Fed Policy Iran Tensions
Asian equities rally ahead of the FOMC meeting while US Treasury yields dip and household energy costs surge amid escalating Iran conflict and inflation fears.
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- MARKETGift Nifty rises as crude oil falls, setting up positive open for Indian equities
Buy or sell: Gift Nifty rises, Vaishali Parekh recommends three stocks to buy today — 3 July 2026.
- STATEMENTParekh
“The support for the day is seen at 24,000 levels, while the resistance is seen at 24,400 levels. Bank Nifty would have the daily range of 57,500 - 58,600 levels,”
in: Gift Nifty rises as crude oil falls, setting up positive open for Indi - DATAUS hiring slows in June as inflation pressures weigh on labor market
The softer-than-expected jobs print adds to recession concerns and complicates the Federal Reserve's path amid elevated prices linked to the Iran conflict.
- EVENTAsian equities trade mixed as Iran-US deal uncertainty persists
Nikkei 225 gains 0.6% while broader regional sentiment remains cautious amid unresolved geopolitical risks and softening AI sector momentum.
- MARKETUS equities on track for strongest quarterly rally in six years
Futures point to a positive open as broad-based gains in tech and energy sectors push major indices toward record-breaking second-quarter returns.
- EVENTIndian 10-year yields ease 22 bps in June as US-Iran truce cools oil risk
Monsoon concerns cap rally in Indian bonds despite geopolitical de-escalation and falling crude prices.
- MARKETIndian rupee settles at 94.54 as weak equities offset Asian peer strength
Local stock declines eroded support from firmer regional currencies, extending the rupee's recent downward drift despite broader Asian gains.
- EVENTS&P/ASX 200 rises 0.7% as Iran truce hopes lift risk appetite
Australian equities closed higher on Monday, underpinned by financials and technology stocks, as the United States and Iran moved toward a formal peace agreement.
- EVENTOil prices retreat 25% from peak as Iran-US deal hopes ease supply fears
Crude benchmarks have shed a quarter of their recent gains, signaling a rapid unwind of the geopolitical risk premium that built up over 15 weeks of Middle East tensions.
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 3.46% close $335.00 from $347.00
- DATATrump administration backs off Fed rate-cut demands as inflation tops 4%
Political pressure on the Federal Reserve appears to be easing, giving new Chair Kevin Warsh more room to navigate persistent price pressures without immediate executive interference.
- STATEMENTWarsh
“The Fed will deliver price stability,”
in: Trump administration backs off Fed rate-cut demands as inflation tops - MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 4.51% close $339.00 from $355.00
- DATAUS PCE inflation hits 3-year high at 4.1%, complicating Fed rate path
US inflation rises to 3-year high, spending picks up.
- EVENTIndian rupee set to weaken as dollar hits one-year high on Fed hike bets
Risk-off sentiment and resurgent US rate-hike expectations push the greenback to its strongest level in over a year, pressuring emerging-market currencies including the rupee.
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 7.07% close $355.00 from $382.00
- MARKETEuropean equities slide as tech sell-off and rate fears spread
Dax and EuroStoxx50 fell more than 1% on Tuesday, extending the global rotation out of technology names that saw SpaceX tumble 16% on Monday.
- EVENTIndian rupee slips to 94.74 as dollar strength offsets crude relief
The currency faces a tug-of-war between easing energy import costs and a resilient greenback, leaving near-term direction uncertain.
- MARKETIndian shares slide as IT and metals sell-off deepens on weak data
Nifty 50 and Sensex drop 1.16% as monsoon concerns and soft business activity weigh on sentiment.
- MARKETKorean won weakens as Fed rate-hike expectations resurface
Renewed bets on a US rate increase pressure the won, challenging analyst forecasts for a stronger currency in the second half.
- EVENTUS war costs hit $40bn as Iran conflict drains reserves and fuels inflation
Escalating military operations in Iran are straining US fiscal and energy buffers, with strategic petroleum reserves at multi-decade lows and ammunition supplies tightening.
- EVENTIndian bonds hold steady as Iran truce doubts and liquidity squeeze weigh on demand
The benchmark 2036 note yield settled at 6.85% as geopolitical uncertainty and tight banking liquidity kept investors cautious.
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 3.50% close $386.00 from $400.00
- MARKETAsian equities extend rally as investors await Warsh Fed debut
Nikkei and Hang Seng climb on optimism, but Wall Street’s new central bank chief takes center stage ahead of the FOMC meeting.
- MARKETAsian equities extend rally as investors await Warsh Fed debut
Nikkei and Hang Seng climb on optimism, but Wall Street’s new central bank chief takes center stage ahead of the FOMC meeting.
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 5.88% close $400.00 from $425.00
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 9.55% close $84.29 from $93.19
- MARKETGold (GCc1)
▲ 3.56% close $4207.90 from $4063.30
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 3.71% close $441.00 from $458.00
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▲ 3.55% close $91.85 from $88.70
- MARKETGold (GCc1)
▼ 3.86% close $4100.00 from $4264.60
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 4.69% close $467.00 from $490.00
- MARKETUS household financial anxiety hits four-year high, adding pressure to Fed rate-cut path
New York Fed survey shows consumers see conditions as much worse than a year ago, compounding weak savings data and raising the stakes for the central bank's next policy move.
- MARKET^IXIC (^IXIC)
▼ 4.18% close $25709.43 from $26830.96
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▲ 4.48% close $490.00 from $469.00
- MARKETNatural gas (NGc1)
▼ 4.08% close $3.22 from $3.36
- MARKETGold (GCc1)
▼ 3.52% close $4319.10 from $4476.50
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 3.42% close $92.91 from $96.20
- MARKETNatural gas (NGc1)
▲ 3.13% close $3.36 from $3.25
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 6.07% close $464.00 from $494.00
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▲ 3.01% close $96.20 from $93.39
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▲ 5.37% close $92.47 from $87.76
- EVENTU.S. households face $450 higher energy costs amid Iran War, data reveals
Rising energy expenses are straining American budgets, with households spending nearly $450 more on average as tensions with Iran escalate.
- MARKETNatural gas (NGc1)
▲ 8.79% close $3.30 from $3.04
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 4.45% close $89.41 from $93.57
- MARKETNatural gas (NGc1)
▲ 5.05% close $3.04 from $2.89
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 3.54% close $93.57 from $97.00
- MARKET4813.T (4813.T)
▼ 3.46% close $502.00 from $520.00
- MARKETWTI crude (CLc1)
▼ 8.76% close $99.08 from $108.59
- DATAUS Treasury yields dip as investors weigh inflation risks
The shift in bond markets highlights the ongoing uncertainty over inflation's trajectory.
- CB MEETINGFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.) US high
Title actor match
- CB MEETINGFederal Reserve rate decision (press conf.) US high
Title actor match