The recent Trump-Xi summit in Beijing has reignited hopes for a thaw in U.S.-China trade relations, with analysts suggesting the dialogue could lay the groundwork for a broader economic agreement.
However, the meeting has yet to fully restore confidence among market participants and local businesses, as concerns over long-term policy shifts and geopolitical tensions remain unresolved.
Prediction market traders are closely watching for signs of concrete policy moves from the summit.
On Kalshi, the probability of significant trade-related announcements has increased, reflecting heightened expectations for a potential easing of tariffs and other trade barriers.
Yet, the market's reaction has been cautious, with investors balancing optimism against the reality of deep-seated structural issues between the two economic giants.
The U.S. remains a critical market for Chinese companies, particularly in sectors like technology and manufacturing.