Malaysia's economic expansion is projected to decelerate in the second quarter of 2026, with economists forecasting gross domestic product (GDP) growth to settle between 4.8% and 5.0%.
This represents a moderation from the 5.4% growth rate recorded in the first quarter, signaling a potential cooling in momentum after a strong start to the year.
4%. This suggests that while quarterly volatility exists, the underlying annual trajectory remains stable.
The consensus view among analysts points to a gradual normalization of growth rates rather than a sharp contraction.
The anticipated range aligns closely with Maybank Investment Banking Group's full-year 2026 GDP forecast of 4.9%, which the bank upgraded earlier in the year from a previous estimate of 4.4%.
This suggests that while quarterly volatility exists, the underlying annual trajectory remains stable.
Market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming release of the official advance estimate, which is scheduled for publication in the coming days.