The US Treasury market is undergoing a sharp repricing, with the 10-year yield climbing to its highest level since January 2025.

The selloff reflects a confluence of pressures: an unexpectedly resilient US economy, growing investor anxiety over government debt levels, and renewed hostilities with Iran that have heightened risk premiums.

The Federal Reserve has remained tight-lipped on its future interest-rate trajectory, leaving markets to price in a more hawkish outlook as inflation expectations persist.

The surge in long-term yields is having immediate downstream effects on the real economy.

US mortgage rates have climbed to their highest level since August 2025, triggering a noticeable pullback in homebuyer demand.

Affordability pressures are intensifying for prospective buyers, even as housing inventory remains constrained.