New Zealand consumers face the prospect of another sharp increase in petrol prices, as the economic shock from earlier this year's oil market turmoil shows no sign of abating.

Westpac chief economist Kelton Law warned that the respite from high fuel costs is likely temporary, with global crude benchmarks poised to push retail prices higher once again.

While local petrol prices recently dipped below the $3 per litre threshold for the first time in over three months, analysts caution that this cooling is fragile.

The warning comes as oil prices remain elevated, driven by persistent security concerns surrounding the Strait of Hormuz.

While local petrol prices recently dipped below the $3 per litre threshold for the first time in over three months, analysts caution that this cooling is fragile.

The underlying geopolitical risks continue to weigh heavily on energy markets, keeping Brent crude at levels that threaten to erode any recent consumer relief.

This development extends the ongoing narrative of shipping risk and geopolitical pressure on global trade routes, which Handelsavisen has tracked closely since early July. The uncertainty surrounding tanker routes and potential disruptions in the Strait continues to act as a premium on crude prices, complicating the outlook for import-dependent economies like New Zealand.