The Congress of South African Trade Unions (COSATU) has announced it will actively oppose African Bank’s proposed workforce reductions, arguing that the country’s labor market cannot sustain further job losses.

The union’s intervention comes shortly after the lender confirmed it had initiated restructuring measures aimed at cutting costs amid a challenging operating environment.

The dispute introduces a layer of industrial relations risk for the bank at a time when broader macroeconomic headwinds are intensifying.

South African financial markets are currently focused on the South African Reserve Bank’s upcoming policy meeting, where a 25-basis-point interest rate hike is widely expected.

Bank of America has forecast the tightening move, aligning with signals from SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago that the central bank is prepared to raise rates again to combat inflationary pressures.

For investors, the combination of potential union resistance to restructuring and imminent monetary tightening creates a complex backdrop for South African equities and bonds.