their stake from 513 shares to 24,183 shares, representing a value of approximately $3.14 million. This substantial accumulation suggests renewed confidence or strategic reallocation by this specific holder, marking a notable deviation from their previous minimal exposure. Another major holder (ID 931) also significantly expanded their position, increasing shares from 409 to 362,642, with a corresponding value of roughly $49.48 million. This move represents a weight of approximately 0.024% in the investor's portfolio, indicating a meaningful commitment to CF stock. These simultaneous increases by two distinct investors highlight a period of active institutional interest in the company's equity. Despite these operational and ownership changes, CF Industries remains a company with a single reported officer and no current analyst coverage, according to the available data. The firm maintains membership in one index and has 34 top holders, suggesting a stable but perhaps less widely followed capital structure. The absence of prior analysis for this ticker means these developments represent the initial baseline for tracking future material changes in CF's corporate and financial landscape.
Signals & dispatch
Composite-score breakdown
Synthesis
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (NYSE: CF) is a company in the Basic Materials sector, specifically within the Commodity & Specialty Chemicals industry. The firm operates primarily through the sale of chemical products. Headquarters and detailed segment or geographic breakdowns are not specified in the available data. The company is listed on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol CF.
CF Industries maintains a leveraged capital structure with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.6 and a current ratio of 3.54, indicating strong short-term liquidity despite medium overall liquidity risk. The company holds $3.2 billion in long-term debt against $5.3 billion in total equity, resulting in negative net cash after debt subtraction. Operating cash flow of $496 million supports a free cash flow of $273 million after $223 million in capital expenditures, providing adequate coverage for debt service and ongoing investments.
Profitability metrics show an operating income of $863 million on $1.99 billion in revenue, yielding a robust operating margin. The valuation snapshot indicates an EV/EBITDA of 17.47 and an EV/Revenue of 9.6, reflecting the market's pricing of the company's cash flow generation capabilities. While specific cohort median comparisons are absent from the input data, the company's ability to generate significant operating income relative to its asset base of $14.6 billion suggests efficient capital utilization within the chemical manufacturing context.
Revenue concentration is not explicitly detailed by segment or geography in the provided data, but the company's operations are heavily tied to North American ammonia assets, as evidenced by recent impairment and insurance recovery events in this region. The company is also expanding its footprint in Trinidad and Tobago with the Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited Ammonia Plant, indicating a strategic geographic diversification effort.
Growth trajectory is supported by investments in low-carbon ammonia production, including the Donaldsonville CCS project which enables up to 1.9 million tons of annual low-carbon ammonia capacity. The company is pursuing demand for both traditional and new applications, with a low-carbon ammonia production facility designed for approximately 1.4 million metric tons annually, capturing over 95% of CO2 generated. These investments signal a strategic shift towards sustainable products, although historical revenue trends are not provided in the input data to quantify past growth rates.
Risk factors include medium liquidity risk and low dilution risk, with key flags noting negative net cash after debt. The company faces environmental and regulatory risks, as indicated by disclosures regarding environmental remediation liabilities, emission credits, and asset retirement obligations. Recent asset impairments of $25 million in North American AN assets highlight operational risks, though these were offset by insurance recoveries in Q1 2026.
Recent events include the recognition of $25 million in property damage insurance recoveries in Q1 2026, following a Q4 2025 impairment. The company has also added the Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited Ammonia Plant in Trinidad and Tobago to its asset base. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with a mean recommendation of 2.82 (on a 1-5 scale) and a mean price target of $125.02, suggesting moderate upside potential from the current market price of $102.53.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) has added the Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited Ammonia Plant in Trinidad and Tobago to its asset portfolio, a notable development in its chemical production infrastructure. This addition, detected in mid-July 2026, expands the company's operational footprint in the ammonia sector, a key commodity for its business. The plant is classified as a chemical plant with an ammonia subtype, reinforcing CF's presence in international fertilizer and chemical markets. Concurrently, significant shifts in institutional holdings were recorded as of March 31, 2026, reflecting major changes in investor positioning. One investor (ID 587) dramatically increased their stake from 513 shares to 24,183 shares, representing a value of approximately $3.14 million. This substantial accumulation suggests renewed confidence or strategic reallocation by this specific holder, marking a notable deviation from their previous minimal exposure. Another major holder (ID 931) also significantly expanded their position, increasing shares from 409 to 362,642, with a corresponding value of roughly $49.48 million. This move represents a weight of approximately 0.024% in the investor's portfolio, indicating a meaningful commitment to CF stock. These simultaneous increases by two distinct investors highlight a period of active institutional interest in the company's equity. Despite these operational and ownership changes, CF Industries remains a company with a single reported officer and no current analyst coverage, according to the available data. The firm maintains membership in one index and has 34 top holders, suggesting a stable but perhaps less widely followed capital structure. The absence of prior analysis for this ticker means these developments represent the initial baseline for tracking future material changes in CF's corporate and financial landscape.
- Strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 3.54, though net cash is negative after debt.
- Significant investment in low-carbon ammonia capacity, including 1.9 million tons annually at Donaldsonville.
- Recent $25 million asset impairment in North America was fully offset by insurance recoveries.
- Analyst consensus suggests moderate upside with a mean price target of $125.02.
- Low dilution risk supports shareholder value preservation.
- Strategic expansion into Trinidad and Tobago diversifies geographic exposure.
Bull / Bear case
Generated · model-assistedIn focus — financials by report
Revenue $1.99B; Operating income $863.0M.
- ▍Revenue $1.99B
- ▍Operating income $863.0M
- ▍Operating margin 43.5%
Revenue $5.21B; Operating income $1.68B.
- ▍Revenue $5.21B
- ▍Operating income $1.68B
- ▍Operating margin 32.3%
Revenue $3.55B; Operating income $1.10B.
- ▍Revenue $3.55B
- ▍Operating income $1.10B
- ▍Operating margin 31.0%
Revenue $7.08B; Operating income $2.30B.
- ▍Revenue $7.08B
- ▍Operating income $2.30B
- ▍Operating margin 32.5%
Revenue $5.94B; Operating income $1.75B.
- ▍Revenue $5.94B
- ▍Operating income $1.75B
- ▍Operating margin 29.4%
Revenue $5.94B; Operating income $1.75B.
- ▍Revenue $5.94B
- ▍Operating income $1.75B
- ▍Operating margin 29.4%
Revenue $6.63B; Operating income $2.23B.
- ▍Revenue $6.63B
- ▍Operating income $2.23B
- ▍Operating margin 33.6%
Revenue $6.63B; Operating income $2.23B.
- ▍Revenue $6.63B
- ▍Operating income $2.23B
- ▍Operating margin 33.6%
Valuation FY
Revenue by segment
Business relationships
Supply chain
Peer comparison
Market position
Stress test
Predictor forecast
| Metric | Our forecast | Guidance | Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPS | —no estimate | —no estimate | 16,52 |
| Revenue | —no estimate | —no estimate | 8,6B USD |
| Operating income | —no estimate | —no estimate | 3,9B USD |
Options
Short squeeze
Earnings-call key lines
Consensus distribution
sell-side coverageEstimate revisions
consensus EPS · 26-week trendSell-side observations
Themes
ESG
Risk factors
- Net cash is negative after subtracting total debt.
