Indonesia is poised to return to a monthly trade surplus, driven by the stabilization of global oil prices and the resulting reduction in import costs.

Trade Minister Budi Santoso expressed optimism that the country's trade balance would improve, citing the calming of energy markets as a key factor in easing the financial burden on the nation's import bill.

The shift in sentiment comes as global energy markets have shown signs of steadiness, following periods of volatility linked to geopolitical tensions in key shipping routes.

For Indonesia, a major net importer of refined petroleum products, lower and more predictable oil prices directly translate to improved trade metrics.

The government views this stabilization as a critical step toward rebalancing the current account and reducing external sector pressures.

This development aligns with broader regional trends where easing supply risks are helping to moderate inflationary pressures.