Ghana’s cocoa production is projected to decline by at least 16% in the 2026-2027 season, the country’s marketing board COCOBOD announced.
The regulator attributed the significant drop to a combination of adverse weather conditions, the crop’s natural fruit-bearing cycle, and persistent disease pressures.
This forecast adds concrete detail to earlier warnings about weakening output in West Africa, the world’s largest cocoa-producing region.
The downgrade in Ghana’s outlook reinforces supply-side constraints that have been weighing on global cocoa markets.
With West Africa accounting for the majority of global supply, any reduction in Ghanaian output directly impacts the availability of raw beans for manufacturers and traders.
The cited factors—weather volatility and disease—are recurring challenges that have previously led to downward revisions in regional production estimates.