Benchmarks vs cohort
Corporate actions / M&A
FX exposure
Comparable transactions
Derivatives & instruments
Derivative transactions
- Director, Former President & CEO · Phantom Stock → Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareDisposed 29 504other · 2026-03-05
Physical assets
8 tracked| Asset | Type | Commodity | Country | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Industries Donaldsonville Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Port Neal Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Verdigris Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Waggaman Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Woodward Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Yazoo City Ammonia Facility | Chemical plant | Chemicals | United States | Registered owner |
| CF Industries Yazoo City Complex | Power | Power | US | Operating company |
| Point Lisas Nitrogen Limited Ammonia Plant | Chemical plant | Chemicals | Trinidad and Tobago | Registered owner |
Actions
Ask Handelsavisen
- Market data
- Regulatory filings
- Issuer disclosures
- Public news
- Earnings transcripts
- Consensus estimates
- ESG data
- Reference data
- Enterprise Valuemarket_cap - net_cash
- Ev To Revenueenterprise_value / revenue
- Net Cashcash_and_equivalents + short_term_investments - short_term_debt - long_term_debt
- Market Priceinput from market-data provider (delayed close or quote-shim mid)
- Capex To Revenuecapital_expenditure / revenue
- Debt To Equity(short_term_debt + long_term_debt) / total_equity
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. company facts · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 10-Q 2026-05-07 · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 10-K 2026-02-25 · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 10-Q 2025-11-06 · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 10-Q 2025-08-07 · 2026-07-17
- asset_event fired on CF · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings Inc Market data — analyst estimates · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings Inc Market data — ESG · 2026-07-17
- CF Industries Holdings Inc — company reference export (2026-07-05) · 2026-07-17
Ownership & reference
Top holders
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,18 %$288M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,12 %$579M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,11 %$1M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,09 %$406M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,08 %$141M
- Funds · as of 2026-03-310,06 %$388M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$76M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$403M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,05 %$104M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$716M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$225M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$75M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$145M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,04 %$1 024M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$213M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$175M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$236M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,03 %$566M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-06-300,03 %$1 179M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$49M
- Investment Managers · as of 2025-12-310,02 %$1 513M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$308M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,02 %$31M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$50M
- Investment Managers · as of 2024-12-310,01 %$33M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$24M
- Brokerage Firms · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$24M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,01 %$29M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$9M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$16M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$18M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$3M
- Investment Managers · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
- Institutional Investor · as of 2026-03-310,00 %$0M
Leadership
- Tony WillPresident, Chief Executive Officer, Director
Insider activity
- EVP and CFO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 6 464 · 2026-05-26
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 2 208 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- SVP, Manufacturing & Dist'n · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 4 184 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- Director · Common Stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 1 390 · 2026-04-28
- VP and Corporate Controller · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 3 499 @ $125,38$439K · 2026-03-17
- VP, Clean Energy & BusDevelop · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 1 500 @ $124,69$187K · 2026-03-17
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 17 654 · 2026-03-17
- EVP, Chief Commercial Officer · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 6 000 @ $126,00$756K · 2026-03-17
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 96 858 · 2026-03-15
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareOther 33 155 · 2026-03-15
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 20 368 @ $131,17$2,7M · 2026-03-13
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 32 658 @ $130,62$4,3M · 2026-03-13
- EVP and Chief Admin. Officer · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 18 041 @ $136,06$2,5M · 2026-03-12
- EVP, Chief Commercial Officer · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 6 250 @ $136,69$854K · 2026-03-12
- Director, Former President & CEO · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 28 625 @ $118,64$3,4M · 2026-03-11
- VP, Clean Energy & BusDevelop · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 2 200 @ $116,25$256K · 2026-03-06
- SVP, Gen. Counsel & Secretary · Common stock, par value $0.01 per shareSold 3 666 @ $116,50$427K · 2026-03-06
Short positioning
Geographic breakdown
Intel & risk
Evidence & claims
From filings & derived data- EPS (diluted) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 33.1%Derived (calculated)
- Long-term debt (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 8.2%Derived (calculated)
- Capex (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 83.4%Derived (calculated)
- Gross profit (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 32.5%Derived (calculated)
- Operating cash flow (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 21.2%Derived (calculated)
- Revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 19.3%Derived (calculated)
- Cost of revenue (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 12.4%Derived (calculated)
- Total assets (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 4.6%Derived (calculated)
- Operating income (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 31.7%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (basic) (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): 33.0%Derived (calculated)
- Gross margin (FY 2025-12-31): 38.5%Derived (calculated)
- Current ratio (FY 2025-12-31): 3.37xDerived (calculated)
- Shareholders' equity (YoY) (2025-12-31 vs 2024-12-31): -2.9%Derived (calculated)
- EPS (diluted) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 9SEC XBRL filing
- Operating income (annual): USD 2.3BSEC XBRL filing
- Gross profit (annual): USD 2.72BSEC XBRL filing
- Interest expense (annual): USD 155MSEC XBRL filing
- Current liabilities (annual): USD 887MSEC XBRL filing
- Shares outstanding (annual): 153.55MSEC XBRL filing
- EPS (basic) (annual): USD-PER-SHARES 9SEC XBRL filing
- Revenue (annual): USD 7.08BSEC XBRL filing
- Long-term debt (annual): USD 3.21BSEC XBRL filing
- Pre-tax income (annual): USD 2.24BSEC XBRL filing
- Current assets (annual): USD 2.98BSEC XBRL filing