The World Trade Organization has identified Kenya as one of the most vulnerable economies to potential fertilizer price spikes driven by rising geopolitical tensions in the Gulf region.
The assessment highlights how external shipping and supply chain disruptions can rapidly translate into higher production costs for domestic agriculture in import-dependent markets.
The warning comes as global trade routes face renewed scrutiny amid escalating conflicts.
For Kenya, which relies heavily on imported agricultural inputs, any disruption in Gulf-related logistics or energy flows could directly impact the cost of urea and other essential fertilizers.
This creates immediate margin pressure for local farmers and raises the risk of reduced planting areas or lower yields in upcoming seasons.
This development adds to ongoing concerns about the structural disadvantages African economies face in global trade.