Prediction market participants are expressing skepticism about GameStop's ability to complete a major acquisition of eBay, according to contracts launched on Monday.
On Kalshi, the probability of the deal being finalized in 2026 is currently priced at 26%, while Polymarket offers a lower 15% chance.
However, the trading volume on these contracts remains relatively low, with Kalshi's contract attracting just over $2,000 in activity.
However, the trading volume on these contracts remains relatively low, with Kalshi's contract attracting just over $2,000 in activity.
GameStop's potential move to acquire eBay has sparked interest among traders, but the odds suggest a lack of confidence in the deal's feasibility.
The company announced its intentions on Sunday, but the market's response has been cautious.
The low trading volume on Kalshi indicates limited participation, which may reflect uncertainty or a lack of consensus among traders.