US Data Iran Truce
Investors await key jobs and inflation data while monitoring a fragile US-Iran truce that influences energy costs and Treasury yields.
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- DATAKalshi traders price in inflation peak as energy costs ease on US-Iran detente
Prediction markets signal a sharp pivot in inflation expectations, with traders assigning less than 30% odds to 2026 inflation exceeding 4.2% following the drop in oil and gas prices.
- AHEADPakistan forecasts inflation relief as Strait of Hormuz reopens
The reopening of the critical shipping chokepoint is expected to stabilize energy import costs and ease price pressures in the new fiscal year.
- EVENTTreasury yields hold steady as investors await jobs data and monitor fragile US-Iran truce
Bond markets remain on the sidelines ahead of the nonfarm payrolls report, with geopolitical risk from the Middle East keeping a lid on volatility.
- DATABessent projects US GDP growth can return to 3% before year-end as Iran conflict winds down
Treasury Secretary's upbeat growth forecast arrives as markets digest peace prospects and brace for a dense schedule of US economic data.
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 9.55% close $84.29 from $93.19
- MARKETGold (GCc1)
▲ 3.56% close $4207.90 from $4063.30
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▲ 3.55% close $91.85 from $88.70
- MARKETGold (GCc1)
▼ 3.86% close $4100.00 from $4264.60
- UPDATEU.S. CPI expected to hit 4.2% in May, extending inflation pressure
Wall Street consensus points to a fresh cost-of-living threshold as energy costs linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed through the economy.
- UPDATEU.S. CPI expected to hit 4.2% in May, extending inflation pressure
Wall Street consensus points to a fresh cost-of-living threshold as energy costs linked to the Iran conflict continue to feed through the economy.
- CB MEETINGFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.) US high
Title actor match
- CB MEETINGFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.) US high
Title actor match